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Forli vs Fortitudo Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game74.7
ItalySerie A2Round 16· PalaGalassi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Forli v Fortitudo Bologna
20 Dec 2026
FORL v FBO
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
FORL65
FBO96
13 Apr 2025
FORL67
FBO58
10 Dec 2023
FORL77
FBO74
18 Dec 2022
FORL88
FBO66
07 Apr 2019
FORL88
FBO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cividale
#13
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 70
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 70
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
66avg 70
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 70
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 70
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
74avg 70
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
19-25
21-24
23-24
18-21
25-11
30-33
13-15
25-12
20-20
20-23
21-17
13-19
19-31
22-26
23-23
23-12
28-24
15-14
19-14
24-19
20-23
9-15
23-29
22-13
21-24
15-21
21-12
24-13
20-21
13-22
27-30
19-18
160.9Avg total
82.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.078.9160.9+3.150%
Season at home (5)85.475.4160.8+10.080%
Season away (5)78.682.4161.0-3.820%
Last 10 (10)82.078.9160.9+3.150%
Last 5 (5)81.480.8162.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.083.4158.4-8.431%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.181.4164.6+1.744%
vs Weaker (5)80.876.4157.2+4.460%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
92-70
92
70
+22
103avg 72
H27/09
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A04/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
76avg 72
H11/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
91-69
91
69
+22
52avg 72
H17/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
50avg 72
A21/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
85-93
85
93
-8
74avg 72
H25/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
66-64
66
64
+2
64avg 72
A01/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
83-66
83
66
+17
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
24-14
22-12
30-19
26-24
16-14
26-21
15-22
28-16
4-19
22-21
24-10
20-20
27-20
25-10
19-19
16-17
17-27
11-25
15-16
20-17
17-20
26-28
22-28
16-21
25-17
13-13
12-13
25-20
21-21
25-14
12-11
24-25
14-16
16-20
24-14
29-14
22-20
19-18
19-26
155.1Avg total
80.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.474.7155.1+5.780%
Season at home (6)86.373.7160.0+12.783%
Season away (4)71.576.2147.8-4.875%
Last 10 (10)80.474.7155.1+5.780%
Last 5 (5)80.275.2155.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.085.0144.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.170.8143.9+2.259%
vs Weaker (12)84.273.3157.6+10.992%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
ForliFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#13
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H11/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Serie A2
82.9Avg total
41.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.983.3-2.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.285.1-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.681.5-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.782.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.280.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.444.282.7-5.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.843.986.7-1.133%-
vs Weaker (5)42.236.879.0+5.460%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H27/09
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A04/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H11/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H17/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H15/11
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
40.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.575.6+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.234.874.0+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.477.4+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.779.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.280.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.835.572.3+1.459%-
vs Weaker (12)42.937.280.2+5.767%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.9
65.1%
71.0%14.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.013.5
51.9%
51.2%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.7
37.7%
34.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.3
76.4%
71.0%12.3
They take 54.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWLWLLWLWW
Fortitudo Bologna
WWWWLLWWWW
#9
League position
#3
-1.3
Net rating
+8.3
98.1
Offensive rating
102.0
99.4
Defensive rating
93.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.0%
3-point %
37.7%
51.0%
Assist %
83.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 102.0Defence99.4 · 93.7Shooting53.0% · 54.3%3-point %35.0% · 37.7%Ball care13.6% · 13.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Forli   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Forli wins
6
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACaserta79-91
11/11/26HRimini81-70
07/11/26ABrindisi74-80
01/11/26HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
25/10/26HLibertas Livorno87-92
21/10/26AVigevano74-79
18/10/26HSebastiani Rieti93-71
11/10/26AAvellino Basket81-94
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSebastiani Rieti89-78
11/11/26ABasket Torino78-75
07/11/26HUrania Milano83-66
01/11/26APistoia66-64
25/10/26HVigevano85-93
21/10/26ALibertas Livorno59-85
17/10/26HMontecatini91-69
11/10/26HRimini78-66
04/10/26ACaserta83-81
27/09/26HRuvo Di Puglia92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game82.085.478.6
Allowed / game78.975.482.4
Point differential+3.1+10.0-3.8
Avg total160.9160.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%83%75%
Points / game80.486.371.5
Allowed / game74.773.776.2
Point differential+5.7+12.7-4.8
Avg total155.1160.0147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno109190%80.968.5+12.4
2 Avellino Basket109190%80.873.9+6.9
3 Fortitudo Bologna108280%80.474.7+5.7
4 Rimini107370%81.272.5+8.7
5 Brindisi107370%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%75.173.8+1.3
7 Basket Torino96367%72.972.0+0.9
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli105550%82.078.9+3.1
10 Sassari105550%76.275.6+0.6
11 Mestre105550%76.076.1-0.1
12 Pesaro105550%79.679.7-0.1
13 Cividale105550%72.575.5-3.0
14 Vigevano104640%76.580.3-3.8
15 Caserta93633%79.682.2-2.7
16 JuVi Cremona102820%75.178.6-3.5
17 Ruvo Di Puglia102820%74.080.9-6.9
18 Cento102820%73.482.5-9.1
19 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
20 Montecatini101910%67.181.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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