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FMP Beograd vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-97
33-24 22-29 24-13 22-31
Position#5
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#15
Record1-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game89.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 7
Domestic2022
Meetings · FMP Beograd v MZT Skopje
18 Nov 2022
FBE101
MSK97
03 Oct 2017
FBE100
MSK72
21 Feb 2017
FBE101
MSK82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
59-71
59
71
-12
no box
H19/06
Super League
Breogan
#45
W
76-64
76
64
+12
74avg 73
H21/09
Champions League
Opava
#47
W
92-76
92
76
+16
84avg 73
A23/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#30
L
82-88 OT
82
88
-6
no box
A25/09
Champions League
Mega Basket
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 73
H03/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
85-84
85
84
+1
22avg 73
A08/10
ABA League
Split
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 73
H17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A24/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
92avg 73
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 73
A06/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
22-19
14-25
14-12
20-17
12-17
23-13
21-17
21-17
22-24
27-19
22-16
19-21
17-21
21-15
17-17
27-17
19-20
17-19
27-20
22-17
18-20
25-28
20-19
21-23
25-16
26-17
18-17
25-24
15-27
22-17
15-15
21-31
32-15
18-16
25-29
20-24
23-16
27-19
20-26
162.8Avg total
83.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.082.0170.0+6.083%
Season at home (3)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)84.084.0168.0+0.067%
Last 10 (10)83.779.1162.8+4.670%
Last 5 (5)87.683.2170.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.385.5160.8-10.30%
vs Similar (6)80.081.3161.3-1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.979.3166.2+7.670%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#4
W
74-60
74
60
+14
no box
A06/10
Prva Liga
Partizan
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
62avg 67
H10/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
55avg 67
A15/10
ABA League
Gostivar
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H18/10
Prva Liga
Studentski Centar
#8
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 67
H22/10
ABA League
Rabotnicki
#5
W
66-47
66
47
+19
no box
A26/10
Prva Liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 67
A29/10
ABA League
FMP Akademija
#10
W
77-58
77
58
+19
no box
H31/10
Prva Liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
67avg 67
H04/11
ABA League
Strumica
#12
W
102-66
102
66
+36
no box
A15/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
20-17
20-10
15-19
9-25
23-23
20-21
22-23
10-23
21-16
15-25
20-25
17-16
20-33
20-15
22-16
23-22
24-24
20-11
25-22
19-14
20-8
11-11
16-14
19-18
17-26
19-28
18-21
24-12
17-12
24-10
12-24
27-22
20-22
10-23
20-27
32-19
29-19
27-10
14-18
153.8Avg total
78.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.889.0163.8-14.217%
Season at home (3)81.088.3169.3-7.333%
Season away (3)68.789.7158.3-21.00%
Last 10 (10)78.075.8153.8+2.250%
Last 5 (5)79.071.6150.6+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)70.090.2160.2-20.20%
vs Similar (4)79.280.5159.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (22)84.569.9154.5+14.686%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
FMP BeogradMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/06
Super League
Breogan
#45
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/09
Champions League
Opava
#47
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#30
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
Champions League
Mega Basket
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H03/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/10
ABA League
Split
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/11
ABA League
81.1Avg total
41.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.581.7-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.580.5-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)40.342.582.9-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.181.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.144.582.6-6.518%-
vs Similar (6)41.041.782.7-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.540.583.0+2.050%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/10
Prva Liga
Partizan
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H10/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A15/10
ABA League
Gostivar
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H18/10
Prva Liga
Studentski Centar
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H22/10
ABA League
Rabotnicki
#5
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A26/10
Prva Liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/10
ABA League
FMP Akademija
#10
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H31/10
Prva Liga
Mornar Bar
#14
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H04/11
ABA League
Strumica
#12
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A15/11
Prva Liga
79.5Avg total
41.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.281.0+4.777%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.437.180.5+6.387%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.281.5+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.579.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.834.479.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.242.572.8-12.20%-
vs Similar (4)43.544.888.2-1.275%-
vs Weaker (22)45.036.281.2+8.891%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.5
55.4%
55.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.9
39.4%
35.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
75.8%14.1
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.3
47.9%
55.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.5
38.1%
35.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
75.8%14.2
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLWWWLWWL
MZT Skopje
WLWLWWLLLW
#5
League position
#15
+6.7
Net rating
-21.8
112.4
Offensive rating
106.6
105.8
Defensive rating
128.4
57.0%
Effective FG%
51.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
62.3%
20.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.4%
3-point %
38.1%
61.6%
Assist %
56.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 106.6Defence105.8 · 128.4Shooting57.0% · 51.5%3-point %39.4% · 38.1%Ball care20.8% · 14.6%Off. rebounds36.7% · 24.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ MZT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
FMP Beograd wins
1
MZT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
22/12/17MZT Skopje v FMP Beograd67-72
03/10/17FMP Beograd v MZT Skopje100-72
21/02/17FMP Beograd v MZT Skopje101-82
18/11/16MZT Skopje v FMP Beograd89-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22ACedevita Olimpija90-85
29/10/22HBuducnost96-91
24/10/22ACrvena zvezda77-83
17/10/22HSplit90-73
08/10/22ABorac Mozzart85-84
03/10/22HMega Basket90-76
25/09/22ABakken Bears82-88 OT
23/09/22AOpava92-76
21/09/22HBreogan76-64
19/06/22HCrvena zvezda59-71
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22AStrumica102-66
04/11/22HMornar Bar77-94
31/10/22HFMP Akademija77-58
29/10/22ACedevita Olimpija73-93
26/10/22ARabotnicki66-47
22/10/22HStudentski Centar92-79
18/10/22HGostivar79-80
15/10/22ABuducnost66-89
10/10/22HPartizan74-92
06/10/22ATFT Skopje74-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game88.092.084.0
Allowed / game82.080.084.0
Point differential+6.0+12.0+0.0
Avg total170.0172.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
MZT Skopje
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game74.881.068.7
Allowed / game89.088.389.7
Point differential-14.2-7.3-21.0
Avg total163.8169.3158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan660100%89.772.8+16.8
2 FMP Beograd65183%88.082.0+6.0
3 Crvena zvezda54180%82.275.4+6.8
4 Zadar64267%91.386.7+4.7
5 Igokea64267%85.081.7+3.3
6 Cedevita Olimpija53260%89.080.2+8.8
7 Buducnost63350%86.777.8+8.8
8 Mornar Bar63350%85.085.2-0.2
9 Cibona63350%86.291.7-5.5
10 Studentski Centar62433%80.889.8-9.0
11 Split62433%72.584.0-11.5
12 Mega Basket61517%85.388.8-3.5
13 MZT Skopje61517%74.889.0-14.2
14 Borac Mozzart6060%80.289.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd33222422101
MZT Skopje2429133197
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