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Fenerbahce vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:45
Scheduled
Position#7
Record7-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#19
Record1-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game89.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano
12 Feb 2027
FEN v MIL
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
FEN79
MIL75
29 Nov 2024
FEN85
MIL91
06 Oct 2023
FEN85
MIL82
21 Mar 2023
FEN75
MIL82
12 Nov 2021
FEN43
MIL68
15 Dec 2020
FEN71
MIL79
13 Dec 2018
FEN92
MIL85
22 Feb 2018
FEN89
MIL70
06 Jan 2017
FEN86
MIL79
20 Mar 2015
FEN98
MIL77
17 Oct 2014
FEN77
MIL74
28 Mar 2014
FEN73
MIL82
25 Jan 2012
FEN65
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 79
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 79
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 79
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#12
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
14-23
29-27
29-22
20-20
159.8Avg total
82.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.978.6161.5+4.364%
Season at home (6)85.270.0155.2+15.2100%
Season away (5)80.289.0169.2-8.820%
Last 10 (10)82.577.3159.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.081.4168.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.585.5153.0-18.00%
vs Similar (16)81.679.1160.7+2.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.577.0167.5+13.583%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
89-98
89
98
-9
77avg 83
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#5
L
97-101
97
101
-4
93avg 83
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 83
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 83
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 83
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
15-32
27-31
22-14
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
175.2Avg total
86.8Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.189.6170.7-8.510%
Season at home (5)85.491.4176.8-6.020%
Season away (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 10 (10)86.888.4175.2-1.630%
Last 5 (5)81.883.2165.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.089.1171.1-7.112%
vs Similar (5)86.088.4174.4-2.440%
vs Weaker (17)88.579.6168.1+8.876%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
FenerbahceOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
38.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.981.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.8+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.884.1+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.176.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.572.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (16)38.841.480.2-2.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.138.185.2+9.083%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#5
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
89.4Avg total
44.7Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.287.0+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.041.489.4+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)41.143.184.3-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.789.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.245.086.2-3.812%-
vs Similar (5)42.442.284.6+0.240%-
vs Weaker (17)47.240.988.1+6.271%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
55.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
77.1%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
55.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWLLWWLW
Olimpia Milano
WLWLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#19
+3.1
Net rating
-1.4
97.9
Offensive rating
100.0
94.8
Defensive rating
101.4
54.2%
Effective FG%
55.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.1%
3-point %
36.0%
62.7%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 100.0Defence94.8 · 101.4Shooting54.2% · 55.5%3-point %33.1% · 36.0%Ball care15.6% · 16.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AParis109-111 OT
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
13/10/26HReal Madrid89-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%100%20%
Points / game82.985.280.2
Allowed / game78.670.089.0
Point differential+4.3+15.2-8.8
Avg total161.5155.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game81.185.476.8
Allowed / game89.691.487.8
Point differential-8.5-6.0-11.0
Avg total170.7176.8164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
6 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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