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FMP Beograd vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-66
25-21 19-10 19-23 21-12
Position#11
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#8
Record1-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5· Belgrade
Domestic2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Split
07 Dec 2025
FBE96
SPL80
13 Dec 2024
FBE98
SPL91
27 Oct 2023
FBE84
SPL66
17 Oct 2022
FBE90
SPL73
14 Dec 2021
FBE93
SPL77
15 Jan 2021
FBE96
SPL92
17 Jan 2009
FBE86
SPL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
OKK Beograd
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 81
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 81
A04/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
96-70
96
70
+26
90avg 81
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
61avg 81
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
71avg 81
H11/06
Super League
Varese
#23
L
71-73
71
73
-2
60avg 81
H27/09
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
85avg 81
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 81
A09/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 81
H16/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
65avg 81
H23/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
19-19
15-18
22-21
19-21
14-19
17-14
25-18
25-16
18-18
29-17
24-19
16-29
12-24
21-20
21-21
27-23
9-20
19-18
17-21
21-23
18-12
21-14
11-24
18-27
26-26
24-21
15-9
22-20
21-31
27-14
23-24
21-19
13-17
20-19
19-28
16-21
17-20
23-20
16-22
163.0Avg total
80.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.888.5172.2-4.825%
Season at home (3)80.788.3169.0-7.70%
Season away (1)93.089.0182.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.382.7163.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)81.285.4166.6-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.788.6167.2-9.922%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.785.3171.0+0.356%
vs Weaker (10)90.885.4176.2+5.440%
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
62-99
62
99
-37
no box
A04/06
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
65avg 75
H29/09
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
90-56
90
56
+34
89avg 75
H02/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
86avg 75
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 75
H08/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 75
A12/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
68-97
68
97
-29
55avg 75
A14/10
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
74-60
74
60
+14
66avg 75
H15/10
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
75-61
75
61
+14
70avg 75
H20/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
99-67
99
67
+32
99avg 75
A22/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
9-24
10-18
26-30
21-18
16-17
13-16
22-25
15-18
24-12
21-14
30-12
18-20
31-21
19-25
22-29
17-18
24-11
16-22
23-11
20-18
16-16
17-21
23-17
23-27
9-28
16-16
20-26
19-14
19-14
24-13
12-19
20-6
16-29
21-12
18-14
20-25
24-17
30-17
25-8
153.1Avg total
78.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.282.2158.5-6.025%
Season at home (3)79.077.3156.3+1.733%
Season away (1)68.097.0165.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)78.674.5153.1+4.160%
Last 5 (5)78.471.4149.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.090.0161.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.884.2166.1-2.442%
vs Weaker (16)88.270.4158.6+17.888%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
FMP BeogradSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
OKK Beograd
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/06
Super League
Varese
#23
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/09
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A09/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H23/10
ABA League
80.9Avg total
38.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.385.6-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.342.486.6+1.959%-
Last 30 away (13)39.744.684.3-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.980.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.844.083.8-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.445.787.1-4.233%-
vs Weaker (10)45.042.487.4+2.660%-
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A04/06
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H29/09
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H02/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A12/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A14/10
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H15/10
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H20/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/10
Premijer liga
75.8Avg total
37.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.680.0+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.936.578.4+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)38.543.682.1-5.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.075.8-0.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.876.0-1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.047.081.0-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.541.882.3-1.350%-
vs Weaker (16)41.236.978.1+4.269%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.8
54.1%
54.3%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.7
30.3%
34.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.016.3
74.1%
73.8%16.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.3
50.9%
54.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.3
33.7%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.213.5
66.8%
73.8%13.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWLLLLWWW
Split
WWWLWWLWLL
#11
League position
#8
-2.0
Net rating
+9.8
105.8
Offensive rating
106.3
107.8
Defensive rating
96.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.3%
3-point %
33.7%
64.6%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 106.3Defence107.8 · 96.5Shooting51.0% · 50.8%3-point %30.3% · 33.7%Ball care18.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.4% · 35.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FMP Beograd wins
2
Split wins
DateGameScore
20/01/23Split v FMP Beograd91-95
17/10/22FMP Beograd v Split90-73
02/04/22Split v FMP Beograd85-90 OT
14/12/21FMP Beograd v Split93-77
15/01/21FMP Beograd v Split96-92 OT
12/10/20Split v FMP Beograd86-71
17/01/09FMP Beograd v Split86-59
18/10/08Split v FMP Beograd68-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23HCrvena zvezda72-83
16/10/23HMega Basket73-83
09/10/23ACibona93-89
02/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto97-99 OT
27/09/23HVarese71-73
11/06/23HCrvena zvezda72-82
09/06/23ACrvena zvezda70-94
07/06/23HMega Basket96-70
04/06/23AMega Basket75-72
31/05/23AOKK Beograd84-82
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ADubrava99-67
20/10/23HBorac Mozzart75-61
15/10/23HDinamo Zagreb74-60
14/10/23ACedevita Olimpija68-97
12/10/23ADubrovnik76-72
08/10/23HCedevita Junior80-62
06/10/23HIgokea90-95
02/10/23HGKK Sibenka90-56
29/09/23HStudentski Centar72-76
04/06/23AZadar62-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%0%100%
Points / game83.880.793.0
Allowed / game88.588.389.0
Point differential-4.8-7.7+4.0
Avg total172.2169.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
Split
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game76.279.068.0
Allowed / game82.277.397.0
Point differential-6.0+1.7-29.0
Avg total158.5156.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda440100%87.868.2+19.5
2 Buducnost440100%91.272.0+19.2
3 Partizan43175%97.072.2+24.8
4 Studentski Centar43175%85.079.2+5.8
5 Igokea43175%83.081.2+1.8
6 Mega Basket42250%86.884.5+2.2
7 Zadar42250%82.080.8+1.2
8 Borac Mozzart42250%81.084.0-3.0
9 Cedevita Olimpija42250%77.283.0-5.8
10 FMP Beograd41325%83.888.5-4.8
11 Split41325%76.282.2-6.0
12 KK Krka Novo mesto41325%74.890.8-16.0
13 Cibona4040%80.092.0-12.0
14 Mornar Bar4040%68.895.8-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2519192184
Split2110231266
← all games of the day
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