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Cearense vs Franca Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 74-83
17-21 21-18 21-24 15-20
Position#17
Record8-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Franca 🏆
Brazil
Position#2
Record18-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game77.8
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cearense v Franca
23 Nov 2025
CEAR70
FRAN82
28 Mar 2025
CEAR74
FRAN83
03 Jan 2024
CEAR72
FRAN77
14 Feb 2023
CEAR65
FRAN102
05 Jan 2022
CEAR64
FRAN110
22 Apr 2021
CEAR64
FRAN82
06 Apr 2021
CEAR84
FRAN69
07 Feb 2020
CEAR75
FRAN97
31 Oct 2018
CEAR82
FRAN91
11 Mar 2018
CEAR75
FRAN73
15 Dec 2016
CEAR95
FRAN81
09 Mar 2016
CEAR99
FRAN71
20 Jan 2015
CEAR78
FRAN91
16 Nov 2013
CEAR80
FRAN65
02 Feb 2013
CEAR87
FRAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Franca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 64
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
63avg 64
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 64
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
62-84
62
84
-22
53avg 64
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 64
A13/02
NBB
Minas
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 64
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 64
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
87avg 64
A06/03
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 64
H11/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
14-19
16-16
19-19
17-31
29-19
23-16
11-10
18-21
14-18
23-17
19-19
17-20
18-17
21-19
27-18
21-26
9-14
15-29
17-15
21-20
19-21
17-24
22-19
21-16
18-23
21-27
26-26
18-20
15-18
32-23
14-14
25-12
23-20
10-26
29-26
18-19
18-24
13-17
17-14
156.7Avg total
76.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.878.1150.0-6.329%
Season at home (13)68.674.7143.3-6.131%
Season away (15)74.681.1155.7-6.527%
Last 10 (10)76.780.0156.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)79.481.8161.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.079.7150.7-8.716%
vs Similar (11)72.476.5148.9-4.245%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
77avg 78
H07/02
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#16
W
91-81
91
81
+10
94avg 78
A14/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
105-68
105
68
+37
107avg 78
A16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
96avg 78
H27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 78
H03/03
NBB
Quimsa
#9
W
71-69
71
69
+2
57avg 78
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
78-88
78
88
-10
62avg 78
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
74avg 78
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#4
W
93-71
93
71
+22
94avg 78
H18/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
90avg 78
A26/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
22-15
16-20
28-13
28-21
20-18
23-24
20-18
22-17
26-15
27-16
30-20
24-27
27-15
21-22
26-25
28-23
18-24
18-20
27-15
14-17
21-12
20-30
16-10
17-23
26-24
14-19
21-22
19-16
19-28
27-7
19-22
17-22
30-15
21-18
25-16
21-11
12-15
28-12
22-33
163.7Avg total
87.7Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.777.8161.5+5.967%
Season at home (12)84.575.8160.2+8.875%
Season away (15)83.179.4162.5+3.760%
Last 10 (10)87.776.0163.7+11.790%
Last 5 (5)81.874.4156.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.0103.0175.0-31.00%
vs Similar (2)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.575.6161.1+10.081%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +4.0+4.0
CearenseFranca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/02
NBB
Minas
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A06/03
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/03
NBB
78.1Avg total
37.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.740.375.1-5.620%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.339.572.8-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)36.241.177.3-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.678.1-3.110%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.677.8+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.240.575.7-5.326%-
vs Similar (11)33.940.174.0-6.29%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/02
Champions League Americas
Mogi
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A16/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/03
NBB
Quimsa
#9
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H12/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H18/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A26/03
NBB
80.6Avg total
42.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.278.4+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.237.279.3+5.062%-
Last 30 away (17)40.637.277.8+3.471%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.880.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.675.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (2)38.048.586.5-10.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.236.577.8+4.769%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.6
46.9%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.1
32.0%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
72.7%13.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.7
57.1%
50.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.3
37.3%
33.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.716.6
80.2%
72.7%16.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LWWLLLWLWL
Franca
WWWLWWWWWW
#17
League position
#2
-4.7
Net rating
+16.4
101.4
Offensive rating
117.8
106.1
Defensive rating
101.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
56.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.0%
3-point %
37.3%
63.7%
Assist %
59.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 117.8Defence106.1 · 101.4Shooting47.4% · 56.6%3-point %32.0% · 37.3%Ball care17.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 26.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Cearense   ■ Franca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cearense wins
9
Franca wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24Franca v Cearense97-71
16/01/24Franca v Cearense81-75
03/01/24Cearense v Franca72-77
14/02/23Cearense v Franca65-102
17/11/22Franca v Cearense78-62
07/04/22Franca v Cearense90-66
05/01/22Cearense v Franca64-110
24/04/21Franca v Cearense82-58
22/04/21Cearense v Franca64-82
06/04/21Cearense v Franca84-69
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HBauru66-74
06/03/25APaulistano87-84
04/03/25ASao Paulo79-75
28/02/25HMinas86-92
13/02/25AFlamengo79-84
07/02/25HBrasilia62-84
20/01/25ABotafogo83-74
18/01/25AVasco74-75
13/01/25HPato80-76
29/12/24AUniao Corinthians71-82
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25AUnifacisa83-71
18/03/25HBauru93-71
13/03/25HQuimsa84-73
12/03/25HQuimsa78-88
09/03/25AQuimsa71-69
03/03/25HPinheiros91-82
27/02/25HCorinthians Paulista98-89
16/02/25ASao Jose105-68
14/02/25AMogi91-81
07/02/25HInstituto de Cordoba83-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLWLLL31%
AwayLWLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %29%31%27%
Points / game71.868.674.6
Allowed / game78.174.781.1
Point differential-6.3-6.1-6.5
Avg total150.0143.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Franca
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game83.784.583.1
Allowed / game77.875.879.4
Point differential+5.9+8.8+3.7
Avg total161.5160.2162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%33%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2723485%82.871.5+11.3
2 Flamengo2821775%83.874.8+9.0
3 Franca2718967%83.777.8+5.9
4 Brasilia29191066%82.580.0+2.5
5 Uniao Corinthians27161159%79.378.8+0.4
6 Vasco29161355%77.276.0+1.2
7 Bauru29161355%78.079.0-1.0
8 Pinheiros29151452%76.375.5+0.9
9 Corinthians Paulista29141548%80.679.1+1.4
10 Unifacisa29141548%75.375.6-0.2
11 Sao Jose29141548%78.178.6-0.5
12 Paulistano29131645%78.877.1+1.7
13 Pato29111838%82.784.5-1.8
14 Sao Paulo29111838%75.979.4-3.6
15 Caxias do Sul28101836%74.579.3-4.8
16 Mogi2992031%74.081.4-7.4
17 Cearense2882029%71.878.1-6.3
18 Botafogo2882029%73.081.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1721211574
Franca2118242083
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