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Forli vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-80
25-19 26-27 19-19 15-15
Position#17
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game81.3
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game81.3
ItalySerie A2Round 8· PalaGalassi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Forli v Mestre
22 Nov 2026
FORL v MEST
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
FORL85
MEST80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 70
A27/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
87-78
87
78
+9
75avg 70
H30/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
52avg 70
H01/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
51avg 70
A20/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 70
H28/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
60-90
60
90
-30
50avg 70
A05/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
76-83
76
83
-7
63avg 70
A08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
58-79
58
79
-21
39avg 70
H12/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 70
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
15-29
20-18
12-17
27-16
14-26
28-21
18-15
17-19
16-23
14-17
17-17
25-23
13-17
12-19
20-19
26-16
21-19
21-21
18-17
11-16
10-20
13-38
26-16
23-23
26-18
16-24
11-18
14-22
22-15
10-25
12-17
20-14
21-25
17-23
24-25
19-14
15-18
14-17
36-30
155.1Avg total
74.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.781.3155.0-7.629%
Season at home (3)75.379.7155.0-4.333%
Season away (4)72.582.5155.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)74.580.6155.1-6.130%
Last 5 (5)72.083.6155.6-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.781.5154.2-8.833%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.276.8155.0+1.360%
vs Weaker (4)78.581.5160.0-3.050%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
6avg 63
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 63
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 63
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 63
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 63
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 63
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 63
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
18-11
15-13
11-26
32-27
22-25
21-13
26-26
14-22
24-19
25-19
15-10
11-14
23-15
24-22
21-20
16-33
17-19
28-24
12-16
23-28
28-21
24-16
9-25
23-24
14-18
25-19
16-18
160.4Avg total
79.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.181.3160.4-2.143%
Season at home (4)82.583.0165.5-0.550%
Season away (3)74.779.0153.7-4.333%
Last 10 (7)79.181.3160.4-2.143%
Last 5 (5)78.480.4158.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.084.2158.2-10.20%
vs Similar ◀ (2)89.580.5170.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
ForliMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A27/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H01/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H28/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A05/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H12/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/10
Serie A2
77.8Avg total
38.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.577.7-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.038.579.5+2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.376.1-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.277.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.073.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.337.272.5-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.039.579.5+0.450%-
vs Weaker (4)33.842.576.2-8.825%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/10
Serie A2
83.4Avg total
40.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)40.343.183.4-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (4)40.546.887.2-6.225%-
Last 30 away (3)40.038.378.3+1.767%-
Last 10 (7)40.343.183.4-2.943%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.681.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.045.084.0-6.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)46.046.592.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.1
48.5%
50.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
74.4%14.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.9
51.1%
50.8%33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.19.3
43.9%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.112.6
73.3%
74.4%12.6
They take 54.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLLLLWLLWL
Mestre
LLLWWWL
#17
League position
#15
-6.8
Net rating
+1.5
102.5
Offensive rating
113.7
109.3
Defensive rating
112.1
48.9%
Effective FG%
56.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
43.9%
49.6%
Assist %
39.3%
30%
Form (last 10/7)
43%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 113.7Defence109.3 · 112.1Shooting48.9% · 56.9%3-point %32.9% · 43.9%Ball care15.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds22.3% · 21.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/7)30% · 43%
■ Forli   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forli wins
0
Mestre wins
No previous meetings.
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ABrindisi84-79
19/10/25HScafati82-87
12/10/25HCividale58-79
08/10/25ACento76-83
05/10/25ASebastiani Rieti60-90
28/09/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-73
20/09/25AJuVi Cremona70-78
01/06/25HRimini64-76
30/05/25HRimini87-78
27/05/25ARimini78-83
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HCividale78-79
19/10/25APesaro84-90
12/10/25HRimini73-92
08/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia79-71
03/10/25HCento78-70
27/09/25HRoseto101-91
21/09/25AScafati61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game73.775.372.5
Allowed / game81.379.782.5
Point differential-7.6-4.3-10.0
Avg total155.0155.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game79.182.574.7
Allowed / game81.383.079.0
Point differential-2.1-0.5-4.3
Avg total160.4165.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Verona86275%78.473.0+5.4
2 Pesaro75271%82.079.4+2.6
3 Brindisi85362%78.870.6+8.1
4 Fortitudo Bologna85362%79.673.4+6.2
5 Rimini74357%83.178.3+4.9
6 Libertas Livorno74357%76.073.0+3.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti74357%76.674.3+2.3
8 Blu Basket Bergamo74357%85.083.7+1.3
9 Pistoia74357%83.082.0+1.0
10 Scafati74357%81.981.1+0.7
11 JuVi Cremona74357%75.479.3-3.9
12 Basket Torino84450%71.476.6-5.2
13 Avellino Basket73443%75.073.0+2.0
14 Cividale73443%77.077.4-0.4
15 Cento73443%76.478.1-1.7
16 Mestre73443%79.181.3-2.1
17 Roseto72529%84.188.7-4.6
18 Forli72529%73.781.3-7.6
19 Ruvo Di Puglia72529%73.482.0-8.6
20 Urania Milano71614%79.084.4-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2526191585
Mestre1927191580
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