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Franca vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 93-70
19-21 27-14 26-14 21-21
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game80.5
Franca 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game75.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Pedrocao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Franca v Pato
09 Apr 2026
FRAN100
PATO64
01 May 2025
FRAN101
PATO82
29 Apr 2025
FRAN84
PATO65
28 Oct 2024
FRAN93
PATO70
17 Feb 2024
FRAN97
PATO65
31 Jan 2023
FRAN88
PATO82
12 Feb 2022
FRAN97
PATO80
25 Feb 2021
FRAN109
PATO68
27 Mar 2020
FRAN v PATO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Franca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
86avg 83
H25/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 83
H27/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
69-56
69
56
+13
66avg 83
A01/06
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 83
H06/06
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
78avg 83
H08/06
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
69-59
69
59
+10
72avg 83
A13/06
NBB
Minas
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 83
H15/10
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 83
H17/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 83
A22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
100-90
100
90
+10
95avg 83
A24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
11-16
27-16
12-18
20-24
22-13
16-19
24-20
12-13
18-9
21-13
18-21
16-23
21-22
14-12
17-19
14-12
27-29
24-21
16-11
13-9
13-13
15-9
28-28
20-21
20-20
17-10
25-25
25-17
17-14
23-20
14-23
14-21
22-16
18-22
12-23
17-30
31-26
29-12
23-22
154.2Avg total
78.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.880.5162.2+1.275%
Season at home (2)80.575.0155.5+5.5100%
Season away (2)83.086.0169.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)78.775.5154.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)79.276.2155.4+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)77.473.8151.2+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.777.7165.4+10.084%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
57avg 70
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 70
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 70
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 70
A27/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
67-68
67
68
-1
60avg 70
A12/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
89avg 70
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 70
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
89-60
89
60
+29
86avg 70
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
85-77
85
77
+8
77avg 70
H25/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
11-24
23-15
13-20
15-22
28-20
19-16
15-17
16-17
30-13
23-14
16-24
23-21
20-18
18-26
13-28
19-19
12-20
18-19
13-13
23-24
12-16
15-15
17-13
22-25
25-16
19-22
23-23
30-23
16-22
25-19
10-24
23-11
25-15
21-19
20-15
17-22
21-9
14-27
33-19
154.1Avg total
77.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.275.8158.0+6.460%
Season at home (3)85.075.0160.0+10.067%
Season away (2)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.876.3154.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.275.8158.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.083.6161.6-5.638%
vs Similar (15)78.981.4160.3-2.533%
vs Weaker (7)84.772.0156.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
FrancaPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H25/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H27/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A01/06
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/06
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/06
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A13/06
NBB
Minas
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H17/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A24/10
NBB
74.3Avg total
37.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.481.2+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.338.782.0+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)42.338.080.3+4.364%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.974.3+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.475.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)36.636.172.7+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.439.786.1+6.774%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A27/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A14/10
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H22/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H25/10
NBB
78.5Avg total
41.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.879.3+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.237.679.8+4.675%-
Last 30 away (14)38.540.178.6-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.578.5+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.679.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.442.481.8-3.050%-
vs Similar (15)39.238.777.9+0.547%-
vs Weaker (7)44.434.979.3+9.6100%-
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.0
54.1%
50.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.2
35.1%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.512.3
79.4%
72.7%12.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.0
50.1%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.5
36.3%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.211.7
72.2%
72.7%11.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Franca
WLWWWWLWWL
Pato
WWLWLLLWWL
#2
League position
#14
+4.6
Net rating
+1.8
106.4
Offensive rating
106.0
101.7
Defensive rating
104.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.1%
3-point %
36.3%
60.3%
Assist %
59.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 106.0Defence101.7 · 104.2Shooting53.5% · 51.9%3-point %35.1% · 36.3%Ball care17.6% · 18.1%Off. rebounds24.0% · 27.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Franca   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Franca wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Franca v Pato97-65
16/11/23Pato v Franca87-83
31/01/23Franca v Pato88-82
05/11/22Pato v Franca70-94
12/02/22Franca v Pato97-80
11/11/21Pato v Franca66-88
25/02/21Franca v Pato109-68
03/12/20Pato v Franca64-86
05/11/19Pato v Franca47-82
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24APaulistano100-90
22/10/24ASao Paulo66-82
17/10/24HBrasilia79-74
15/10/24HMinas82-76
13/06/24AFlamengo69-59
08/06/24HFlamengo81-73
06/06/24HFlamengo68-76
01/06/24AFlamengo69-56
27/05/24HMinas82-76
25/05/24HMinas91-93 OT
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24HUnifacisa85-77
22/10/24HCearense89-60
17/10/24HSao Paulo81-88
14/10/24ACorinthians Paulista89-86
12/10/24APinheiros67-68
27/04/24ABauru62-71
21/04/24HBauru74-93
12/04/24ACaxias do Sul85-68
10/04/24AUniao Corinthians77-75
05/04/24HMinas69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Franca
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.880.583.0
Allowed / game80.575.086.0
Point differential+1.2+5.5-3.0
Avg total162.2155.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game82.285.078.0
Allowed / game75.875.077.0
Point differential+6.4+10.0+1.0
Avg total158.0160.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo440100%82.573.8+8.8
2 Minas54180%82.870.8+12.0
3 Flamengo54180%76.064.6+11.4
4 Franca43175%81.880.5+1.2
5 Uniao Corinthians32167%79.776.7+3.0
6 Pato53260%82.275.8+6.4
7 Botafogo53260%71.069.0+2.0
8 Pinheiros53260%67.268.4-1.2
9 Corinthians Paulista42250%80.574.8+5.8
10 Bauru42250%81.282.5-1.2
11 Brasilia52340%79.680.4-0.8
12 Caxias do Sul31233%75.376.0-0.7
13 Unifacisa31233%74.379.0-4.7
14 Mogi62433%69.282.5-13.3
15 Paulistano41325%79.079.2-0.2
16 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
17 Cearense41325%64.578.2-13.8
18 Sao Jose5050%66.478.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Franca1927262193
Pato2114142170
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