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FMP Beograd vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 101-82
20-18 24-19 27-16 30-29
Position#9
Record9-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game79.8
FMP Beograd 🏆
vs
MZT Skopje
Position#13
Record8-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23
Domestic2016
Meetings · FMP Beograd v MZT Skopje
18 Nov 2022
FBE101
MSK97
03 Oct 2017
FBE100
MSK72
21 Feb 2017
FBE101
MSK82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#6
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
A25/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
78-60
78
60
+18
98avg 96
H03/01
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
108avg 96
A10/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
112avg 96
H15/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
70-97
70
97
-27
92avg 96
A21/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
98avg 96
H29/01
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A04/02
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
H11/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
77-58
77
58
+19
no box
H16/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
60-76
60
76
-16
no box
H18/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
17-26
14-16
19-16
20-15
19-14
14-15
25-16
27-22
19-11
23-27
15-14
20-24
21-20
26-18
25-23
19-24
18-30
19-19
14-24
19-21
26-20
22-13
17-21
16-26
16-14
17-22
26-13
20-21
20-20
14-15
35-23
15-12
24-18
27-15
11-13
14-27
18-21
13-19
15-9
155.5Avg total
78.7Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.079.8156.8-2.841%
Season at home (11)81.176.5157.5+4.664%
Season away (11)72.983.1156.0-10.218%
Last 10 (10)78.776.8155.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)78.275.2153.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.885.1158.9-11.217%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.280.8160.1-1.646%
vs Weaker (4)79.569.0148.5+10.575%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
105avg 106
A24/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
79-100
79
100
-21
103avg 106
H02/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
108avg 106
A08/01
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
92-65
92
65
+27
123avg 106
H13/01
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
104avg 106
A20/01
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
H28/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
120avg 106
A05/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
89-65
89
65
+24
118avg 106
H12/02
ABA League
Kozuv
#7
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Feni Industries
#2
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A18/02
Macedonian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
18-23
14-16
20-28
21-22
15-31
25-25
18-22
14-21
27-22
17-26
21-18
24-19
23-19
21-15
24-12
17-14
17-17
12-18
28-28
23-21
21-13
24-22
7-18
16-12
26-21
23-15
26-24
27-21
14-19
22-13
26-12
23-11
24-27
17-17
19-17
22-16
16-26
25-17
16-21
160.0Avg total
81.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.282.0160.2-3.736%
Season at home (11)82.882.2165.0+0.664%
Season away (11)73.681.7155.4-8.19%
Last 10 (10)81.778.3160.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)83.472.6156.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.887.8164.7-11.011%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.076.1159.1+6.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
FMP BeogradMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H03/01
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A10/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H15/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A21/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/01
ABA League
Karpos
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/02
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H11/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H16/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H18/02
Korac cup
79.4Avg total
39.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.080.1-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.440.479.8-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)36.743.780.3-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.479.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.077.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.646.082.6-9.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.241.680.8-2.438%-
vs Weaker (4)38.234.572.8+3.875%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H02/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/01
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H13/01
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/01
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H28/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A05/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H12/02
ABA League
Kozuv
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Feni Industries
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A18/02
Macedonian Cup
81.1Avg total
41.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.480.1-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.542.482.9-1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.840.477.2-3.620%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.981.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.479.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.843.581.4-5.721%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.437.777.1+1.760%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.2
51.2%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.4
34.7%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.417.0
72.6%
73.3%17.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.1
51.7%
51.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.9
34.5%
34.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.7
76.2%
73.3%15.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LWWLWLWWWL
MZT Skopje
LWWWWLWLLL
#9
League position
#13
+0.5
Net rating
+0.7
100.9
Offensive rating
103.1
100.4
Defensive rating
102.5
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.7%
3-point %
34.5%
71.4%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 103.1Defence100.4 · 102.5Shooting51.5% · 51.7%3-point %34.7% · 34.5%Ball care21.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds31.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ MZT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
1
MZT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
18/11/16MZT Skopje v FMP Beograd89-68
FMP Beogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/17HCrvena zvezda60-76
16/02/17HSpartak Subotica77-58
11/02/17HPetrol Olimpija89-79
04/02/17AKarpos81-88 OT
29/01/17HCibona84-75
21/01/17APartizan70-97
15/01/17HMornar Bar92-85
10/01/17AIgokea84-74
03/01/17HKK Krka Novo mesto78-60
25/12/16AMega Bemax72-76
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/17AFeni Industries79-80
17/02/17HKozuv83-72
12/02/17HKK Krka Novo mesto89-65
05/02/17APetrol Olimpija91-72
28/01/17HMega Bemax75-74
20/01/17AKarpos74-77
13/01/17HZadar92-65
08/01/17ACibona79-87
02/01/17HCedevita79-100
24/12/16APartizan76-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW41%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%64%18%
Points / game77.081.172.9
Allowed / game79.876.583.1
Point differential-2.8+4.6-10.2
Avg total156.8157.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %9%0%18%
MZT Skopje
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW36%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%64%9%
Points / game78.282.873.6
Allowed / game82.082.281.7
Point differential-3.7+0.6-8.1
Avg total160.2165.0155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2322196%85.767.5+18.2
2 Cedevita2317674%88.980.3+8.6
3 Buducnost2216673%82.175.5+6.6
4 Partizan2216673%79.574.2+5.3
5 Cibona23111248%79.980.0-0.2
6 Igokea22101245%74.978.7-3.8
7 Petrol Olimpija2291341%79.581.9-2.4
8 FMP Beograd2291341%77.079.8-2.8
9 Karpos2391439%74.880.6-5.8
10 Mega Bemax2281436%81.282.7-1.5
11 MZT Skopje2281436%78.282.0-3.7
12 Mornar Bar2271532%77.178.2-1.0
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2271532%71.880.7-8.9
14 Zadar2271532%77.987.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd20242730101
MZT Skopje1819162982
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