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Fenerbahce vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 75-82
18-23 17-14 17-24 23-21
Position#7
Record17-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#12
Record12-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2022
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano
12 Feb 2027
FEN v MIL
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
FEN79
MIL75
29 Nov 2024
FEN85
MIL91
06 Oct 2023
FEN85
MIL82
21 Mar 2023
FEN75
MIL82
12 Nov 2021
FEN43
MIL68
15 Dec 2020
FEN71
MIL79
13 Dec 2018
FEN92
MIL85
22 Feb 2018
FEN89
MIL70
06 Jan 2017
FEN86
MIL79
20 Mar 2015
FEN98
MIL77
17 Oct 2014
FEN77
MIL74
28 Mar 2014
FEN73
MIL82
25 Jan 2012
FEN65
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
W
101-86
101
86
+15
89avg 78
H03/02
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
93avg 78
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
104-72
104
72
+32
105avg 78
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 78
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 78
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
no box
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
72avg 78
A16/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
26-20
24-14
20-25
13-13
19-9
19-21
11-18
22-22
25-24
21-23
29-25
31-14
27-15
27-23
19-20
26-19
25-24
18-17
23-18
25-17
14-26
17-18
18-17
18-30
19-10
24-16
20-17
21-22
27-24
21-27
29-29
21-22
21-21
18-18
20-21
25-17
21-21
26-26
23-16
169.0Avg total
88.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.580.6165.1+3.961%
Season at home (14)85.677.9163.4+7.771%
Season away (14)83.483.4166.7+0.050%
Last 10 (10)88.480.6169.0+7.870%
Last 5 (5)85.683.0168.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.093.5163.5-23.50%
vs Similar (9)80.782.9163.6-2.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.179.9168.0+8.174%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
W
87-75
87
75
+12
89avg 73
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 73
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-62
83
62
+21
80avg 73
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
92avg 73
H05/03
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 73
A07/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
76-62
76
62
+14
72avg 73
H09/03
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
178avg 73
A12/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 73
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
66avg 73
H19/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
24-23
23-18
19-12
19-20
10-25
26-11
17-19
20-21
20-18
24-21
14-16
20-17
15-15
26-14
22-16
26-21
26-18
25-12
12-29
17-21
22-21
26-13
23-29
13-19
17-10
19-17
27-16
29-15
23-26
27-17
19-21
23-24
17-18
26-25
21-24
15-26
21-23
19-8
14-18
158.6Avg total
82.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.576.8150.4-3.343%
Season at home (15)73.874.1147.9-0.347%
Season away (13)73.279.9153.2-6.738%
Last 10 (10)82.775.9158.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)83.678.2161.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.776.2154.8+2.550%
vs Similar (11)77.976.7154.6+1.264%
vs Weaker (12)80.873.7154.5+7.267%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +8.5+8.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +8.5+8.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
FenerbahceOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H03/02
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.4Avg total
45.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.983.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.141.485.4+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.842.382.1-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.785.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.084.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.554.585.0-24.00%-
vs Similar (9)38.642.981.4-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.540.184.5+4.458%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H05/03
Lega A
Valencia
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H09/03
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H19/03
Lega A
80.1Avg total
39.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.778.5+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.837.176.9+2.771%-
Last 30 away (13)39.740.880.5-1.223%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.380.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.235.572.7+1.767%-
vs Similar (11)39.741.180.8-1.445%-
vs Weaker (12)42.037.779.7+4.350%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
53.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.8
37.4%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.111.7
68.4%
78.5%11.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.1
57.9%
53.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.9
37.4%
36.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.315.1
78.2%
78.5%15.1
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLLWLWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#12
+1.0
Net rating
+11.9
116.4
Offensive rating
102.9
115.4
Defensive rating
90.9
55.3%
Effective FG%
57.2%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
37.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.4%
3-point %
37.4%
57.5%
Assist %
60.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 102.9Defence115.4 · 90.9Shooting55.3% · 57.2%3-point %37.4% · 37.4%Ball care16.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds35.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fenerbahce wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23HBesiktas95-80
16/03/23AValencia80-82
13/03/23AKarsiyaka98-102
10/03/23HBarcelona81-73
08/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-78
05/03/23HManisa92-78
03/03/23HVirtus Bologna104-72
23/02/23APartizan97-94
05/02/23AKonyaspor62-61
03/02/23HAlba Berlin101-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HVirtus Bologna69-75
16/03/23AReal Madrid87-91
12/03/23ABrindisi98-79
09/03/23HPartizan76-62
07/03/23AValencia88-84
05/03/23HScafati89-80
03/03/23HOlympiacos83-62
23/02/23HPanathinaikos78-76
15/02/23HBrescia72-75
12/02/23AVarese87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%71%50%
Points / game84.585.683.4
Allowed / game80.677.983.4
Point differential+3.9+7.7+0.0
Avg total165.1163.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL43%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %43%47%38%
Points / game73.573.873.2
Allowed / game76.874.179.9
Point differential-3.3-0.3-6.7
Avg total150.4147.9153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2921872%84.775.7+9.0
2 Real Madrid2920969%84.878.4+6.4
3 Barcelona29191066%80.777.3+3.4
4 Monaco29191066%83.981.6+2.3
5 Fenerbahce28171161%84.580.6+3.9
6 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%82.581.9+0.6
8 Baskonia29151452%86.384.1+2.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas29151452%75.477.5-2.1
10 Anadolu Efes29141548%82.181.3+0.8
11 Valencia29141548%83.085.5-2.6
12 Virtus Bologna29131645%78.381.3-3.0
13 Olimpia Milano28121643%73.576.8-3.3
14 Crvena zvezda29121741%76.178.7-2.7
15 Bayern29111838%76.879.6-2.8
16 Panathinaikos29101934%79.282.7-3.4
17 Alba Berlin2982128%79.684.7-5.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2982128%75.080.6-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1817172375
Olimpia Milano2314242182
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