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PAOK vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 93-96
22-21 20-23 28-20 23-32
Position#6
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game66.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 2· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · PAOK v Panathinaikos
27 Dec 2026
PAK v PAO
upcoming
30 May 2026
PAK94
PAO102
18 Jan 2026
PAK69
PAO74
12 Oct 2024
PAK93
PAO96
18 May 2024
PAK96
PAO99
17 Mar 2024
PAK73
PAO89
29 Sep 2023
PAK64
PAO77
13 Mar 2023
PAK81
PAO73
07 Nov 2021
PAK64
PAO81
18 Apr 2021
PAK68
PAO74
19 Oct 2019
PAK88
PAO104
17 Feb 2019
PAK73
PAO79
16 Dec 2018
PAK83
PAO93
29 May 2018
PAK72
PAO88
04 Feb 2018
PAK74
PAO91
08 Jan 2017
PAK68
PAO72
02 Jun 2015
PAK65
PAO83
22 Feb 2015
PAK68
PAO71
04 Jan 2015
PAK71
PAO54
19 May 2014
PAK65
PAO72
06 Apr 2014
PAK71
PAO82
18 May 2013
PAK61
PAO71
10 Dec 2011
PAK60
PAO77
21 May 2011
PAK69
PAO75
22 Jan 2011
PAK61
PAO84
07 Mar 2010
PAK74
PAO82
27 Apr 2009
PAK78
PAO82
11 Apr 2009
PAK77
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 69
A06/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
86avg 69
H14/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
91-99
91
99
-8
83avg 69
A21/04
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
77-62
77
62
+15
67avg 69
H27/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
66-84
66
84
-18
57avg 69
A16/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
86avg 69
H18/05
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 69
H19/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
62avg 69
H21/09
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 69
A05/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
W
74-70
74
70
+4
63avg 69
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
18-25
20-25
23-17
22-18
14-12
24-21
25-19
28-29
19-20
21-29
23-21
18-18
22-18
17-15
20-11
18-22
19-24
13-20
16-18
22-29
27-15
18-17
22-28
19-24
25-21
22-25
15-10
22-12
8-17
23-21
16-29
18-20
28-17
23-18
11-17
21-21
14-21
14-16
25-12
160.8Avg total
80.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.480.4160.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)80.080.0160.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.986.1160.1-12.213%
vs Similar (11)75.778.2153.9-2.545%
vs Weaker (3)82.767.7150.3+15.0100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
77avg 80
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 80
A07/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
83-76
83
76
+7
72avg 80
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 80
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 80
H14/06
Basket League
Aris
#4
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 80
H28/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 80
H29/09
Super Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 80
A03/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
80-66
80
66
+14
84avg 80
A06/10
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
90avg 80
H10/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-27
19-20
28-23
24-21
15-17
16-24
31-30
23-18
20-16
18-25
22-17
17-22
27-29
20-13
24-21
20-22
28-17
17-25
22-18
20-20
24-10
22-16
15-22
16-21
22-24
24-18
23-23
26-17
19-19
17-21
25-20
21-14
21-17
17-19
21-16
25-16
22-18
19-24
28-21
165.5Avg total
85.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.580.0165.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)85.475.2160.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)84.279.8164.0+4.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.576.5163.0+10.090%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
PAOKPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H14/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A21/04
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/05
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H19/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H21/09
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A05/10
Basket League
Limburg
#26
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
81.1Avg total
40.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.778.6-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.878.0+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.979.2-4.514%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.581.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.480.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.343.680.9-6.313%-
vs Similar (11)40.135.775.8+4.473%-
vs Weaker (3)40.738.379.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/06
Basket League
Aris
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H28/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/09
Super Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A06/10
Basket League
Bayern
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H10/10
Euroleague
81.1Avg total
42.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.581.5+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.637.280.9+6.476%-
Last 30 away (13)42.240.182.2+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.481.1+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.278.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)41.641.883.3-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.637.080.7+6.676%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.2
47.6%
53.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.7%
34.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.314.0
65.7%
73.3%14.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.6
59.2%
53.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.0
36.7%
34.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
73.3%14.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WWLWLLWLWL
Panathinaikos
WWWLWWWWLL
#6
League position
#1
-0.8
Net rating
+8.4
103.9
Offensive rating
120.4
104.7
Defensive rating
112.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
57.5%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.7%
3-point %
36.7%
61.9%
Assist %
52.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 120.4Defence104.7 · 112.0Shooting48.8% · 57.5%3-point %33.7% · 36.7%Ball care17.7% · 16.1%Off. rebounds35.2% · 33.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ PAOK   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
18/05/24PAOK v Panathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24Panathinaikos v PAOK84-66
17/03/24PAOK v Panathinaikos73-89
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
29/09/23PAOK v Panathinaikos64-77
13/03/23PAOK v Panathinaikos81-73
27/11/22Panathinaikos v PAOK87-63
26/03/22Panathinaikos v PAOK77-67
07/11/21PAOK v Panathinaikos64-81
18/04/21PAOK v Panathinaikos68-74
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24ALimburg74-70
05/10/24APeristeri80-72
21/09/24HPetkim Spor69-79
19/09/24HCSM Oradea81-80
18/05/24HPanathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24APanathinaikos66-84
27/04/24HMaroussi77-62
21/04/24AAEK Athens91-99
14/04/24HAS Karditsas85-70
06/04/24ALavrio85-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/24HBayern94-79
06/10/24AAS Karditsas80-66
03/10/24AAlba Berlin87-77
29/09/24HOlympiacos85-86
28/09/24HAris81-68
14/06/24HOlympiacos87-82
12/06/24AOlympiacos88-85
10/06/24HOlympiacos83-76
07/06/24AOlympiacos86-92
05/06/24HOlympiacos84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game72.0-72.0
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total152.0-152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game66.0-66.0
Point differential+14.0-+14.0
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos110100%93.075.0+18.0
2 Panathinaikos110100%80.066.0+14.0
3 AEK Athens110100%70.059.0+11.0
4 PAOK110100%80.072.0+8.0
5 Promitheas110100%84.080.0+4.0
6 Panionios110100%67.065.0+2.0
7 Kolossos Rhodes1010%65.067.0-2.0
8 Maroussi1010%80.084.0-4.0
9 Peristeri1010%72.080.0-8.0
10 Aris1010%59.070.0-11.0
11 AS Karditsas1010%66.080.0-14.0
12 Lavrio1010%75.093.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2220282393
Panathinaikos2123203296
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