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Pato vs Franca Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 87-83
21-17 23-29 17-18 26-19
Position#12
Record4-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game76.4
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Franca
Brazil
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game79.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Franca
05 Dec 2026
PATO v FRAN
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
PATO71
FRAN93
24 Apr 2025
PATO91
FRAN96
05 Apr 2025
PATO67
FRAN76
16 Nov 2023
PATO87
FRAN83
05 Nov 2022
PATO70
FRAN94
11 Nov 2021
PATO66
FRAN88
03 Dec 2020
PATO64
FRAN86
05 Nov 2019
PATO47
FRAN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Franca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
L
57-90
57
90
-33
no box
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 69
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 69
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 69
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
83-65
83
65
+18
74avg 69
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 69
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 69
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
85avg 69
A08/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 69
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
13-17
19-28
7-26
14-16
22-34
21-17
21-25
17-23
22-15
12-26
20-20
23-15
17-17
25-22
14-17
23-22
19-18
11-13
9-18
24-16
18-15
16-22
25-12
15-20
25-22
17-12
21-26
14-22
15-25
16-28
24-25
23-15
25-16
18-24
21-15
19-17
14-21
22-14
18-18
153.0Avg total
73.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.276.4151.6-1.150%
Season at home (3)78.071.7149.7+6.367%
Season away (5)73.679.2152.8-5.640%
Last 10 (10)73.779.3153.0-5.640%
Last 5 (5)78.077.0155.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.084.0157.0-11.019%
vs Similar (8)77.276.6153.9+0.650%
vs Weaker (6)90.886.8177.7+4.067%
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
H08/06
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
W
92-68
92
68
+24
no box
H10/06
NBB
Al Ahly
#5
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 85
H22/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League Ignite
#4
W
98-89
98
89
+9
91avg 85
A23/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bonn
#2
W
70-69
70
69
+1
66avg 85
H24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Sao Paulo
#11
W
100-92
100
92
+8
97avg 85
H21/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
89-50
89
50
+39
92avg 85
H23/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
72avg 85
H07/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
86-79
86
79
+7
92avg 85
A10/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
85-88
85
88
-3
83avg 85
H13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
18-8
24-23
15-21
27-13
18-21
19-16
28-18
26-17
16-15
26-15
22-23
25-23
29-27
22-23
22-16
18-13
16-21
24-16
12-19
18-27
24-16
27-22
31-27
24-14
22-11
14-15
29-10
23-27
20-16
20-30
30-15
21-20
26-32
25-14
14-13
29-21
12-31
20-21
24-15
166.3Avg total
88.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.679.4170.0+11.280%
Season at home (4)91.879.5171.2+12.275%
Season away (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.477.9166.3+10.580%
Last 5 (5)90.679.4170.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.069.0139.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (2)85.574.5160.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.882.7174.4+9.174%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +5.0+5.0
PatoFranca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A08/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H14/11
NBB
76.5Avg total
38.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.679.3-1.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.537.577.1+2.038%-
Last 30 away (17)38.143.081.1-4.924%-
Last 10 (10)38.038.576.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.240.277.5-3.025%-
vs Similar (8)37.238.976.1-1.638%-
vs Weaker (6)44.544.088.5+0.533%-
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H08/06
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H10/06
NBB
Al Ahly
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H22/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League Ignite
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A23/09
Intercontinental Cup
Bonn
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H24/09
Intercontinental Cup
Sao Paulo
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H21/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H23/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H07/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A10/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H13/11
NBB
84.3Avg total
43.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.542.487.9+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.439.885.2+5.761%-
Last 30 away (12)45.546.391.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.784.3+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.086.8+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.034.068.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (2)47.536.083.5+11.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.743.288.9+2.656%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.0
52.5%
51.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.9
32.9%
33.9%29.6
🏀 Free throws15.610.4
66.4%
72.6%10.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.818.2
59.3%
51.8%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.5
33.8%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.116.4
77.5%
72.6%16.4
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WWLLWLWLLL
Franca
LWWWWWWWWL
#12
League position
#1
-2.3
Net rating
+13.9
102.8
Offensive rating
119.3
105.1
Defensive rating
105.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
55.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.9%
3-point %
33.8%
66.5%
Assist %
68.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 119.3Defence105.1 · 105.4Shooting51.0% · 55.5%3-point %32.9% · 33.8%Ball care17.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.6% · 32.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Pato   ■ Franca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pato wins
7
Franca wins
DateGameScore
31/01/23Franca v Pato88-82
05/11/22Pato v Franca70-94
12/02/22Franca v Pato97-80
11/11/21Pato v Franca66-88
25/02/21Franca v Pato109-68
03/12/20Pato v Franca64-86
05/11/19Pato v Franca47-82
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HBauru73-70
08/11/23AMogi87-70
06/11/23ASao Jose69-100
03/11/23HBrasilia78-80
31/10/23HCerrado83-65
27/10/23AVasco62-71
24/10/23ABotafogo79-71
15/10/23AFlamengo71-84
23/04/23APaulistano78-92
21/04/23APaulistano57-90
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/23HPinheiros85-88
10/11/23ABotafogo86-79
07/11/23HCorinthians Paulista93-88
23/10/23HPaulistano89-50
21/10/23HSao Paulo100-92
24/09/23HBonn70-69
23/09/23AG League Ignite98-89
22/09/23HAl Ahly90-70
10/06/23HSao Paulo92-68
08/06/23HSao Paulo81-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game75.278.073.6
Allowed / game76.471.779.2
Point differential-1.1+6.3-5.6
Avg total151.6149.7152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Franca
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game90.691.886.0
Allowed / game79.479.579.0
Point differential+11.2+12.2+7.0
Avg total170.0171.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas660100%85.070.5+14.5
2 Flamengo65183%82.569.7+12.8
3 Cearense65183%77.272.2+5.0
4 Franca54180%90.679.4+11.2
5 Vasco75271%70.166.1+4.0
6 Caxias do Sul64267%74.073.3+0.7
7 Paulistano64267%68.568.7-0.2
8 Corinthians Paulista53260%78.876.2+2.6
9 Uniao Corinthians74357%76.676.9-0.3
10 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
11 Pato84450%75.276.4-1.1
12 Bauru84450%75.177.8-2.6
13 Sao Jose52340%77.074.0+3.0
14 Pinheiros52340%74.277.4-3.2
15 Brasilia72529%75.784.0-8.3
16 Sao Paulo61517%75.385.2-9.8
17 Cerrado71614%71.176.0-4.9
18 Botafogo81712%73.983.2-9.4
19 Mogi6060%69.078.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2123172687
Franca1729181983
← all games of the day
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