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Pato vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-93
23-21 20-18 18-26 13-28
Position#12
Record17-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#5
Record24-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game78.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Bauru
09 Nov 2026
PATO v BAUR
upcoming
15 Dec 2025
PATO61
BAUR69
05 Feb 2025
PATO91
BAUR94
21 Apr 2024
PATO74
BAUR93
14 Nov 2023
PATO73
BAUR70
19 Dec 2022
PATO85
BAUR96
19 Apr 2022
PATO72
BAUR63
18 Dec 2021
PATO87
BAUR53
10 Dec 2020
PATO80
BAUR79
17 Dec 2019
PATO76
BAUR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
65-97
65
97
-32
54avg 70
A17/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
56avg 70
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 70
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 70
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
96avg 70
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
93avg 70
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
72avg 70
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
57avg 70
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 70
A12/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
20-29
11-22
13-23
18-15
13-28
22-20
16-27
26-17
17-23
19-25
17-20
17-17
28-20
25-14
13-22
25-14
27-13
21-27
27-19
30-14
27-22
22-25
21-26
26-24
19-15
18-18
20-22
22-18
11-24
23-15
13-20
15-22
28-20
19-16
15-17
16-17
30-13
23-14
16-24
161.4Avg total
81.0Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)78.279.4157.6-1.147%
Season at home (18)81.577.2158.7+4.361%
Season away (18)74.981.6156.5-6.633%
Last 10 (10)81.080.4161.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)82.877.2160.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.481.3156.7-5.930%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.383.2161.6-4.933%
vs Weaker (8)85.071.8156.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
no box
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
no box
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 74
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 74
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 74
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
113-95
113
95
+18
120avg 74
H21/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
86-69
86
69
+17
87avg 74
A26/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
103-84
103
84
+19
108avg 74
A28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
91-92
91
92
-1
84avg 74
H03/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
80-68
80
68
+12
84avg 74
H13/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
26-19
14-16
12-15
26-24
17-26
19-15
16-13
23-22
15-21
15-24
26-8
25-21
19-18
9-25
14-14
19-29
17-15
21-11
17-17
28-24
24-19
33-26
28-26
30-10
18-15
17-22
21-22
29-19
20-27
32-10
22-28
22-18
24-19
19-26
26-29
23-18
18-10
26-18
13-22
168.2Avg total
87.6Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.978.9160.8+3.067%
Season at home (18)85.477.1162.4+8.383%
Season away (18)78.480.7159.2-2.350%
Last 10 (10)87.680.6168.2+7.080%
Last 5 (5)94.681.6176.2+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.886.5162.3-10.733%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.078.4159.4+2.670%
vs Weaker (13)89.578.0167.5+11.585%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
PatoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H28/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H30/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A10/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A12/04
NBB
82.4Avg total
43.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.278.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)39.340.079.3-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.882.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.882.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.642.680.2-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.939.677.5-1.733%-
vs Weaker (8)44.934.479.2+10.5100%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H21/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A26/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H03/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H13/04
NBB
84.3Avg total
44.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.781.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.138.483.4+6.786%-
Last 30 away (16)39.340.980.2-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)44.539.884.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.235.883.0+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.244.584.7-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.037.179.1+4.970%-
vs Weaker (13)43.738.482.1+5.369%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.8
54.5%
51.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.39.4
65.7%
72.6%9.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.8
57.6%
51.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.7
41.6%
33.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws14.910.9
73.2%
72.6%10.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WWLWWWWLLL
Bauru
WLWWWWLWWW
#12
League position
#5
+0.5
Net rating
+9.8
109.0
Offensive rating
116.6
108.4
Defensive rating
106.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
59.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.0%
3-point %
41.6%
54.9%
Assist %
72.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 116.6Defence108.4 · 106.8Shooting53.1% · 59.8%3-point %34.0% · 41.6%Ball care15.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.3% · 25.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Pato   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pato wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
15/02/24Bauru v Pato89-79
14/11/23Pato v Bauru73-70
11/03/23Bauru v Pato74-55
19/12/22Pato v Bauru85-96
24/04/22Bauru v Pato88-79
23/04/22Bauru v Pato82-71
20/04/22Pato v Bauru72-63
31/03/22Bauru v Pato84-74
18/12/21Pato v Bauru87-53
27/02/21Bauru v Pato101-55
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/24ACaxias do Sul85-68
10/04/24AUniao Corinthians77-75
05/04/24HMinas69-77
30/03/24HPinheiros83-79
28/03/24HCorinthians Paulista100-87
25/03/24HMogi100-73
09/03/24HPaulistano83-73
04/03/24AUnifacisa79-85
02/03/24ACearense69-90
17/02/24AFranca65-97
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HMogi80-68
03/04/24HSao Jose91-92
28/03/24ABrasilia103-84
26/03/24ACerrado86-69
21/03/24HBotafogo113-95
19/03/24HFlamengo74-72
12/03/24HFranca67-78
09/03/24ACaxias do Sul79-75
07/03/24AUniao Corinthians97-89 OT
02/03/24HMinas86-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeWWWWL61%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %47%61%33%
Points / game78.281.574.9
Allowed / game79.477.281.6
Point differential-1.1+4.3-6.6
Avg total157.6158.7156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWWLW83%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game81.985.478.4
Allowed / game78.977.180.7
Point differential+3.0+8.3-2.3
Avg total160.8162.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)75% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %14%11%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3732586%85.273.4+11.8
2 Franca3732586%88.176.4+11.7
3 Minas3729878%86.073.8+12.2
4 Vasco37251268%75.472.6+2.7
5 Bauru36241267%81.978.9+3.0
6 Paulistano37231462%75.970.2+5.6
7 Unifacisa37231462%84.780.0+4.6
8 Cearense36201656%78.977.3+1.6
9 Sao Jose36191753%79.378.1+1.2
10 Corinthians Paulista37191851%81.280.1+1.2
11 Sao Paulo37191851%79.079.5-0.5
12 Pato36171947%78.279.4-1.1
13 Pinheiros37152241%73.877.2-3.4
14 Mogi37102727%73.479.3-5.9
15 Botafogo37102727%79.588.3-8.7
16 Uniao Corinthians37102727%74.783.9-9.2
17 Cerrado3682822%74.978.0-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2320181374
Bauru2118262893
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