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Pinheiros vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 68-67
24-23 16-12 15-15 13-17
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Pinheiros 🏆
Brazil
vs
Pato
Brazil
Position#14
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pinheiros v Pato
16 Apr 2026
PINH88
PATO55
12 Oct 2024
PINH68
PATO67
18 Dec 2023
PINH91
PATO77
09 Mar 2023
PINH76
PATO69
02 Apr 2022
PINH82
PATO69
07 Dec 2020
PINH85
PATO77
08 Mar 2020
PINH87
PATO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
61avg 69
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
68avg 69
H23/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 69
A27/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 69
A30/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
83-59
83
59
+24
90avg 69
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
56avg 69
A08/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
69-93
69
93
-24
60avg 69
A10/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
72-63
72
63
+9
72avg 69
A13/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
56-64
56
64
-8
61avg 69
H20/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
64avg 69
A26/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-21
10-23
19-21
20-28
14-19
21-19
22-24
22-14
9-23
7-21
13-23
24-26
15-19
18-18
22-20
18-18
28-21
13-10
24-10
12-17
18-15
12-26
17-15
20-27
19-22
13-18
17-26
18-15
16-13
15-21
23-14
16-15
20-19
9-19
11-11
17-26
8-15
15-20
30-24
146.3Avg total
68.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.378.0146.3-9.720%
Last 5 (5)65.275.6140.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.178.0147.1-8.935%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.874.0153.8+5.867%
vs Weaker (7)77.076.1153.1+0.943%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 69
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 69
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
96avg 69
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
93avg 69
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
72avg 69
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
57avg 69
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 69
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 69
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 69
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 69
A27/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
17-23
19-25
17-20
17-17
28-20
25-14
13-22
25-14
27-13
21-27
27-19
30-14
27-22
22-25
21-26
26-24
19-15
18-18
20-22
22-18
11-24
23-15
13-20
15-22
28-20
19-16
15-17
16-17
30-13
23-14
16-24
23-21
20-18
18-26
13-28
19-19
12-20
18-19
13-13
159.3Avg total
81.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.278.1159.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)73.476.8150.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.481.3156.7-5.930%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.284.1161.2-6.923%
vs Weaker (7)84.772.0156.7+12.7100%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.3-4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.3-4.3
PinheirosPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A30/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A08/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A10/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A13/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H20/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A26/04
NBB
74.9Avg total
35.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.977.3-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.038.978.9+1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)36.438.875.2-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)35.239.774.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.869.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.238.975.1-2.841%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.837.880.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (7)40.139.779.9+0.429%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A27/04
NBB
80.9Avg total
43.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.578.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.679.2+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)38.140.678.6-2.543%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.180.9+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.477.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.642.680.2-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.239.677.8-1.538%-
vs Weaker (7)44.434.979.3+9.6100%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.6
46.0%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.1
28.2%
33.0%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.6
75.1%
72.7%13.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
50.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.3
35.5%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.310.7
69.9%
72.7%10.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
LLWLLWLLLL
Pato
LLWWLWWWWL
#5
League position
#14
-14.4
Net rating
+4.6
94.0
Offensive rating
110.6
108.4
Defensive rating
106.1
44.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.2%
3-point %
35.5%
77.2%
Assist %
55.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 110.6Defence108.4 · 106.1Shooting44.7% · 54.0%3-point %28.2% · 35.5%Ball care19.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 31.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Pinheiros wins
4
Pato wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Pato v Pinheiros83-79
18/12/23Pinheiros v Pato91-77
09/03/23Pinheiros v Pato76-69
30/11/22Pato v Pinheiros95-76
02/04/22Pinheiros v Pato82-69
16/12/21Pato v Pinheiros81-69
11/03/21Pato v Pinheiros89-88
07/12/20Pinheiros v Pato85-77
08/03/20Pinheiros v Pato87-83
08/11/19Pato v Pinheiros67-81
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24AVasco70-85
20/04/24HVasco56-64
13/04/24AVasco72-63
10/04/24ABotafogo69-93
08/04/24AFlamengo59-73
04/04/24HUniao Corinthians83-59
30/03/24APato79-83
27/03/24AMinas51-81
23/03/24HCorinthians Paulista77-90
11/03/24HUnifacisa67-89
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ABauru62-71
21/04/24HBauru74-93
12/04/24ACaxias do Sul85-68
10/04/24AUniao Corinthians77-75
05/04/24HMinas69-77
30/03/24HPinheiros83-79
28/03/24HCorinthians Paulista100-87
25/03/24HMogi100-73
09/03/24HPaulistano83-73
04/03/24AUnifacisa79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo110100%59.050.0+9.0
2 Minas110100%74.066.0+8.0
3 Mogi110100%72.067.0+5.0
4 Paulistano1010%67.072.0-5.0
5 Brasilia1010%66.074.0-8.0
6 Vasco1010%50.059.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros2416151368
Pato2312151767
← all games of the day
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