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FC Porto vs Norrkoping Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-64
21-19 21-8 22-25 20-12
Position#12
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#43
Record1-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norrkoping winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 81
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
100-84
100
84
+16
89avg 81
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 81
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
92-60
92
60
+32
85avg 81
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
79-71
79
71
+8
60avg 81
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
79-62
79
62
+17
70avg 81
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#30
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 81
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#9
W
106-82
106
82
+24
113avg 81
H27/10
LPB
Manisa
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
77avg 81
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 81
H04/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
20-24
19-14
24-19
25-23
13-12
32-24
30-25
14-23
18-20
17-22
21-15
26-12
27-18
23-16
16-14
17-19
24-18
19-20
19-14
20-14
16-10
14-16
29-22
26-16
22-18
23-19
18-25
23-15
28-21
27-15
28-31
20-18
17-17
24-19
23-13
28-13
25-15
24-23
17-21
161.6Avg total
88.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.476.0160.4+8.480%
Season at home (3)91.076.3167.3+14.7100%
Season away (2)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)88.473.2161.6+15.290%
Last 5 (5)90.472.2162.6+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.281.2159.4-3.040%
vs Similar (7)81.985.6167.4-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.079.6172.6+13.478%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#17
W
78-68
78
68
+10
74avg 78
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
L
73-83
73
83
-10
70avg 78
H29/09
Champions League
Uppsala
#7
W
101-89
101
89
+12
99avg 78
H06/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
84-70
84
70
+14
77avg 78
A10/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
98-75
98
75
+23
94avg 78
A13/10
Basketligan
FC Porto
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
65avg 78
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sodertalje
#5
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 78
H21/10
Basketligan
Manisa
#13
L
52-79
52
79
-27
40avg 78
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#30
W
75-69
75
69
+6
73avg 78
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Lulea
#3
W
107-91
107
91
+16
117avg 78
H04/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
20-16
19-16
24-17
19-17
26-18
15-24
13-24
26-26
26-19
16-19
33-25
23-19
18-17
19-17
24-17
28-20
21-14
23-15
26-26
19-17
18-24
20-19
14-19
19-22
22-17
20-22
29-15
10-27
13-14
17-19
12-19
22-22
16-16
18-12
19-19
26-22
32-18
24-23
25-28
160.8Avg total
82.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.075.7141.7-9.733%
Season at home (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Season away (2)63.574.0137.5-10.550%
Last 10 (10)82.977.9160.8+5.070%
Last 5 (5)79.078.8157.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.073.8142.8-4.850%
vs Similar (14)78.673.9152.5+4.657%
vs Weaker (11)92.875.5168.3+17.4100%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
FC PortoNorrkoping
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/09
LPB
Nevezis
#48
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manisa
#13
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Norrkoping
#43
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Benfica
#1
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#30
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H27/10
LPB
Manisa
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H04/11
LPB
78.2Avg total
43.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.584.0+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.437.982.2+6.576%-
Last 30 away (13)42.343.986.2-1.646%-
Last 10 (10)43.734.578.2+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.031.476.4+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.444.081.4-6.640%-
vs Similar (7)36.742.379.0-5.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.838.886.6+8.983%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#17
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#28
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H29/09
Champions League
Uppsala
#7
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H06/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A10/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A13/10
Basketligan
FC Porto
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sodertalje
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/10
Basketligan
Manisa
#13
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bakken Bears
#30
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Lulea
#3
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H04/11
Basketligan
80.3Avg total
41.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.277.8+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.637.482.0+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)36.537.173.5-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.480.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.879.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.238.872.0-5.50%-
vs Similar (14)38.935.874.7+3.171%-
vs Weaker (11)46.137.883.9+8.382%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.823.7
50.6%
52.2%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.7
33.9%
33.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
73.0%13.8
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.0
55.6%
52.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.4
35.3%
33.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.811.9
70.8%
73.0%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWWWWLWW
Norrkoping
WWLWLWWWLW
#12
League position
#43
+19.7
Net rating
+6.3
116.9
Offensive rating
108.5
97.2
Defensive rating
102.1
50.7%
Effective FG%
54.3%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
35.3%
54.0%
Assist %
70.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 108.5Defence97.2 · 102.1Shooting50.7% · 54.3%3-point %33.9% · 35.3%Ball care12.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds37.9% · 28.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ FC Porto   ■ Norrkoping
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FC Porto wins
0
Norrkoping wins
DateGameScore
17/10/23Norrkoping v FC Porto71-79
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HVitoria94-72
01/11/23HManisa84-67
27/10/23HEsgueira106-82
24/10/23HBakken Bears89-78
21/10/23HBenfica79-62
17/10/23ANorrkoping79-71
14/10/23HImortal92-60
05/10/23AManisa70-80
03/10/23HNevezis100-84
23/09/23ACD Povoa91-76
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HBC Lulea107-91
01/11/23ABakken Bears75-69
25/10/23AManisa52-79
21/10/23HSodertalje90-76
17/10/23HFC Porto71-79
13/10/23AUmea98-75
10/10/23ANassjo84-70
06/10/23HUppsala101-89
29/09/23HBenfica73-83
27/09/23ABakken Bears78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game84.491.074.5
Allowed / game76.076.375.5
Point differential+8.4+14.7-1.0
Avg total160.4167.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Norrkoping
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game66.071.063.5
Allowed / game75.779.074.0
Point differential-9.7-8.0-10.5
Avg total141.7150.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz440100%89.566.8+22.8
2 Bilbao440100%88.568.0+20.5
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia440100%87.575.8+11.8
5 Balkan220100%84.574.0+10.5
6 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
7 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
8 Manisa65183%81.875.0+6.8
9 FC Porto54180%84.476.0+8.4
10 Nymburk43175%88.276.8+11.5
11 Varese43175%95.086.0+9.0
12 Jonava43175%91.583.5+8.0
13 Leiden43175%56.849.2+7.5
14 Bahcesehir Kol.43175%86.279.0+7.2
15 Caledonia Gladiators43175%75.076.0-1.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
17 Rostock64267%85.774.3+11.3
18 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
19 Sabah Baku74357%75.779.4-3.7
20 CSM Oradea42250%84.880.2+4.5
21 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
22 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
23 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
24 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
25 Levice42250%75.878.5-2.8
26 Spojnia Stargard42250%77.580.2-2.8
27 AEK Larnaca42250%76.079.2-3.2
28 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
29 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
30 Peja42250%79.290.0-10.8
31 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Alba Fehervar31233%87.791.0-3.3
34 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
35 Norrkoping31233%66.075.7-9.7
36 Anwil Wloclawek41325%73.066.5+6.5
37 Mornar Bar41325%71.878.0-6.2
38 TSU41325%78.085.2-7.2
39 Karhu Basket41325%80.590.2-9.8
40 Keravnos61517%80.383.0-2.7
41 Kataja61517%73.782.0-8.3
42 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
43 Bakken Bears4040%75.882.8-7.0
44 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
45 Den Bosch4040%76.085.2-9.2
46 Brindisi3030%76.386.0-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu4040%60.086.0-26.0
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2121222084
Norrkoping198251264
← all games of the day
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