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Flamengo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-74
13-23 27-20 14-13 23-18
Position#2
Record10-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game72.3
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Cearense
Brazil
Position#8
Record8-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.5
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2023-24
Meetings · Flamengo v Cearense
23 Oct 2025
FLAM102
CEAR73
13 Feb 2025
FLAM84
CEAR79
03 May 2024
FLAM79
CEAR71
21 Dec 2023
FLAM77
CEAR74
25 Oct 2022
FLAM80
CEAR60
21 Dec 2021
FLAM91
CEAR74
26 Jan 2021
FLAM77
CEAR74
03 Feb 2020
FLAM78
CEAR71
26 Mar 2019
FLAM100
CEAR82
25 Mar 2018
FLAM87
CEAR85
20 Dec 2016
FLAM88
CEAR94
17 Feb 2016
FLAM66
CEAR67
18 Dec 2014
FLAM106
CEAR73
13 Jan 2014
FLAM72
CEAR69
15 Dec 2012
FLAM86
CEAR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 77
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
92-55
92
55
+37
84avg 77
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 77
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
95-86
95
86
+9
90avg 77
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
91avg 77
H27/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-67
93
67
+26
90avg 77
H02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
73avg 77
A05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
80avg 77
A07/12
NBB
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
81avg 77
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#10
L
62-80
62
80
-18
46avg 77
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
16-13
20-23
32-19
25-17
23-11
26-15
18-12
13-27
20-17
14-22
17-16
20-22
26-30
29-15
20-19
16-19
24-18
31-14
18-22
20-14
26-21
25-20
22-12
23-19
22-17
18-22
14-14
22-10
15-22
18-24
28-14
25-22
15-31
28-16
11-10
22-19
18-19
10-18
12-24
157.9Avg total
83.6Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.072.3155.3+10.783%
Season at home (7)87.070.4157.4+16.686%
Season away (5)77.475.0152.4+2.480%
Last 10 (10)83.674.3157.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)81.475.2156.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.081.2159.2-3.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.573.8158.3+10.777%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 72
A04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 72
A06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 72
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 72
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
71avg 72
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 72
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
64avg 72
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
62-63
62
63
-1
56avg 72
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 72
A18/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
16-26
15-16
19-18
23-24
26-19
19-12
18-15
17-21
14-10
25-17
21-17
19-16
25-25
18-22
25-21
20-13
17-17
24-17
17-18
17-15
19-16
20-17
20-27
9-25
17-19
26-17
30-21
24-21
18-21
16-20
16-16
17-23
15-9
15-17
15-14
24-26
15-21
26-20
21-23
155.0Avg total
78.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.075.5153.5+2.562%
Season at home (6)76.372.0148.3+4.367%
Season away (7)79.478.4157.9+1.057%
Last 10 (10)78.776.3155.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)77.279.8157.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.686.6163.1-10.029%
vs Similar (11)78.578.1156.6+0.573%
vs Weaker (5)74.875.6150.4-0.840%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
FlamengoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/12
NBB
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
Champions League Americas
79.6Avg total
41.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.279.4+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.280.2+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.238.278.4+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.479.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)39.845.885.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.437.078.5+4.465%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H12/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H24/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A29/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H08/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NBB
76.2Avg total
37.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.377.5-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.740.177.8-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)38.638.677.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.776.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.274.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.140.176.2-4.136%-
vs Similar (11)40.537.878.4+2.764%-
vs Weaker (5)38.840.279.0-1.420%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.5
56.1%
51.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.5
32.5%
33.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
72.6%14.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.0
57.1%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.0
37.3%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.410.5
64.0%
72.6%10.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
LWWWWWWLWW
Cearense
LLLLWWWWWL
#2
League position
#8
+13.2
Net rating
+5.6
114.2
Offensive rating
108.9
101.0
Defensive rating
103.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
56.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.5%
3-point %
37.3%
69.3%
Assist %
55.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 108.9Defence101.0 · 103.3Shooting52.5% · 56.7%3-point %32.5% · 37.3%Ball care15.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds32.3% · 26.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Flamengo   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
31/01/23Cearense v Flamengo64-99
25/10/22Flamengo v Cearense80-60
29/03/22Cearense v Flamengo91-94
21/12/21Flamengo v Cearense91-74
26/01/21Flamengo v Cearense77-74
12/11/20Cearense v Flamengo69-82
03/02/20Flamengo v Cearense78-71
09/11/19Cearense v Flamengo71-88
26/03/19Flamengo v Cearense100-82
13/10/18Cearense v Flamengo54-73
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HBoca Juniors62-80
14/12/23HHebraica y Macabi92-87 OT
07/12/23ASao Paulo83-70
05/12/23APaulistano77-72
02/12/23HFranca93-67
27/11/23HBauru89-73
23/11/23AMogi95-86
21/11/23ASao Jose64-82
16/11/23HBrasilia92-55
13/11/23HCerrado89-71
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23ABotafogo86-90
08/12/23HCaxias do Sul62-63
06/12/23HUniao Corinthians74-78
01/12/23AMinas88-93 OT
29/11/23APato76-75
24/11/23HCorinthians Paulista78-65
21/11/23HPinheiros87-84
12/11/23HUnifacisa77-65
06/11/23ASao Paulo86-70
04/11/23APaulistano73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %83%86%80%
Points / game83.087.077.4
Allowed / game72.370.475.0
Point differential+10.7+16.6+2.4
Avg total155.3157.4152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%86%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL62%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game78.076.379.4
Allowed / game75.572.078.4
Point differential+2.5+4.3+1.0
Avg total153.5148.3157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1512380%84.975.0+9.9
3 Franca1411379%86.174.7+11.4
4 Vasco1611569%72.968.6+4.2
5 Paulistano1611569%73.169.8+3.4
6 Sao Jose149564%81.173.4+7.7
7 Unifacisa149564%79.475.4+3.9
8 Cearense138562%78.075.5+2.5
9 Bauru1710759%79.076.6+2.4
10 Corinthians Paulista158753%81.380.8+0.5
11 Pinheiros156940%75.878.8-3.0
12 Sao Paulo156940%76.980.4-3.5
13 Caxias do Sul156940%72.378.5-6.3
14 Uniao Corinthians145936%73.180.7-7.6
15 Pato1551033%74.778.8-4.1
16 Cerrado1651131%73.273.6-0.4
17 Botafogo1751229%77.884.7-6.9
18 Brasilia1531220%71.685.8-14.2
19 Mogi1621412%73.680.3-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo1327142377
Cearense2320131874
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