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FC Porto vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-81
27-20 25-17 22-22 23-22
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game73.0
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#6
Record5-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.7
PortugalLPBRound 12· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · FC Porto v CD Povoa
22 Nov 2026
POR v CD P
upcoming
19 Jan 2025
POR82
CD P60
26 Oct 2024
POR76
CD P64
05 Jan 2024
POR97
CD P81
07 Jan 2023
POR99
CD P69
14 Jan 2022
POR82
CD P55
12 Jan 2021
POR86
CD P61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
88avg 79
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
66-75
66
75
-9
54avg 79
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
72avg 79
A25/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
79-72
79
72
+7
69avg 79
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 79
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
88-63
88
63
+25
83avg 79
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 79
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
64avg 79
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 79
A17/12
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
86-73
86
73
+13
76avg 79
H22/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
21-16
23-12
24-22
12-26
13-22
19-11
22-16
24-18
23-12
18-21
16-17
23-22
19-20
20-14
17-16
21-19
18-15
34-15
15-26
34-12
18-22
13-11
23-18
32-15
16-15
16-16
22-26
23-17
20-16
12-27
17-15
9-18
22-23
24-17
24-25
18-23
27-17
21-16
20-17
154.1Avg total
81.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.673.0160.6+14.690%
Season at home (7)89.371.9161.1+17.4100%
Season away (3)83.775.7159.3+8.067%
Last 10 (10)81.872.3154.1+9.570%
Last 5 (5)82.273.2155.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.568.5144.0+7.050%
vs Similar (7)76.682.9159.4-6.314%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.877.7170.5+15.285%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 71
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
65avg 71
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
100-73
100
73
+27
99avg 71
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 71
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
83-74 OT
83
74
+9
no box
A18/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
no box
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
59avg 71
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
77avg 71
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
50avg 71
H16/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 71
A28/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
19-20
24-22
27-22
19-30
9-28
19-16
33-30
22-27
29-20
23-14
26-12
16-21
26-20
24-13
13-17
24-17
19-11
6-17
12-16
19-17
15-16
11-17
24-19
15-21
15-33
32-23
13-27
17-19
28-25
24-18
19-22
15-18
21-20
12-22
10-23
21-18
19-12
21-23
19-19
165.1Avg total
81.7Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.784.7165.5-4.045%
Season at home (5)73.886.2160.0-12.420%
Season away (6)86.583.5170.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)81.783.4165.1-1.760%
Last 5 (5)76.483.4159.8-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.390.6159.9-21.211%
vs Similar (12)81.276.9158.2+4.367%
vs Weaker (8)82.674.2156.9+8.462%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
FC PortoCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H17/11
LPB
Manisa
#13
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galomar
#10
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A25/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H01/12
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/12
LPB
Balkan
#35
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Braga
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Bilbao
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Sporting CP
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/12
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/12
LPB
78.3Avg total
41.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.681.4+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.835.278.9+8.683%-
Last 30 away (12)43.841.285.1+2.658%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.578.3+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.679.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.528.568.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (7)32.343.776.0-11.414%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.036.884.8+11.390%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A21/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A18/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H16/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
LPB
81.5Avg total
39.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.578.7-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.938.575.4-1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)39.642.882.4-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.481.5-3.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.876.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.846.480.2-12.70%-
vs Similar (12)39.238.377.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (8)40.836.677.4+4.175%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.3%
51.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.3
34.3%
33.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
69.3%13.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.4
53.4%
51.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.6
33.6%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.614.9
63.1%
69.3%14.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WLLWWWWWLW
CD Povoa
WLWLWWWWLL
#2
League position
#6
+13.8
Net rating
-4.4
111.2
Offensive rating
100.8
97.4
Defensive rating
105.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
21.6%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.3%
3-point %
33.6%
54.0%
Assist %
48.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 100.8Defence97.4 · 105.2Shooting51.4% · 52.3%3-point %34.3% · 33.6%Ball care16.8% · 21.6%Off. rebounds35.0% · 28.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ FC Porto   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FC Porto wins
0
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
23/09/23CD Povoa v FC Porto76-91
07/01/23FC Porto v CD Povoa99-69
22/10/22CD Povoa v FC Porto66-75
14/01/22FC Porto v CD Povoa82-55
29/10/21CD Povoa v FC Porto60-67
12/01/21FC Porto v CD Povoa86-61
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HLusitania86-73
17/12/23ASporting CP79-83
12/12/23HBilbao72-75
10/12/23HBraga86-72
06/12/23ABalkan88-63
03/12/23HPortimonense88-75
01/12/23HOvarense79-72
25/11/23AGalomar81-68
22/11/23AManisa66-75
17/11/23HImortal93-67
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23AEsgueira80-72
16/12/23HBenfica58-83
10/12/23HCA Queluz88-84
01/12/23AOliveirense75-104
25/11/23HPortimonense81-74 OT
18/11/23AVitoria83-74 OT
11/11/23HEsgueira79-71
04/11/23ALusitania100-73
28/10/23HSporting CP80-104
21/10/23AOvarense93-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %90%100%67%
Points / game87.689.383.7
Allowed / game73.071.975.7
Point differential+14.6+17.4+8.0
Avg total160.6161.1159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%86%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%20%67%
Points / game80.773.886.5
Allowed / game84.786.283.5
Point differential-4.0-12.4+3.0
Avg total165.5160.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto109190%87.673.0+14.6
2 Sporting CP119282%94.483.2+11.2
3 Oliveirense97278%80.474.9+5.6
4 Benfica118373%89.366.9+22.4
5 Vitoria116555%79.979.1+0.8
6 Ovarense116555%75.677.7-2.1
7 CD Povoa115645%80.784.7-4.0
8 Portimonense115645%72.177.6-5.5
9 Imortal114736%74.882.4-7.5
10 Galomar113827%73.879.2-5.4
11 Lusitania101910%73.187.1-14.0
12 Esgueira111109%72.687.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2725222397
CD Povoa2017222281
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