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France vs Belgium Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-63
16-17 13-14 20-14 30-18
Position#6
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
France 🏆
vs
Position#83
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Kindarena
Other2027
Meetings · France v Belgium
28 Nov 2025
FRAN79
BELG63
25 Feb 2018
FRAN64
BELG49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
75-59
75
59
+16
no box
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 78
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 78
H24/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
92-64
92
64
+28
89avg 78
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
103-95
103
95
+8
95avg 78
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
57avg 78
A31/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 78
H02/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
114-74
114
74
+40
114avg 78
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
70-80
70
80
-10
55avg 78
H07/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-16
14-19
24-9
28-14
19-20
21-24
17-12
20-17
17-18
22-16
24-29
18-21
16-11
17-25
25-17
18-10
25-17
27-22
22-15
28-30
19-24
21-16
35-25
22-17
14-19
20-19
13-27
27-24
14-20
19-11
23-21
36-9
30-25
24-12
24-28
20-24
17-14
17-20
16-22
160.4Avg total
85.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.075.4160.4+9.680%
Last 5 (5)87.881.4169.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (9)79.978.0157.9+1.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.869.5154.4+15.388%
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Spain
#22
W
58-53
58
53
+5
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
93-63
93
63
+30
98avg 66
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
35avg 66
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
64-92
64
92
-28
56avg 66
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
71-64
71
64
+7
62avg 66
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
69-86
69
86
-17
63avg 66
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
84avg 66
H02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
66avg 66
A04/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-14
8-12
21-13
18-14
25-17
19-25
13-17
15-16
20-16
21-20
25-22
17-27
21-24
25-13
23-10
24-16
11-11
14-11
15-20
12-17
10-18
17-25
22-27
15-22
17-21
15-15
14-16
25-12
10-16
21-27
17-21
21-22
15-23
21-28
18-20
35-21
16-17
23-16
19-25
12-11
145.9Avg total
72.1Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.173.8145.9-1.740%
Last 5 (5)72.680.6153.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.976.9147.8-6.038%
vs Similar (8)69.280.8150.0-11.512%
vs Weaker (14)77.266.6143.8+10.671%
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.6+1.6
FranceBelgium
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H30/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A31/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/09
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
66-34
66
34
+32
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/09
EuroBasket
79.0Avg total
42.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.835.875.6+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.436.577.9+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.235.173.3+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.579.0+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.286.6+4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)39.737.377.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.534.374.8+6.265%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#22
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/02
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A31/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H02/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/09
EuroBasket
70.9Avg total
34.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.037.272.2-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.637.872.4-3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.436.672.0-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)34.036.970.9-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.041.274.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)32.241.473.6-9.112%-
vs Similar (8)35.440.475.8-5.038%-
vs Weaker (14)36.432.969.4+3.564%-
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.5
55.1%
-43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.7
28.8%
-26.1
🏀 Free throws19.915.1
75.9%
-15.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.3
46.5%
-30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.4
33.7%
-28.2
🏀 Free throws18.612.5
67.2%
-12.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
France
LWWLWWWWWW
Belgium
WLLWLLWLLW
#6
League position
#83
+13.1
Net rating
-2.1
114.7
Offensive rating
99.2
101.6
Defensive rating
101.3
49.9%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
19.9%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.8%
3-point %
33.7%
64.2%
Assist %
68.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ France   ■ Belgium
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
France wins
0
Belgium wins
DateGameScore
28/08/25Belgium v France64-92
25/02/18France v Belgium64-49
24/11/17Belgium v France59-70
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/25HGeorgia70-80
04/09/25HIceland114-74
02/09/25HPoland83-76
31/08/25AIsrael69-82
30/08/25HSlovenia103-95
28/08/25ABelgium92-64
24/02/25HBosnia & Herzegovina76-74
21/02/25ACroatia83-80
24/11/24HCyprus85-70
21/11/24ACyprus75-59
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/09/25APoland70-69
02/09/25HIsrael89-92
31/08/25ASlovenia69-86
30/08/25AIceland71-64
28/08/25HFrance64-92
23/02/25ASpain52-59
20/02/25HSlovakia93-63
25/11/24HLatvia83-85
22/11/24ALatvia72-75
25/02/24HSpain58-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Belgium
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
3 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
4 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
5 South Sudan220100%94.067.0+27.0
6 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
7 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
8 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
9 Saudi Arabia110100%75.051.0+24.0
10 Turkey110100%93.071.0+22.0
11 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
12 Germany110100%89.069.0+20.0
13 Czech Republic110100%97.080.0+17.0
14 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
15 Jordan110100%74.059.0+15.0
16 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
17 Guinea110100%82.070.0+12.0
18 Spain110100%74.064.0+10.0
19 Tunisia110100%88.078.0+10.0
20 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
21 Iceland110100%81.076.0+5.0
22 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
23 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
24 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
25 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
26 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
27 Lithuania110100%89.088.0+1.0
28 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
29 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
30 Switzerland118373%76.864.8+12.0
31 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
32 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
33 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
34 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
35 Cameroon21150%77.076.5+0.5
36 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
37 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
38 Cape Verde21150%80.593.0-12.5
39 Denmark52340%75.878.8-3.0
40 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
41 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
42 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
43 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
44 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
45 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
46 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
47 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
48 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
49 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
50 Great Britain1010%88.089.0-1.0
51 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
52 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
53 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
54 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
55 Italy1010%76.081.0-5.0
56 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
57 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
58 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
59 Nigeria1010%78.088.0-10.0
60 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
61 Rwanda1010%70.082.0-12.0
62 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
63 Libya2020%63.078.0-15.0
64 Syria1010%59.074.0-15.0
65 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
66 Sweden1010%80.097.0-17.0
67 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
68 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
69 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
70 India1010%51.075.0-24.0
71 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
72 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
73 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
74 Cyprus1010%60.0100.0-40.0
75 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 75 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France1613203079
Belgium1714141863
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