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Fenerbahce vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 85-91
19-24 18-17 26-25 22-25
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#11
Record5-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game87.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano
12 Feb 2027
FEN v MIL
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
FEN79
MIL75
29 Nov 2024
FEN85
MIL91
06 Oct 2023
FEN85
MIL82
21 Mar 2023
FEN75
MIL82
12 Nov 2021
FEN43
MIL68
15 Dec 2020
FEN71
MIL79
13 Dec 2018
FEN92
MIL85
22 Feb 2018
FEN89
MIL70
06 Jan 2017
FEN86
MIL79
20 Mar 2015
FEN98
MIL77
17 Oct 2014
FEN77
MIL74
28 Mar 2014
FEN73
MIL82
25 Jan 2012
FEN65
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#15
W
97-87
97
87
+10
100avg 84
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
84-82
84
82
+2
78avg 84
H29/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 84
H01/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#11
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 84
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
77-73
77
73
+4
68avg 84
A08/11
Euroleague
Manisa
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
89avg 84
A10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 84
H12/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 84
A15/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
86-72
86
72
+14
77avg 84
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 84
A20/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
27-21
28-23
21-14
16-21
22-19
20-27
26-15
22-15
22-16
23-22
22-19
9-22
24-15
18-20
15-18
15-19
18-17
18-16
26-21
24-21
24-20
26-21
16-20
13-21
22-9
32-28
20-18
17-21
26-5
9-21
20-18
21-21
28-14
18-15
19-22
23-22
14-16
19-23
30-21
160.0Avg total
83.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.275.2154.4+4.082%
Season at home (6)79.276.3155.5+2.867%
Season away (5)79.273.8153.0+5.4100%
Last 10 (10)83.476.6160.0+6.890%
Last 5 (5)84.275.4159.6+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)76.876.2153.0+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.377.3165.7+11.090%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 75
H26/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 75
A29/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
94avg 75
H31/10
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
57-91
57
91
-34
42avg 75
A03/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 75
H07/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
76avg 75
H10/11
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
91avg 75
A12/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
88-81
88
81
+7
90avg 75
A15/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 75
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 75
H21/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
19-22
27-26
23-21
21-20
24-32
18-15
20-21
21-14
23-21
22-32
33-23
18-21
11-27
13-18
15-25
24-16
23-24
15-15
23-21
24-20
20-12
22-17
13-29
23-19
32-24
22-26
15-23
19-22
19-20
26-23
24-16
28-16
26-22
16-29
25-16
20-22
30-21
29-27
19-16
173.4Avg total
87.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.187.5173.6-1.545%
Season at home (6)87.884.5172.3+3.367%
Season away (5)84.091.2175.2-7.220%
Last 10 (10)87.486.0173.4+1.470%
Last 5 (5)92.286.6178.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.392.7170.0-15.30%
vs Similar (19)84.181.7165.8+2.474%
vs Weaker (7)91.180.0171.1+11.186%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
FenerbahceOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#15
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A27/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H29/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A08/11
Euroleague
Manisa
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H12/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A15/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H17/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A20/11
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
40.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.280.3+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.537.879.3+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)42.838.681.4+4.257%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.477.2+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.434.076.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)38.838.677.4+0.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.338.081.3+5.471%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/10
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H31/10
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A03/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H07/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/11
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A12/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H21/11
Euroleague
85.3Avg total
44.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.180.4+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.637.981.5+5.881%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.579.1-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.885.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.687.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)26.044.070.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (19)42.240.282.4+2.158%-
vs Weaker (7)45.636.381.9+9.386%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.4
46.1%
54.5%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.4
39.2%
36.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.012.9
80.6%
78.0%12.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.8
53.1%
54.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.7
41.3%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.216.5
81.7%
78.0%16.5
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWLWWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWWLWLW
#1
League position
#11
+4.7
Net rating
+1.6
110.1
Offensive rating
116.1
105.4
Defensive rating
114.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.9%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.2%
3-point %
41.3%
61.9%
Assist %
59.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 116.1Defence105.4 · 114.5Shooting52.0% · 56.9%3-point %39.2% · 41.3%Ball care19.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds34.6% · 28.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/24AVirtus Bologna86-82
17/11/24HAnadolu Efes86-72
15/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas72-65
12/11/24HBayern87-76
10/11/24AManisa90-82
08/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne77-73
03/11/24HPetkim Spor66-75
01/11/24HPartizan89-72
29/10/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-82
27/10/24ADarussafaka97-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
18/11/24ACremona95-83
15/11/24APartizan88-81
12/11/24AAlba Berlin101-105 OT
10/11/24HVenezia79-78
07/11/24HReal Madrid85-76
03/11/24ATrento57-91
31/10/24HVirtus Bologna99-90
29/10/24ABaskonia83-88
26/10/24HBasket Napoli89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%67%100%
Points / game79.279.279.2
Allowed / game75.276.373.8
Point differential+4.0+2.8+5.4
Avg total154.4155.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game86.187.884.0
Allowed / game87.584.591.2
Point differential-1.5+3.3-7.2
Avg total173.6172.3175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce119282%79.275.2+4.0
2 Paris129375%85.281.1+4.1
3 Bayern118373%89.685.3+4.4
4 Olympiacos128467%85.179.6+5.5
5 Panathinaikos117464%85.681.2+4.5
6 Monaco117464%84.780.7+4.0
7 Barcelona127558%86.185.4+0.7
8 Zalgiris Kaunas127558%74.674.3+0.2
9 Anadolu Efes116555%83.882.3+1.5
10 Real Madrid126650%84.982.8+2.1
11 Crvena zvezda115645%82.081.1+0.9
12 Olimpia Milano115645%86.187.5-1.5
13 Baskonia125742%76.378.7-2.3
14 Partizan124833%79.881.0-1.2
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv124833%84.086.9-2.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne113827%80.085.5-5.5
17 Virtus Bologna1221017%79.784.5-4.8
18 Alba Berlin1221017%79.091.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1918262285
Olimpia Milano2417252591
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