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FMP Beograd vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-91
22-18 18-27 22-12 26-34
Position#11
Record7-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#3
Record11-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game74.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14· Belgrade
Domestic2024
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Buducnost
07 Nov 2026
FBE73
BUD76
28 Dec 2024
FBE88
BUD91
21 Mar 2024
FBE84
BUD76
29 Oct 2022
FBE96
BUD91
04 May 2022
FBE74
BUD79
08 Apr 2022
FBE77
BUD79
30 Jan 2021
FBE88
BUD99
14 Jan 2019
FBE70
BUD87
09 Dec 2017
FBE76
BUD93
27 Nov 2016
FBE69
BUD77
20 Mar 2010
FBE73
BUD70
14 Mar 2009
FBE85
BUD93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
64-91
64
91
-27
43avg 78
H04/11
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
62avg 78
H06/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
99avg 78
A11/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 78
H17/11
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 78
H29/11
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
L
66-72
66
72
-6
58avg 78
A03/12
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 78
A08/12
ABA League
Split
#14
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
93avg 78
H13/12
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
84-103
84
103
-19
80avg 78
A18/12
Champions League
Igokea
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
62avg 78
A21/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
11-26
20-15
16-21
22-21
21-12
17-24
18-26
28-21
24-20
13-19
21-26
14-17
21-27
13-15
19-24
23-17
16-25
23-19
24-23
21-27
20-15
6-14
19-16
15-13
28-23
21-18
17-22
27-19
25-19
21-21
10-24
10-23
27-28
24-30
23-22
12-21
22-21
13-24
23-17
167.5Avg total
80.3Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.283.5164.6-2.354%
Season at home (7)79.080.3159.3-1.371%
Season away (6)83.787.2170.8-3.533%
Last 10 (10)80.387.2167.5-6.940%
Last 5 (5)79.885.0164.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.684.6160.2-9.026%
vs Similar (6)93.087.2180.2+5.883%
vs Weaker (5)90.277.4167.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 81
A13/11
Eurocup
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
58avg 81
H17/11
ABA League
BC Wolves
#10
W
104-77
104
77
+27
105avg 81
H29/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#16
W
88-77
88
77
+11
86avg 81
H02/12
ABA League
Besiktas
#9
L
88-90
88
90
-2
87avg 81
H04/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#12
W
107-84
107
84
+23
108avg 81
H07/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 81
A11/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
97-90
97
90
+7
90avg 81
A15/12
ABA League
Trento
#16
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
112avg 81
H18/12
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 81
H22/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
16-21
24-21
12-17
13-23
22-17
22-18
18-20
29-18
28-19
25-24
22-16
29-18
20-19
26-22
13-18
19-19
26-20
15-26
28-25
29-24
17-21
33-19
28-20
9-21
16-22
26-24
20-15
22-24
32-22
23-22
20-22
24-25
23-24
30-22
18-24
26-25
29-17
24-28
18-17
176.0Avg total
90.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.874.2163.1+14.685%
Season at home (7)87.777.9165.6+9.971%
Season away (6)90.270.0160.2+20.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.985.1176.0+5.860%
Last 5 (5)96.490.2186.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.087.8169.8-5.850%
vs Similar (11)87.585.3172.8+2.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.675.5165.1+14.187%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
FMP BeogradBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
28-55
28
55
-27
H04/11
ABA League
Murcia
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A11/11
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H17/11
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H29/11
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/12
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/12
ABA League
Split
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H13/12
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A18/12
Champions League
Igokea
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/12
ABA League
82.8Avg total
40.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.982.1-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.141.981.9-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.982.3-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.482.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.883.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.342.678.9-6.416%-
vs Similar (6)48.539.588.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)45.242.087.2+3.260%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/11
Eurocup
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H17/11
ABA League
BC Wolves
#10
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H29/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H02/12
ABA League
Besiktas
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/12
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H07/12
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A11/12
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A15/12
ABA League
Trento
#16
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H18/12
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H22/12
ABA League
86.7Avg total
44.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.139.584.7+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.139.885.9+6.482%-
Last 30 away (13)43.839.283.1+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.886.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.090.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.044.590.5+1.575%-
vs Similar (11)42.641.584.1+1.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.736.883.5+9.980%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.2
46.0%
54.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.0
32.3%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws27.420.9
76.3%
75.6%20.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.4
55.7%
54.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.8
37.6%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.719.1
74.3%
75.6%19.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWWLWLWLL
Buducnost
WWWLWLWWLL
#11
League position
#3
-9.1
Net rating
+8.1
105.0
Offensive rating
118.0
114.2
Defensive rating
109.9
46.9%
Effective FG%
56.0%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.3%
3-point %
37.6%
62.3%
Assist %
62.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 118.0Defence114.2 · 109.9Shooting46.9% · 56.0%3-point %32.3% · 37.6%Ball care16.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.44 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
FMP Beograd wins
8
Buducnost wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AIgokea70-83
18/12/24AManisa84-103
13/12/24HSplit98-91 OT
08/12/24AMornar Bar81-76
03/12/24APeristeri66-72
29/11/24HDubai86-84
17/11/24HZadar67-83
11/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto109-106 OT
06/11/24HMurcia78-83
04/11/24HPartizan64-91
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HKK Krka Novo mesto97-87
18/12/24HTrento110-108 OT
15/12/24APartizan97-90
11/12/24AGran Canaria71-82
07/12/24HStudentski Centar107-84
04/12/24HBesiktas88-90
02/12/24HCibona88-77
29/11/24HBC Wolves104-77
17/11/24HSpartak Subotica75-78
13/11/24AJoventut Badalona72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL54%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game81.279.083.7
Allowed / game83.580.387.2
Point differential-2.3-1.3-3.5
Avg total164.6159.3170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %15%14%17%
Buducnost
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW85%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%71%100%
Points / game88.887.790.2
Allowed / game74.277.970.0
Point differential+14.6+9.9+20.2
Avg total163.1165.6160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1311285%93.773.2+20.5
2 Buducnost1311285%88.874.2+14.6
3 Crvena zvezda1311285%87.879.8+7.9
4 Dubai1411379%85.678.0+7.6
5 Spartak Subotica148657%83.980.3+3.6
6 Mega Basket148657%80.277.6+2.6
7 Igokea148657%81.282.4-1.2
8 Cedevita Olimpija137654%82.782.2+0.5
9 FMP Beograd137654%81.283.5-2.3
10 Zadar147750%74.873.1+1.6
11 Split146843%78.682.8-4.2
12 Studentski Centar1441029%83.486.8-3.4
13 Borac Mozzart1441029%75.983.7-7.9
14 KK Krka Novo mesto1331023%82.588.2-5.7
15 Cibona1421214%74.087.6-13.6
16 Mornar Bar141137%74.292.4-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2218222688
Buducnost1827123491
← all games of the day
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