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Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-78
12-14 20-20 21-25 20-19
Position#3
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega A - Super CupLega A - Super Cup - Semi-finals· PalaLeonessa
Other2023-24
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna
25 Oct 2026
MIL94
VIR98
29 Sep 2026
MIL87
VIR85
26 Mar 2026
MIL103
VIR87
14 Dec 2025
MIL74
VIR63
07 Jun 2025
MIL78
VIR84
05 Jun 2025
MIL68
VIR78
08 Dec 2024
MIL73
VIR82
31 Oct 2024
MIL99
VIR90
22 Sep 2024
MIL98
VIR96
13 Jun 2024
MIL85
VIR73
11 Jun 2024
MIL81
VIR78
05 Apr 2024
MIL90
VIR75
10 Dec 2023
MIL82
VIR80
23 Sep 2023
MIL73
VIR78
23 Jun 2023
MIL67
VIR55
19 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR72
11 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR76
09 Jun 2023
MIL92
VIR82
19 Mar 2023
MIL69
VIR75
09 Nov 2022
MIL59
VIR64
28 Sep 2022
MIL64
VIR72
18 Jun 2022
MIL81
VIR64
14 Jun 2022
MIL77
VIR62
12 Jun 2022
MIL94
VIR82
05 Jan 2022
MIL102
VIR99
21 Sep 2021
MIL84
VIR90
07 Jun 2021
MIL72
VIR83
05 Jun 2021
MIL77
VIR83
17 Apr 2021
MIL94
VIR84
20 Sep 2020
MIL75
VIR68
19 Apr 2020
MIL v VIR
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
MIL84
VIR86
27 Jan 2019
MIL94
VIR75
05 Nov 2017
MIL72
VIR64
08 Nov 2015
MIL87
VIR72
20 May 2015
MIL99
VIR72
18 May 2015
MIL90
VIR67
26 Apr 2015
MIL117
VIR92
23 Feb 2014
MIL89
VIR66
27 Jan 2013
MIL91
VIR68
23 Oct 2011
MIL79
VIR64
10 Apr 2011
MIL71
VIR64
07 Mar 2010
MIL73
VIR71
19 Oct 2008
MIL68
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
95-72
95
72
+23
97avg 76
H27/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
141avg 76
H29/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
93-61
93
61
+32
96avg 76
A01/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
92-82
92
82
+10
84avg 76
H09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
73avg 76
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-69
61
69
-8
50avg 76
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
78avg 76
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
56avg 76
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
67-55
67
55
+12
63avg 76
H23/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
27-17
26-19
17-24
13-19
26-19
21-18
20-19
22-16
19-20
25-17
27-8
21-19
15-25
27-20
29-18
14-17
24-18
19-19
22-22
17-15
12-19
13-18
19-17
14-24
17-16
16-20
29-16
26-24
16-13
17-17
20-18
27-23
16-26
16-18
7-18
21-9
17-20
10-5
19-21
154.1Avg total
80.1Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.174.0154.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)72.474.8147.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.683.2160.8-5.640%
vs Similar (10)78.577.0155.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (15)86.272.5158.7+13.780%
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
84-61
84
61
+23
86avg 79
H28/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
108-78
108
78
+30
118avg 79
H30/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 79
A02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
81avg 79
A09/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-79
76
79
-3
72avg 79
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 79
H14/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 79
A19/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-66
85
66
+19
84avg 79
H21/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
55-67
55
67
-12
48avg 79
A23/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
21-11
19-17
21-20
23-20
32-20
25-18
28-20
21-26
18-29
27-15
23-12
19-21
25-15
20-27
18-29
17-14
18-24
19-19
22-22
15-17
19-12
18-13
17-19
24-14
16-17
20-16
16-29
24-26
13-16
17-17
18-20
23-27
26-16
18-16
18-7
9-21
20-17
5-10
21-19
156.7Avg total
81.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.375.4156.7+5.960%
Last 5 (5)74.872.4147.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.593.5167.0-20.00%
vs Similar (11)78.276.3154.5+1.955%
vs Weaker (15)91.779.5171.2+12.180%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H27/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H29/05
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H09/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/06
Lega A
76.0Avg total
38.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.177.6+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.634.876.4+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.239.979.1-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.176.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.874.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.842.679.4-5.840%-
vs Similar (10)38.939.278.1-0.350%-
vs Weaker (15)42.833.976.7+8.973%-
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H28/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H30/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H14/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H21/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/06
Lega A
78.2Avg total
40.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.382.4+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.338.682.9+5.771%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.981.9-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.678.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.674.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.547.279.8-14.80%-
vs Similar (11)40.337.577.8+2.755%-
vs Weaker (15)45.940.586.4+5.360%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.215.6
51.7%
-31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.4
38.3%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws17.914.4
80.4%
-14.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.118.8
60.5%
-37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws23.517.5
74.5%
-17.5
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLLWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
LWLWWLLWWW
#3
League position
#1
+11.6
Net rating
+8.3
114.6
Offensive rating
112.6
103.0
Defensive rating
104.3
54.5%
Effective FG%
56.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.42
38.3%
3-point %
34.4%
64.8%
Assist %
70.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/23HVirtus Bologna67-55
21/06/23AVirtus Bologna66-85
19/06/23HVirtus Bologna79-72
16/06/23AVirtus Bologna89-93 OT
14/06/23AVirtus Bologna61-69
11/06/23HVirtus Bologna79-76
09/06/23HVirtus Bologna92-82
01/06/23ASassari93-61
29/05/23HSassari80-75
27/05/23HSassari95-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/23AOlimpia Milano55-67
21/06/23HOlimpia Milano85-66
19/06/23AOlimpia Milano72-79
16/06/23HOlimpia Milano93-89 OT
14/06/23HOlimpia Milano69-61
11/06/23AOlimpia Milano76-79
09/06/23AOlimpia Milano82-92
02/06/23ATortona89-82
30/05/23HTortona108-78
28/05/23HTortona84-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A - Super Cup 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Virtus Bologna
Lega A - Super Cup 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1220212073
Virtus Bologna1420251978
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