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Fenerbahce vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:45
Scheduled
Position#7
Record6-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#19
Record1-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game90.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano
12 Feb 2027
FEN v MIL
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
FEN79
MIL75
29 Nov 2024
FEN85
MIL91
06 Oct 2023
FEN85
MIL82
21 Mar 2023
FEN75
MIL82
12 Nov 2021
FEN43
MIL68
15 Dec 2020
FEN71
MIL79
13 Dec 2018
FEN92
MIL85
22 Feb 2018
FEN89
MIL70
06 Jan 2017
FEN86
MIL79
20 Mar 2015
FEN98
MIL77
17 Oct 2014
FEN77
MIL74
28 Mar 2014
FEN73
MIL82
25 Jan 2012
FEN65
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Fenerbahce
3.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.5
78.4▼ 5.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.6
79.2▼ 1.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
55%▼ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.4
17.2▼ 0.2
🔥 Form · Olimpia Milano
3.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.8
85.2▼ 2.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.7
86.6▲ 0.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
62%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.8
17.2▼ 1.6
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
100-85
100
85
+15
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-26
23-11
17-29
24-27
17-19
14-21
19-25
23-16
32-23
22-27
23-19
27-14
23-29
28-13
21-24
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
162.6Avg total
82.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.976.6156.4+3.367%
Season at home (5)85.471.0156.4+14.4100%
Season away (4)73.083.5156.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)82.480.2162.6+2.260%
Last 5 (5)78.479.2157.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.591.0164.5-17.50%
vs Similar (18)82.278.8161.1+3.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.574.4164.9+16.1100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
106-77
106
77
+29
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-23
15-14
19-17
20-24
25-27
17-23
17-23
27-28
33-11
20-21
26-17
25-21
15-32
27-31
22-14
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
175.0Avg total
86.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.090.2172.2-8.211%
Season at home (4)88.593.2181.8-4.825%
Season away (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 10 (10)86.988.1175.0-1.220%
Last 5 (5)85.286.6171.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.790.2173.9-6.611%
vs Similar (3)84.388.3172.7-4.033%
vs Weaker (18)89.980.4170.3+9.678%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
FenerbahceOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korfez Basket
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/10
Euroleague
Cayirova
#16
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#5
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
38.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.981.0+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.477.9+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.283.8+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.278.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.473.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.544.281.8-6.80%-
vs Similar (18)39.640.880.3-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.535.682.1+10.988%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
44.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.087.4+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.241.290.4+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.984.3-1.427%-
Last 10 (10)44.644.689.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.683.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.344.988.2-1.622%-
vs Similar (3)40.744.385.0-3.733%-
vs Weaker (18)47.140.287.3+6.967%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.8
57.7%
55.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
77.1%15.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
55.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LLWWLWWWLW
Olimpia Milano
LLLLWLLWLL
#7
League position
#19
+1.9
Net rating
-1.4
96.7
Offensive rating
100.0
94.8
Defensive rating
101.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
55.5%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.9%
3-point %
36.0%
61.1%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 100.0Defence94.8 · 101.4Shooting53.7% · 55.5%3-point %32.9% · 36.0%Ball care15.6% · 16.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
13/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas99-80
10/10/26ACayirova100-85
08/10/26APanathinaikos74-92
04/10/26HKorfez Basket85-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
13/10/26HReal Madrid89-98
11/10/26HTreviso106-77
08/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-97
05/10/26AVerona72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game79.985.473.0
Allowed / game76.671.083.5
Point differential+3.3+14.4-10.5
Avg total156.4156.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game82.088.576.8
Allowed / game90.293.287.8
Point differential-8.2-4.8-11.0
Avg total172.2181.8164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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