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FMP Beograd vs Cibona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-77
18-24 18-20 17-16 19-17
Position#11
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Cibona 🏆
Position#12
Record5-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15· Belgrade
Domestic2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Cibona
09 Jan 2027
FBE v CIB
upcoming
18 Oct 2024
FBE89
CIB84
05 Jan 2024
FBE72
CIB77
12 Dec 2022
FBE111
CIB75
13 Mar 2022
FBE76
CIB71
19 Mar 2021
FBE90
CIB86
13 Oct 2018
FBE93
CIB88
04 Nov 2017
FBE99
CIB79
29 Jan 2017
FBE84
CIB75
16 Jan 2010
FBE95
CIB71
25 Oct 2008
FBE85
CIB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cibona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Split
#8
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 75
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 75
A06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
66avg 75
H11/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
75-96
75
96
-21
56avg 75
A18/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 75
H26/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
61-105
61
105
-44
38avg 75
H02/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 75
A09/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 75
H15/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
63avg 75
A23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
73avg 75
A29/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
19-10
19-23
21-12
13-16
18-20
20-21
23-16
25-26
17-32
27-22
15-16
16-24
17-25
17-22
25-25
16-16
28-25
23-29
19-29
10-23
9-30
14-26
28-26
15-16
20-23
17-22
24-21
26-23
22-21
14-26
15-22
19-19
22-22
20-11
16-23
17-18
21-16
15-27
28-20
165.4Avg total
78.3Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.987.5167.4-7.636%
Season at home (8)79.290.4169.6-11.112%
Season away (6)80.783.7164.3-3.067%
Last 10 (10)78.387.1165.4-8.840%
Last 5 (5)76.088.2164.2-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.389.9167.2-12.618%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.982.9166.8+1.067%
vs Weaker (9)91.482.4173.9+9.067%
This opponent (Cibona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCibona
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
68-87
68
87
-19
61avg 73
H01/12
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
56-84
56
84
-28
40avg 73
A03/12
ABA League
Split
#8
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 73
H07/12
ABA League
Zadar
#1
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 73
A10/12
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#14
W
101-75
101
75
+26
98avg 73
H12/12
Croatian Cup
Igokea
#7
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 73
A16/12
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
87avg 73
H18/12
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 73
A20/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
91-93
91
93
-2
87avg 73
A22/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
82avg 73
H28/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
28-20
14-15
11-25
16-21
13-25
14-15
13-23
18-20
23-21
23-16
17-16
22-18
21-18
25-17
15-26
30-13
19-22
34-14
18-26
21-20
20-26
23-20
27-21
34-27
21-23
20-8
14-18
19-25
14-24
27-14
25-15
14-19
22-23
21-27
34-24
20-20
23-20
19-22
24-24
167.5Avg total
84.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.685.6165.3-6.036%
Season at home (5)81.884.4166.2-2.640%
Season away (9)78.486.3164.8-7.933%
Last 10 (10)84.283.3167.5+0.960%
Last 5 (5)90.687.0177.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.086.8162.8-10.830%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.582.6165.1-0.150%
vs Weaker (11)79.671.4151.0+8.391%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
FMP BeogradCibona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H11/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A18/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
19-53
19
53
-34
H02/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/12
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H15/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A29/12
ABA League
80.1Avg total
37.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.083.7-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.742.885.4-0.162%-
Last 30 away (14)38.443.381.6-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.680.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.278.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.345.383.5-7.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.143.182.2-4.033%-
vs Weaker (9)45.341.086.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H01/12
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/12
ABA League
Split
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H07/12
ABA League
Zadar
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A10/12
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#14
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H12/12
Croatian Cup
Igokea
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/12
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H18/12
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A20/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A22/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/12
ABA League
84.5Avg total
41.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.380.9+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.582.4+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)39.540.179.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.284.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.487.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.441.378.7-3.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.041.081.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (11)43.339.382.5+4.073%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.8
49.6%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.1
27.5%
34.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.016.4
68.3%
73.8%16.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.3
52.9%
54.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.411.0
41.7%
34.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws13.49.6
71.6%
73.8%9.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLLLLLLWW
Cibona
LLWWWWWWLL
#11
League position
#12
-11.2
Net rating
+0.9
96.4
Offensive rating
110.3
107.6
Defensive rating
109.4
46.3%
Effective FG%
56.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.21
27.5%
3-point %
41.7%
52.4%
Assist %
57.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 110.3Defence107.6 · 109.4Shooting46.3% · 56.8%3-point %27.5% · 41.7%Ball care17.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 26.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Cibona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
FMP Beograd wins
3
Cibona wins
DateGameScore
09/10/23Cibona v FMP Beograd89-93
27/03/23Cibona v FMP Beograd110-99 OT
12/12/22FMP Beograd v Cibona111-75
13/03/22FMP Beograd v Cibona76-71
20/11/21Cibona v FMP Beograd66-69
19/03/21FMP Beograd v Cibona90-86
04/12/20Cibona v FMP Beograd93-80
04/01/19Cibona v FMP Beograd90-71
13/10/18FMP Beograd v Cibona93-88 OT
28/01/18Cibona v FMP Beograd84-85 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AKK Krka Novo mesto89-87 OT
23/12/23AMornar Bar77-75
15/12/23HZadar77-92
09/12/23ABuducnost76-82
02/12/23HPartizan61-105
26/11/23HStudentski Centar86-99
18/11/23ABorac Mozzart75-96
11/11/23HCedevita Olimpija84-96
06/11/23AIgokea74-73
27/10/23HSplit84-66
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HBorac Mozzart97-101 OT
22/12/23ACedevita Olimpija91-93
20/12/23ASkrljevo85-78
18/12/23HAlkar89-76
16/12/23AIgokea91-87
12/12/23HSkrljevo101-75
10/12/23AZadar83-79
07/12/23HSplit81-73
03/12/23ACrvena zvezda56-84
01/12/23HGKK Sibenka68-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%12%67%
Points / game79.979.280.7
Allowed / game87.590.483.7
Point differential-7.6-11.1-3.0
Avg total167.4169.6164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)0% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %14%12%17%
Cibona
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL36%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game79.681.878.4
Allowed / game85.684.486.3
Point differential-6.0-2.6-7.9
Avg total165.3166.2164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1413193%88.672.1+16.6
2 Partizan1410471%93.575.1+18.4
3 Cedevita Olimpija1410471%85.484.2+1.1
4 Buducnost1510567%83.678.1+5.5
5 Igokea159660%81.280.5+0.7
6 Mega Basket147750%85.481.4+3.9
7 Zadar147750%81.578.5+3.0
8 Studentski Centar147750%86.686.4+0.2
9 Borac Mozzart147750%79.483.0-3.6
10 Split156940%75.280.3-5.1
11 Cibona145936%79.685.6-6.0
12 FMP Beograd145936%79.987.5-7.6
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1431121%75.685.5-9.9
14 Mornar Bar151147%73.990.2-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1818171972
Cibona2420161777
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