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FMP Beograd vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-76
27-17 19-20 17-19 27-20
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeABA LeagueRound 1
Domestic2022
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mega Basket
15 Feb 2026
FBE102
MEG87
21 May 2025
FBE77
MEG73
19 Jan 2025
FBE89
MEG87
16 Oct 2023
FBE73
MEG83
07 Jun 2023
FBE96
MEG70
17 Feb 2023
FBE67
MEG86
03 Oct 2022
FBE90
MEG76
29 Jan 2022
FBE79
MEG86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
77-79
77
79
-2
67avg 74
H08/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 74
A11/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 74
H22/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 74
A30/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 74
H04/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-110
71
110
-39
no box
A17/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
59-71
59
71
-12
no box
H19/06
Super League
Breogan
#45
W
76-64
76
64
+12
74avg 74
H21/09
Champions League
Opava
#47
W
92-76
92
76
+16
84avg 74
A23/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#30
L
82-88 OT
82
88
-6
no box
A25/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
20-24
23-19
20-17
25-21
25-30
12-24
20-15
23-24
11-21
24-15
17-17
14-24
15-13
21-15
20-24
25-25
21-15
10-19
18-20
18-24
11-29
23-26
19-31
9-15
22-19
14-25
14-12
20-17
12-17
23-13
21-17
21-17
22-24
27-19
22-16
19-21
17-21
21-15
17-17
156.8Avg total
75.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.881.0156.8-5.220%
Last 5 (5)76.081.8157.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.584.7159.3-10.20%
vs Similar (5)72.675.6148.2-3.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.180.7167.8+6.473%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
87-60
87
60
+27
no box
H14/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
A16/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H22/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
no box
A24/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
78-114
78
114
-36
no box
A10/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H12/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
no box
A14/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-101
76
101
-25
no box
A23/09
VTB Super Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A24/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
29-8
13-25
17-15
25-21
17-24
21-19
20-15
32-22
20-17
13-22
20-10
27-22
17-15
20-18
18-20
15-33
24-25
17-31
22-25
12-22
14-16
28-15
23-17
16-26
17-27
12-15
21-20
21-29
25-25
11-28
19-19
17-18
21-18
11-23
20-19
15-24
27-26
30-15
21-30
162.7Avg total
79.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.683.1162.7-3.550%
Last 5 (5)76.286.4162.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.187.7161.8-13.615%
vs Similar (11)80.778.5159.2+2.364%
vs Weaker (5)82.871.8154.6+11.080%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
FMP BeogradMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A11/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H22/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A30/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H04/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A17/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/06
Super League
Breogan
#45
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/09
Champions League
Opava
#47
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/09
Champions League
Bakken Bears
#30
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
Champions League
78.4Avg total
36.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.681.2-1.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.181.6-0.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.080.9-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.078.4-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.875.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.243.580.6-6.318%-
vs Similar (5)35.839.275.0-3.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.442.987.3+1.536%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
57-20
57
20
+37
H14/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A16/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H22/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A24/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A10/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H12/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A14/06
Super League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A23/09
VTB Super Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
84.9Avg total
41.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.881.0-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.237.576.7+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)40.943.384.2-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.084.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.046.283.2-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.446.284.6-7.823%-
vs Similar (11)41.438.880.2+2.545%-
vs Weaker (5)42.233.275.4+9.0100%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.5
52.9%
55.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.8
33.7%
35.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.8
72.3%
75.8%13.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.8
49.9%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.7
29.6%
35.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.412.5
71.8%
75.8%12.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LWWLLLLLLL
Mega Basket
LLLLWLWWWW
#5
League position
#6
+6.1
Net rating
-12.3
104.7
Offensive rating
98.0
98.6
Defensive rating
110.3
52.2%
Effective FG%
47.9%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
20.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
29.6%
58.7%
Assist %
69.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 98.0Defence98.6 · 110.3Shooting52.2% · 47.9%3-point %33.7% · 29.6%Ball care20.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds34.3% · 26.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FMP Beograd wins
1
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
29/01/22FMP Beograd v Mega Basket79-86
24/10/21Mega Basket v FMP Beograd82-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/22ABakken Bears82-88 OT
23/09/22AOpava92-76
21/09/22HBreogan76-64
19/06/22HCrvena zvezda59-71
17/06/22ACrvena zvezda71-110
04/05/22HBuducnost74-79
30/04/22ABuducnost70-76
22/04/22HCedevita Olimpija75-77
11/04/22ACrvena zvezda82-90
08/04/22HBuducnost77-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/22ALokomotiv Kuban93-95
24/09/22AUnics Kazan69-78
23/09/22ACSKA Moscow76-101
14/06/22ACrvena zvezda66-88
12/06/22HCrvena zvezda77-70
10/06/22ACrvena zvezda78-114
24/05/22ABorac Mozzart82-75
22/05/22HBorac Mozzart85-71
16/05/22AVojvodina Novi Sad83-79
14/05/22HVojvodina Novi Sad87-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost110100%94.059.0+35.0
2 Zadar110100%96.067.0+29.0
3 Partizan110100%105.081.0+24.0
4 Crvena zvezda110100%87.067.0+20.0
5 Cedevita Olimpija110100%98.081.0+17.0
6 Mornar Bar110100%91.083.0+8.0
7 Igokea1010%83.091.0-8.0
8 Borac Mozzart1010%81.098.0-17.0
9 MZT Skopje1010%67.087.0-20.0
10 Cibona1010%81.0105.0-24.0
11 Studentski Centar1010%67.096.0-29.0
12 Split1010%59.094.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2719172790
Mega Basket1720192076
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