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Fortitudo Bologna vs Caserta Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#13
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game81.2
ItalySerie A2Round 23· PalaDozza
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Caserta
24 Jan 2027
FBO v KAS
upcoming
07 May 2009
FBO74
KAS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H17/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-75 OT
74
75
-1
H22/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A25/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H27/09
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A04/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H11/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H17/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A21/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-9
17-19
26-15
22-18
9-14
22-12
13-17
15-17
26-17
10-16
18-18
14-17
22-27
13-20
28-24
10-15
16-25
24-14
22-12
30-19
26-24
16-14
26-21
15-22
28-16
4-19
22-21
24-10
20-20
27-20
25-10
19-19
16-17
17-27
11-25
15-16
20-17
17-20
26-28
22-28
153.3Avg total
78.7Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.377.3158.7+4.067%
Season at home (4)86.574.5161.0+12.075%
Season away (2)71.083.0154.0-12.050%
Last 10 (10)78.774.6153.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)79.278.8158.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.575.5144.0-7.050%
vs Similar (16)73.972.8146.7+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.672.2156.8+12.392%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
28-26
15-20
18-17
25-19
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
18-19
19-23
21-11
19-17
18-27
19-17
21-19
15-18
24-26
14-16
21-26
22-15
24-23
15-23
21-16
17-21
21-27
16-25
35-20
24-17
26-17
15-18
16-22
20-13
158.8Avg total
79.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.881.2162.0-0.440%
Season at home (3)84.780.7165.3+4.067%
Season away (2)75.082.0157.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)79.279.6158.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.881.2162.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.081.4158.4-4.423%
vs Similar (15)77.780.3158.0-2.540%
vs Weaker (2)86.579.5166.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.1+4.1
Fortitudo BolognaCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H17/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H20/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H22/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A25/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H27/09
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A04/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H11/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H17/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/10
Serie A2
74.5Avg total
37.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.673.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.933.771.6+4.265%-
Last 30 away (13)38.338.076.3+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.774.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.877.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.572.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (16)36.435.471.8+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.235.276.4+6.175%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H23/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
Serie A2
81.4Avg total
38.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.978.6-3.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.040.279.2-1.231%-
Last 30 away (14)36.241.677.9-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.081.4-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.882.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.340.577.8-3.223%-
vs Similar (15)37.940.978.7-3.020%-
vs Weaker (2)39.043.582.5-4.550%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.312.9
53.1%
51.7%25.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.2
37.6%
34.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
70.9%12.1
They take 54.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.6
54.7%
51.7%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
70.9%13.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
LLWWWWLLLW
Caserta
WWLLLWLWLW
#7
League position
#13
+6.9
Net rating
-1.8
100.2
Offensive rating
103.9
93.3
Defensive rating
105.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.6%
3-point %
33.9%
83.4%
Assist %
46.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 103.9Defence93.3 · 105.6Shooting54.9% · 52.9%3-point %37.6% · 33.9%Ball care15.7% · 15.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
1
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Caserta v Fortitudo Bologna81-83
07/05/09Fortitudo Bologna v Caserta74-65
10/01/09Caserta v Fortitudo Bologna76-74 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HVigevano85-93
21/10/26ALibertas Livorno59-85
17/10/26HMontecatini91-69
11/10/26HRimini78-66
04/10/26ACaserta83-81
27/09/26HRuvo Di Puglia92-70
25/05/26AVerona73-86
22/05/26HVerona74-75 OT
20/05/26HVerona59-60
17/05/26HAvellino Basket93-61
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HMestre77-70
18/10/26HJuVi Cremona96-89
11/10/26APesaro77-83
04/10/26HFortitudo Bologna81-83
27/09/26ASebastiani Rieti73-81
07/05/17HSassari77-70
30/04/17AAvellino75-79
23/04/17HBrindisi86-82
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.386.571.0
Allowed / game77.374.583.0
Point differential+4.0+12.0-12.0
Avg total158.7161.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caserta
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game80.884.775.0
Allowed / game81.280.782.0
Point differential-0.4+4.0-7.0
Avg total162.0165.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno660100%81.767.0+14.7
2 Avellino Basket65183%81.073.5+7.5
3 Pesaro65183%83.276.5+6.7
4 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
5 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
6 Brindisi64267%78.873.8+5.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna64267%81.377.3+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti64267%75.376.5-1.2
9 Pistoia63350%78.269.8+8.3
10 Forli63350%83.379.5+3.8
11 Sassari63350%72.876.0-3.2
12 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
13 Caserta52340%80.881.2-0.4
14 Mestre62433%73.578.5-5.0
15 Ruvo Di Puglia62433%79.284.3-5.2
16 Vigevano62433%77.285.3-8.2
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona6060%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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