PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Paulistano vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 72-77
19-23 17-22 22-18 14-14
Position#7
Record8-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game72.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2023-24
Meetings · Paulistano v Flamengo
15 Nov 2025
PAUL80
FLAM82
23 Dec 2024
PAUL75
FLAM89
05 Dec 2023
PAUL72
FLAM77
22 Dec 2022
PAUL84
FLAM90
03 May 2022
PAUL68
FLAM87
01 May 2022
PAUL73
FLAM80
11 Nov 2021
PAUL87
FLAM81
15 May 2021
PAUL58
FLAM69
12 May 2021
PAUL75
FLAM81
25 Feb 2021
PAUL70
FLAM84
10 Feb 2020
PAUL70
FLAM86
16 Nov 2018
PAUL97
FLAM84
14 Nov 2017
PAUL72
FLAM67
23 Feb 2017
PAUL103
FLAM96
20 Nov 2015
PAUL67
FLAM60
31 Oct 2014
PAUL91
FLAM99
08 Feb 2014
PAUL67
FLAM98
29 Apr 2013
PAUL91
FLAM100
04 Apr 2013
PAUL93
FLAM94
26 Jan 2012
PAUL90
FLAM86
27 Feb 2011
PAUL82
FLAM91
30 Jan 2009
PAUL87
FLAM96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
64avg 64
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
71-52
71
52
+19
70avg 64
H02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
79avg 64
H04/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
67-55
67
55
+12
58avg 64
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
72-68
72
68
+4
65avg 64
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 64
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 64
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
58avg 64
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
63-51
63
51
+12
52avg 64
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-65
81
65
+16
76avg 64
A30/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
28-14
16-19
13-22
17-9
17-16
19-14
18-13
20-23
26-16
16-15
18-19
11-16
18-14
23-13
15-12
21-12
22-22
20-18
9-16
20-20
20-13
22-21
17-17
23-17
24-15
25-13
7-23
9-24
21-19
21-17
20-26
18-11
8-8
20-14
17-18
22-15
19-15
16-22
24-13
139.8Avg total
73.4Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.368.5139.7+2.873%
Season at home (5)73.666.8140.4+6.880%
Season away (6)69.369.8139.2-0.567%
Last 10 (10)73.466.4139.8+7.080%
Last 5 (5)74.668.2142.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)63.786.0149.7-22.30%
vs Similar (13)76.273.8150.0+2.354%
vs Weaker (14)82.167.6149.6+14.593%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
56avg 81
H13/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 81
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
93avg 81
H07/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
no box
A10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 81
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
92-55
92
55
+37
84avg 81
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 81
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
95-86
95
86
+9
90avg 81
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
91avg 81
H27/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-67
93
67
+26
90avg 81
H02/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
14-27
18-21
11-13
23-17
15-22
26-12
20-20
18-9
22-24
28-12
24-24
15-16
16-15
13-18
12-7
21-16
16-13
20-23
32-19
25-17
23-11
26-15
18-12
13-27
20-17
14-22
17-16
20-22
26-30
29-15
20-19
16-19
24-18
31-14
18-22
20-14
26-21
25-20
22-12
156.2Avg total
83.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.672.6156.2+11.080%
Season at home (7)87.070.4157.4+16.686%
Season away (3)75.777.7153.3-2.067%
Last 10 (10)83.672.6156.2+11.080%
Last 5 (5)86.672.6159.2+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.081.2159.2-3.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.373.7159.0+11.777%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
PaulistanoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A26/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A30/11
NBB
69.7Avg total
37.8Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.273.6+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.533.173.6+7.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.337.373.5-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)37.831.969.7+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.468.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)30.345.375.7-15.00%-
vs Similar (13)38.536.474.9+2.238%-
vs Weaker (14)39.931.971.9+8.079%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H13/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H07/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H02/12
NBB
78.1Avg total
40.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.279.1+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.737.679.2+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.979.0+1.343%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.178.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.281.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)39.845.885.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.237.078.2+4.262%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.8
48.2%
51.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
33.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.2
67.8%
72.6%12.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.8
60.7%
51.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.7
32.7%
33.9%29.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
77.2%
72.6%14.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WWLWWWWWWL
Flamengo
WWWLWWWWWL
#7
League position
#2
+10.2
Net rating
+17.9
102.7
Offensive rating
118.2
92.5
Defensive rating
100.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.7%
3-point %
32.7%
55.2%
Assist %
69.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 118.2Defence92.5 · 100.2Shooting47.9% · 55.3%3-point %31.7% · 32.7%Ball care19.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds37.1% · 32.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Paulistano   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paulistano wins
9
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
05/04/23Flamengo v Paulistano83-70
22/01/23Flamengo v Paulistano71-65
22/12/22Paulistano v Flamengo84-90
04/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo68-87
01/05/22Paulistano v Flamengo73-80
29/04/22Flamengo v Paulistano74-68 OT
18/03/22Flamengo v Paulistano73-70
15/01/22Flamengo v Paulistano71-68
11/11/21Paulistano v Flamengo87-81
15/05/21Paulistano v Flamengo58-69
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23ACaxias do Sul81-65
28/11/23AUniao Corinthians63-51
25/11/23HMinas71-86
22/11/23HPato79-68
17/11/23ACorinthians Paulista79-71
09/11/23APinheiros72-68
06/11/23HUnifacisa67-55
04/11/23HCearense80-73
02/11/23HSao Paulo71-52
26/10/23ABauru71-75
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HFranca93-67
27/11/23HBauru89-73
23/11/23AMogi95-86
21/11/23ASao Jose64-82
16/11/23HBrasilia92-55
13/11/23HCerrado89-71
10/11/23AVasco68-65 OT
07/11/23HBotafogo92-69
15/10/23HPato84-71
13/10/23HMinas70-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game71.373.669.3
Allowed / game68.566.869.8
Point differential+2.8+6.8-0.5
Avg total139.7140.4139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game83.687.075.7
Allowed / game72.670.477.7
Point differential+11.0+16.6-2.0
Avg total156.2157.4153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1110191%84.474.5+9.8
2 Flamengo108280%83.672.6+11.0
3 Cearense108280%79.275.0+4.2
4 Franca118373%86.575.3+11.2
5 Sao Jose118373%82.472.6+9.7
6 Paulistano118373%71.368.5+2.8
7 Vasco128467%72.267.8+4.4
8 Unifacisa106460%75.672.8+2.8
9 Sao Paulo126650%78.380.5-2.2
10 Bauru136746%77.075.9+1.1
11 Corinthians Paulista94544%77.778.4-0.8
12 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
13 Caxias do Sul114736%71.779.8-8.1
14 Uniao Corinthians114736%71.379.8-8.5
15 Cerrado113827%72.672.6+0.0
16 Brasilia113827%71.383.9-12.6
17 Botafogo1331023%75.283.0-7.8
18 Pinheiros92722%77.881.6-3.8
19 Mogi111109%73.480.9-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano1917221472
Flamengo2322181477
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.