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Forli vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-71
25-11 30-33 13-15 25-12
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game78.3
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game69.0
ItalySerie A2Round 4· PalaGalassi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Forli v Sebastiani Rieti
18 Oct 2026
FORL93
SEBA71
17 Jan 2026
FORL82
SEBA86
05 Jan 2025
FORL64
SEBA65
11 Feb 2024
FORL83
SEBA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
W
73-71
73
71
+2
67avg 70
H25/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 70
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-81
89
81
+8
80avg 70
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
56-89
56
89
-33
43avg 70
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 70
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 70
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 70
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 70
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 70
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
66avg 70
A11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
15-15
26-16
14-21
18-25
20-21
28-28
6-22
22-25
23-24
23-15
21-17
8-22
21-27
13-26
14-14
29-21
19-30
23-22
20-13
17-20
24-27
19-23
13-15
15-21
20-30
9-22
21-23
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
19-25
21-24
23-24
18-21
160.4Avg total
76.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.078.3160.3+3.767%
Season at home (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)83.081.0164.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.583.9160.4-7.450%
Last 5 (5)76.883.2160.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.984.5158.4-10.621%
vs Similar (9)83.182.4165.6+0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)82.570.5153.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
W
112-90
112
90
+22
110avg 73
H12/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
65avg 73
A18/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 73
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
64avg 73
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 73
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 73
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
65avg 73
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
69avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
78avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#11
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 73
H11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
30-24
22-20
30-19
18-21
23-18
22-22
20-27
22-13
19-16
25-14
14-23
18-16
18-23
17-13
17-17
18-23
18-22
14-10
23-24
16-22
21-21
12-14
24-25
16-24
18-27
21-13
23-26
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
24-23
21-15
12-12
21-20
157.8Avg total
80.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.369.0148.3+10.3100%
Season at home (2)79.571.5151.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)79.064.0143.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.777.1157.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)77.875.8153.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.476.8151.2-2.440%
vs Similar (18)77.275.5152.7+1.750%
vs Weaker (7)84.179.7163.9+4.486%
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
ForliSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H25/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A29/03
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H04/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Serie A2
84.0Avg total
40.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.882.9-2.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.742.884.5-1.129%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.881.6-4.119%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.684.0-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.483.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.643.180.7-5.411%-
vs Similar (9)43.845.188.9-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.530.077.5+17.5100%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H12/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A18/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
82.8Avg total
42.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.376.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.638.678.2+1.062%-
Last 30 away (14)37.238.075.2-0.829%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.282.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.241.679.8-3.440%-
vs Similar (18)37.738.976.7-1.239%-
vs Weaker (7)40.734.475.1+6.371%-
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.3
55.8%
51.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
34.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.512.6
64.6%
70.9%12.6
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.5
55.2%
51.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.6
32.4%
34.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.915.6
71.2%
70.9%15.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWWLLWLWLW
Sebastiani Rieti
WWWLLLWWLW
#8
League position
#7
-3.4
Net rating
+6.2
95.9
Offensive rating
98.9
99.3
Defensive rating
92.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
32.4%
52.5%
Assist %
53.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 98.9Defence99.3 · 92.7Shooting53.3% · 52.1%3-point %33.3% · 32.4%Ball care15.2% · 13.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Forli   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forli wins
4
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Forli v Sebastiani Rieti82-86 OT
05/10/25Sebastiani Rieti v Forli90-60
06/04/25Sebastiani Rieti v Forli79-68
05/01/25Forli v Sebastiani Rieti64-65
11/02/24Forli v Sebastiani Rieti83-73
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AAvellino Basket81-94
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
26/04/26HFortitudo Bologna65-96
19/04/26APesaro73-85
12/04/26HLibertas Livorno91-86
08/04/26AVerona56-89
04/04/26HRoseto89-81
29/03/26AScafati72-96
25/03/26HAvellino Basket73-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HPistoia78-70
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73
15/05/26HCividale78-90
13/05/26HCividale73-82
10/05/26ACividale73-79
08/05/26ACividale70-69
26/04/26HBasket Torino80-66
18/04/26AUrania Milano83-88
12/04/26HPesaro112-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game82.080.083.0
Allowed / game78.373.081.0
Point differential+3.7+7.0+2.0
Avg total160.3153.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.379.579.0
Allowed / game69.071.564.0
Point differential+10.3+8.0+15.0
Avg total148.3151.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna440100%86.071.5+14.5
2 Libertas Livorno440100%78.264.0+14.2
3 Avellino Basket440100%82.871.0+11.8
4 Sebastiani Rieti330100%79.369.0+10.3
5 Pesaro330100%88.780.7+8.0
6 Brindisi43175%81.875.8+6.0
7 Sassari43175%77.273.2+4.0
8 Basket Torino43175%75.574.0+1.5
9 Forli32167%82.078.3+3.7
10 Rimini31233%74.070.0+4.0
11 Ruvo Di Puglia31233%83.088.7-5.7
12 Mestre31233%67.377.3-10.0
13 Cento41325%80.586.0-5.5
14 Cividale41325%68.880.2-11.5
15 Montecatini41325%71.885.8-14.0
16 JuVi Cremona3030%72.076.0-4.0
17 Caserta3030%77.082.3-5.3
18 Pistoia3030%69.775.0-5.3
19 Urania Milano4040%77.284.2-7.0
20 Vigevano3030%73.788.0-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2530132593
Sebastiani Rieti1133151271
← all games of the day
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