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Fenerbahce vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 85-82 (OT)
19-23 19-12 24-19 14-22 9-6
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano
12 Feb 2027
FEN v MIL
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
FEN79
MIL75
29 Nov 2024
FEN85
MIL91
06 Oct 2023
FEN85
MIL82
21 Mar 2023
FEN75
MIL82
12 Nov 2021
FEN43
MIL68
15 Dec 2020
FEN71
MIL79
13 Dec 2018
FEN92
MIL85
22 Feb 2018
FEN89
MIL70
06 Jan 2017
FEN86
MIL79
20 Mar 2015
FEN98
MIL77
17 Oct 2014
FEN77
MIL74
28 Mar 2014
FEN73
MIL82
25 Jan 2012
FEN65
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Tofas
#6
W
93-78
93
78
+15
no box
H27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
no box
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
89-105
89
105
-16
no box
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
95-58
95
58
+37
98avg 76
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
19-15
20-20
26-23
26-13
23-25
21-22
28-27
23-17
28-20
26-17
31-12
25-16
20-24
16-25
29-27
24-22
27-30
27-19
13-26
20-16
21-29
20-20
17-22
16-21
27-22
27-14
24-22
36-24
22-27
17-29
14-25
24-17
17-21
20-23
21-19
30-17
21-13
33-16
11-12
174.7Avg total
91.8Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.882.9174.7+8.960%
Last 5 (5)87.681.8169.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.881.2157.0-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.687.2173.8-0.527%
vs Weaker (13)88.876.5165.4+12.385%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
93-61
93
61
+32
96avg 76
A01/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 76
H09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
73avg 76
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-69
61
69
-8
50avg 76
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
78avg 76
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
56avg 76
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
67-55
67
55
+12
63avg 76
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 76
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 76
H01/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
19-20
25-17
27-8
21-19
15-25
27-20
29-18
14-17
24-18
19-19
22-22
17-15
12-19
13-18
19-17
14-24
17-16
16-20
29-16
26-24
16-13
17-17
20-18
27-23
16-26
16-18
7-18
21-9
17-20
10-5
19-21
12-14
20-20
21-25
20-19
17-24
21-16
24-21
24-19
153.6Avg total
78.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.575.1153.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)74.274.0148.2+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.281.2156.5-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.677.2156.8+2.356%
vs Weaker (16)86.272.9159.1+13.281%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.0+4.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.0+4.0
FenerbahceOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#6
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.6Avg total
47.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.783.3+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.437.082.4+8.475%-
Last 30 away (14)41.742.784.4-1.029%-
Last 10 (10)47.740.988.6+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.488.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.840.077.8-2.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.342.687.9+2.655%-
vs Weaker (13)45.037.082.0+8.069%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/10
Lega A
74.6Avg total
36.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.676.9+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.234.275.4+7.071%-
Last 30 away (13)39.239.778.8-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.874.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.876.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.042.878.8-6.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.238.177.3+1.156%-
vs Weaker (16)42.534.376.8+8.269%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.2
51.0%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.3
38.4%
36.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.813.4
79.8%
77.4%13.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.516.8
55.1%
53.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.6
34.7%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
77.4%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWLWLLLWWW
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLWWW
#7
League position
#12
+0.7
Net rating
+7.1
115.2
Offensive rating
110.8
114.5
Defensive rating
103.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.4%
3-point %
34.7%
61.1%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 110.8Defence114.5 · 103.7Shooting53.3% · 53.6%3-point %38.4% · 34.7%Ball care13.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.1% · 29.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fenerbahce wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor95-58
24/09/23HNizhny Novgorod82-80
23/09/23HLokomotiv Kuban89-105
21/09/23AMBA Moscow94-79
09/06/23AAnadolu Efes78-87
07/06/23AAnadolu Efes91-97
05/06/23HAnadolu Efes90-92
03/06/23HAnadolu Efes108-66
31/05/23ATofas98-87
27/05/23HTofas93-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HTreviso86-80
23/09/23HVirtus Bologna73-78
23/06/23HVirtus Bologna67-55
21/06/23AVirtus Bologna66-85
19/06/23HVirtus Bologna79-72
16/06/23AVirtus Bologna89-93 OT
14/06/23AVirtus Bologna61-69
11/06/23HVirtus Bologna79-76
09/06/23HVirtus Bologna92-82
01/06/23ASassari93-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda110100%94.073.0+21.0
2 Barcelona110100%91.074.0+17.0
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
4 Bayern110100%80.068.0+12.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%82.079.0+3.0
6 Virtus Bologna1010%79.082.0-3.0
7 Alba Berlin1010%68.080.0-12.0
8 Partizan1010%81.096.0-15.0
9 Anadolu Efes1010%74.091.0-17.0
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Fenerbahce19192414985
Olimpia Milano23121922682
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