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FMP Beograd vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-92
26-23 22-21 14-26 15-22
Position#11
Record3-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Zadar 🏆
Position#6
Record5-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12· Belgrade
Domestic2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Zadar
31 Mar 2026
FBE85
ZAD55
17 Nov 2024
FBE67
ZAD83
15 Dec 2023
FBE77
ZAD92
17 Mar 2023
FBE112
ZAD87
31 Oct 2021
FBE83
ZAD76
15 Dec 2020
FBE89
ZAD99
01 Oct 2018
FBE99
ZAD86
23 Oct 2017
FBE91
ZAD76
16 Dec 2016
FBE94
ZAD77
27 Feb 2010
FBE83
ZAD81
27 Feb 2009
FBE82
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Cibona
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 77
A09/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 77
H16/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
65avg 77
H23/10
ABA League
Split
#8
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 77
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 77
A06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
66avg 77
H11/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
75-96
75
96
-21
56avg 77
A18/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 77
H26/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
61-105
61
105
-44
38avg 77
H02/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 77
A09/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
21-31
27-14
23-24
21-19
13-17
20-19
19-28
16-21
17-20
23-20
16-22
25-21
19-10
19-23
21-12
13-16
18-20
20-21
23-16
25-26
17-32
27-22
15-16
16-24
17-25
17-22
25-25
16-16
28-25
23-29
19-29
10-23
9-30
14-26
28-26
15-16
20-23
17-22
24-21
165.0Avg total
77.8Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.588.3167.8-8.727%
Season at home (7)79.690.1169.7-10.614%
Season away (4)79.585.0164.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)77.887.2165.0-9.430%
Last 5 (5)76.495.6172.0-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.590.4168.9-11.818%
vs Similar (10)86.783.3170.0+3.470%
vs Weaker (8)94.586.2180.8+8.250%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
67avg 79
H12/11
ABA League
Split
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
80avg 79
A17/11
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
98-59
98
59
+39
99avg 79
H19/11
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
91avg 79
A24/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 79
A26/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#15
W
84-56
84
56
+28
87avg 79
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#9
W
83-58
83
58
+25
82avg 79
H30/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
69avg 79
A03/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
79-80
79
80
-1
75avg 79
H08/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 79
H10/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
19-22
11-25
20-11
16-14
19-28
25-14
22-19
23-13
28-16
25-21
22-9
25-19
27-17
17-27
14-20
24-11
19-28
20-18
15-8
19-15
23-18
23-6
19-17
19-5
20-20
28-18
16-15
18-17
18-14
19-22
24-20
16-19
21-21
29-21
13-19
18-22
18-21
17-25
26-15
156.0Avg total
83.0Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.580.6163.2+1.945%
Season at home (4)84.070.5154.5+13.550%
Season away (7)81.786.4168.1-4.743%
Last 10 (10)83.073.0156.0+10.060%
Last 5 (5)80.870.0150.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.592.0165.5-18.50%
vs Similar (9)86.380.7167.0+5.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.371.8161.1+17.689%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
FMP BeogradZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A09/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H23/10
ABA League
Split
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H11/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A18/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/11
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
19-53
19
53
-34
H02/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/12
ABA League
79.3Avg total
35.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.085.4-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.243.486.6-0.259%-
Last 30 away (13)39.144.783.8-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)35.843.579.3-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.648.082.6-13.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.845.783.5-7.927%-
vs Similar (10)40.843.784.5-2.940%-
vs Weaker (8)47.443.090.4+4.462%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H12/11
ABA League
Split
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A17/11
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H19/11
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A24/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#9
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H30/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A03/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H10/12
Premijer liga
77.7Avg total
41.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.037.181.1+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.334.780.1+10.680%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.582.1+3.253%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.377.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.472.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.545.584.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)43.838.282.0+5.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.835.880.7+9.072%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.9
50.5%
54.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.7
30.3%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.716.6
70.0%
73.8%16.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.620.5
59.2%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.1
29.4%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
73.8%14.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLLLWWLLW
Zadar
LLWWWWLWWL
#11
League position
#6
-11.0
Net rating
+13.3
99.9
Offensive rating
108.3
110.8
Defensive rating
95.0
48.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.3%
3-point %
29.4%
60.5%
Assist %
71.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 108.3Defence110.8 · 95.0Shooting48.5% · 52.1%3-point %30.3% · 29.4%Ball care17.4% · 18.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 33.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FMP Beograd wins
4
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
17/03/23FMP Beograd v Zadar112-87
02/12/22Zadar v FMP Beograd103-97
06/02/22Zadar v FMP Beograd83-80
31/10/21FMP Beograd v Zadar83-76
12/03/21Zadar v FMP Beograd63-76
15/12/20FMP Beograd v Zadar89-99 OT
21/12/18Zadar v FMP Beograd79-85
01/10/18FMP Beograd v Zadar99-86
15/01/18Zadar v FMP Beograd83-77
23/10/17FMP Beograd v Zadar91-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ABuducnost76-82
02/12/23HPartizan61-105
26/11/23HStudentski Centar86-99
18/11/23ABorac Mozzart75-96
11/11/23HCedevita Olimpija84-96
06/11/23AIgokea74-73
27/10/23HSplit84-66
23/10/23HCrvena zvezda72-83
16/10/23HMega Basket73-83
09/10/23ACibona93-89
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HCibona79-83
08/12/23HBorac Mozzart79-80
03/12/23ACedevita Olimpija79-73
30/11/23HDubrava83-58
29/11/23HDubrovnik84-56
26/11/23ADinamo Zagreb78-65
24/11/23AIgokea94-100 OT
19/11/23HDubrovnik98-59
17/11/23ASplit82-75
12/11/23HCrvena zvezda74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %27%14%50%
Points / game79.579.679.5
Allowed / game88.390.185.0
Point differential-8.7-10.6-5.5
Avg total167.8169.7164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %9%14%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%50%43%
Points / game82.584.081.7
Allowed / game80.670.586.4
Point differential+1.9+13.5-4.7
Avg total163.2154.5168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1110191%89.274.3+14.9
2 Igokea119282%84.578.5+6.0
3 Partizan118373%95.273.5+21.7
4 Buducnost118373%83.575.0+8.5
5 Cedevita Olimpija118373%84.182.9+1.2
6 Studentski Centar116555%86.485.8+0.5
7 Mega Basket115645%84.880.9+3.9
8 Zadar115645%82.580.6+1.9
9 Borac Mozzart115645%77.582.3-4.8
10 Cibona114736%76.083.5-7.5
11 Split113827%72.879.5-6.6
12 FMP Beograd113827%79.588.3-8.7
13 KK Krka Novo mesto112918%73.185.2-12.1
14 Mornar Bar111109%71.590.5-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2622141577
Zadar2321262292
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