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Brasilia vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-80
18-14 32-25 18-24 18-17
Position#6
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#16
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game81.8
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brasilia v Mogi
23 Mar 2026
BRAS72
MOGI69
26 Oct 2024
BRAS86
MOGI80
30 Nov 2023
BRAS81
MOGI80
19 Nov 2021
BRAS78
MOGI73
08 Jan 2021
BRAS86
MOGI90
05 Feb 2020
BRAS70
MOGI86
15 Jan 2019
BRAS76
MOGI80
13 Dec 2016
BRAS86
MOGI75
22 Jan 2016
BRAS91
MOGI79
16 Jan 2015
BRAS86
MOGI88
12 Nov 2014
BRAS70
MOGI92
23 Nov 2013
BRAS78
MOGI85
24 Jan 2013
BRAS94
MOGI67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
84-103
84
103
-19
66avg 58
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
50-95
50
95
-45
29avg 58
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 58
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
100-105
100
105
-5
95avg 58
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 58
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 58
H11/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
40avg 58
A12/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 58
A15/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 58
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
70avg 58
H23/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
27-20
10-32
28-22
11-27
13-21
8-23
18-24
29-23
11-27
22-20
22-23
20-26
26-36
27-20
27-23
27-24
13-22
18-29
25-27
14-27
16-23
14-11
25-7
15-16
18-18
13-17
20-23
19-28
20-22
24-20
28-23
17-25
14-17
20-23
23-14
25-22
16-17
13-20
27-17
167.0Avg total
78.2Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.080.5158.5-2.525%
Season at home (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Season away (3)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)78.288.8167.0-10.620%
Last 5 (5)76.278.0154.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)73.990.1164.0-16.27%
vs Similar (2)86.084.5170.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 63
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
64-61
64
61
+3
61avg 63
H09/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 63
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 63
H19/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
57-97
57
97
-40
34avg 63
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 63
H12/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
70-72 OT
70
72
-2
56avg 63
H14/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
66-65
66
65
+1
59avg 63
H17/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
66-114
66
114
-48
55avg 63
H19/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
48avg 63
A24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
16-20
24-13
22-24
17-13
15-12
17-13
15-23
18-23
10-18
18-26
22-13
19-18
17-26
15-20
15-14
15-23
17-27
17-21
8-26
19-17
21-21
18-15
14-14
12-17
17-12
21-18
15-18
12-12
16-16
20-14
18-23
20-25
14-30
5-29
27-30
14-21
24-17
10-24
13-29
147.5Avg total
67.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)67.081.8148.8-14.840%
Season at home (4)68.579.5148.0-11.050%
Season away (1)61.091.0152.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)67.180.4147.5-13.340%
Last 5 (5)67.081.8148.8-14.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)69.081.6150.6-12.626%
vs Similar (6)77.277.5154.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (1)104.061.0165.0+43.0100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
BrasiliaMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H11/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H23/10
NBB
84.0Avg total
37.0Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.745.682.4-8.910%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.845.684.4-6.814%-
Last 30 away (16)34.945.780.6-10.86%-
Last 10 (10)37.047.084.0-10.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.843.077.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)36.545.782.2-9.27%-
vs Similar (2)40.044.584.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H07/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H09/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A13/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H17/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H19/10
NBB
Minas
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/10
NBB
72.2Avg total
33.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.840.274.0-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.437.774.1-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)30.743.173.8-12.47%-
Last 10 (10)33.239.072.2-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.671.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.741.173.8-8.317%-
vs Similar (6)34.839.073.8-4.233%-
vs Weaker (1)51.027.078.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.613.9
45.4%
50.9%27.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.511.8
34.2%
33.0%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.2
75.5%
72.7%14.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.215.2
44.4%
50.9%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.6
32.5%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.310.5
64.4%
72.7%10.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WLLLWLLLLL
Mogi
LLWLWLLLWW
#6
League position
#16
-13.9
Net rating
-16.9
103.6
Offensive rating
91.6
117.5
Defensive rating
108.5
48.5%
Effective FG%
46.3%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
32.5%
59.5%
Assist %
60.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 91.6Defence117.5 · 108.5Shooting48.5% · 46.3%3-point %34.2% · 32.5%Ball care14.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds22.5% · 23.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Brasilia   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brasilia wins
8
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
20/03/24Mogi v Brasilia104-61
30/11/23Brasilia v Mogi81-80
19/02/22Mogi v Brasilia83-72
19/11/21Brasilia v Mogi78-73 OT
08/04/21Mogi v Brasilia97-77
08/01/21Brasilia v Mogi86-90
05/02/20Brasilia v Mogi70-86
02/12/19Mogi v Brasilia93-84
15/01/19Brasilia v Mogi76-80
27/10/18Mogi v Brasilia97-82
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HSao Jose81-76
17/10/24AFranca74-79
15/10/24ABauru91-93
12/10/24AMinas66-74
11/04/24HCearense69-68
08/04/24HUnifacisa83-102
06/04/24HFranca100-105
02/04/24ASao Paulo84-93
31/03/24APaulistano50-95
28/03/24HBauru84-103
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24AMinas61-91
19/10/24HFlamengo66-114
17/10/24HVasco66-65
14/10/24HBotafogo70-72 OT
12/10/24HPaulistano72-67
22/04/24AFranca57-97
19/04/24HFranca66-78
13/04/24ABauru68-80
09/04/24HPaulistano64-61
07/04/24HSao Paulo81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game78.081.077.0
Allowed / game80.576.082.0
Point differential-2.5+5.0-5.0
Avg total158.5157.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%50%0%
Points / game67.068.561.0
Allowed / game81.879.591.0
Point differential-14.8-11.0-30.0
Avg total148.8148.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo330100%84.075.7+8.3
2 Minas54180%82.870.8+12.0
3 Flamengo43175%78.565.5+13.0
4 Franca43175%81.880.5+1.2
5 Pinheiros43175%68.869.0-0.2
6 Uniao Corinthians32167%79.776.7+3.0
7 Pato53260%82.275.8+6.4
8 Corinthians Paulista42250%80.574.8+5.8
9 Bauru21150%87.086.5+0.5
10 Botafogo42250%69.573.2-3.8
11 Mogi52340%67.081.8-14.8
12 Paulistano31233%79.078.0+1.0
13 Caxias do Sul31233%75.376.0-0.7
14 Unifacisa31233%74.379.0-4.7
15 Cearense31233%68.778.7-10.0
16 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
17 Brasilia41325%78.080.5-2.5
18 Sao Jose5050%66.478.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia1832181886
Mogi1425241780
← all games of the day
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