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Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 70-83
10-22 22-15 24-18 14-28
Position#11
Record6-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#2
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game72.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Flamengo
07 Nov 2024
SAO 77
FLAM75
07 Dec 2023
SAO 70
FLAM83
17 May 2023
SAO 72
FLAM69
15 May 2023
SAO 96
FLAM79
25 Jan 2023
SAO 70
FLAM74
20 Dec 2022
SAO 66
FLAM91
23 Oct 2021
SAO 61
FLAM86
27 May 2021
SAO 85
FLAM93
24 May 2021
SAO 81
FLAM82
11 Apr 2021
SAO 66
FLAM75
23 Jan 2021
SAO 71
FLAM79
08 Dec 2020
SAO 80
FLAM68
30 Mar 2020
SAO v FLAM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
52-71
52
71
-19
34avg 72
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 72
H06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
99avg 72
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
70avg 72
A14/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
77avg 72
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
89-67
89
67
+22
85avg 72
H20/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 72
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 72
A28/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
81-74
81
74
+7
79avg 72
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
74avg 72
H04/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-17
16-17
14-19
13-18
24-23
19-26
12-19
15-18
21-19
24-19
21-24
28-24
16-19
18-20
19-18
25-24
19-20
18-21
22-16
22-18
20-25
20-19
22-10
27-13
24-30
16-21
14-15
21-17
15-19
20-20
19-18
30-22
17-16
19-15
22-24
23-19
13-22
31-22
17-14
17-19
156.1Avg total
78.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.380.5158.8-2.250%
Season at home (5)81.279.8161.0+1.460%
Season away (7)76.381.0157.3-4.743%
Last 10 (10)78.277.9156.1+0.360%
Last 5 (5)81.476.0157.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.283.2164.4-2.146%
vs Similar (11)79.882.5162.3-2.645%
vs Weaker (6)85.077.2162.2+7.883%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 80
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
93avg 80
H07/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
no box
A10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 80
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
92-55
92
55
+37
84avg 80
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 80
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
95-86
95
86
+9
90avg 80
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
91avg 80
H27/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-67
93
67
+26
90avg 80
H02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
73avg 80
A05/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
15-22
26-12
20-20
18-9
22-24
28-12
24-24
15-16
16-15
13-18
12-7
21-16
16-13
20-23
32-19
25-17
23-11
26-15
18-12
13-27
20-17
14-22
17-16
20-22
26-30
29-15
20-19
16-19
24-18
31-14
18-22
20-14
26-21
25-20
22-12
23-19
22-17
18-22
14-14
155.4Avg total
84.3Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.072.5155.5+10.582%
Season at home (7)87.070.4157.4+16.686%
Season away (4)76.076.2152.2-0.275%
Last 10 (10)84.371.1155.4+13.290%
Last 5 (5)83.676.0159.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.081.2159.2-3.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.373.5158.8+11.981%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
Sao PauloFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/12
NBB
78.9Avg total
37.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.981.3-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.540.284.7+4.462%-
Last 30 away (17)37.241.478.6-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.078.9-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.880.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.541.380.8-1.846%-
vs Similar (11)39.042.481.4-3.436%-
vs Weaker (6)44.837.282.0+7.750%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H07/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/12
NBB
76.8Avg total
40.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.879.1+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.737.679.2+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.838.178.9+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.476.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.882.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)39.845.885.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.536.678.1+4.965%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.0
54.8%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.3
33.3%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.914.3
79.9%
72.6%14.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.5
59.6%
51.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.4
32.3%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
72.6%14.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
WWWLWWLWLL
Flamengo
WWWWLWWWWW
#11
League position
#2
+0.1
Net rating
+16.6
111.3
Offensive rating
116.8
111.1
Defensive rating
100.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
32.3%
60.4%
Assist %
68.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 116.8Defence111.1 · 100.2Shooting52.8% · 54.5%3-point %33.3% · 32.3%Ball care14.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds24.9% · 33.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Paulo wins
7
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
17/05/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo72-69
15/05/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo96-79
12/05/23Flamengo v Sao Paulo72-80
01/04/23Flamengo v Sao Paulo79-70
26/01/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo70-74
20/12/22Sao Paulo v Flamengo66-91
02/04/22Flamengo v Sao Paulo88-78
23/10/21Sao Paulo v Flamengo61-86
27/05/21Sao Paulo v Flamengo85-93
24/05/21Sao Paulo v Flamengo81-82
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/23HBotafogo78-77
30/11/23AUniao Corinthians81-74
28/11/23ACaxias do Sul84-79
23/11/23HMinas75-83
20/11/23HPato89-67
17/11/23APinheiros81-75
14/11/23ACorinthians Paulista78-81
08/11/23HUnifacisa94-86
06/11/23HCearense70-86
02/11/23APaulistano52-71
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23APaulistano77-72
02/12/23HFranca93-67
27/11/23HBauru89-73
23/11/23AMogi95-86
21/11/23ASao Jose64-82
16/11/23HBrasilia92-55
13/11/23HCerrado89-71
10/11/23AVasco68-65 OT
07/11/23HBotafogo92-69
15/10/23HPato84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game78.381.276.3
Allowed / game80.579.881.0
Point differential-2.2+1.4-4.7
Avg total158.8161.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %82%86%75%
Points / game83.087.076.0
Allowed / game72.570.476.2
Point differential+10.5+16.6-0.2
Avg total155.5157.4152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1210283%82.974.0+8.9
2 Flamengo119282%83.072.5+10.5
3 Franca118373%86.575.3+11.2
4 Sao Jose118373%82.472.6+9.7
5 Cearense118373%78.775.3+3.5
6 Vasco128467%72.267.8+4.4
7 Paulistano128467%71.369.2+2.2
8 Unifacisa117464%77.373.5+3.8
9 Sao Paulo126650%78.380.5-2.2
10 Bauru136746%77.075.9+1.1
11 Uniao Corinthians125742%71.879.3-7.5
12 Corinthians Paulista104640%77.278.3-1.1
13 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
14 Cerrado124833%72.272.2+0.1
15 Caxias do Sul124833%72.481.0-8.6
16 Brasilia113827%71.383.9-12.6
17 Botafogo1331023%75.283.0-7.8
18 Pinheiros92722%77.881.6-3.8
19 Mogi1221017%73.780.2-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo1022241470
Flamengo2215182883
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