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Fresno State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 66-77 (OT)
31-30 33-34 2-13
Position#358
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Nevada 🏆
USA
Position#189
Record8-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v Nevada
03 Jan 2026
FRES65
NEVA66
11 Jan 2025
FRES66
NEVA77
06 Jan 2024
FRES57
NEVA72
24 Feb 2023
FRES56
NEVA60
04 Feb 2022
FRES73
NEVA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
38-28
24-29
38-55
25-36
41-45
27-44
40-51
32-37
41-28
35-36
34-50
30-48
47-39
36-53
53-50
42-39
41-50
26-49
38-42
159.8Avg total
73.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.682.8156.4-9.225%
Season at home (7)76.080.6156.6-4.643%
Season away (9)71.884.6156.3-12.811%
Last 10 (10)73.186.7159.8-13.610%
Last 5 (5)76.491.2167.6-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)68.281.9150.1-13.78%
vs Similar (6)76.768.3145.0+8.3100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H03/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A08/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H12/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H15/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A28/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H01/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-34
41-27
40-33
50-45
21-31
36-37
25-35
39-33
30-37
47-26
55-31
50-42
30-33
34-33
24-26
39-40
33-28
31-41
37-34
33-36
142.3Avg total
72.9Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.167.5142.6+7.753%
Season at home (12)76.666.3142.9+10.267%
Season away (3)69.372.0141.3-2.70%
Last 10 (10)72.969.4142.3+3.540%
Last 5 (5)75.471.2146.6+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.567.8141.2+5.850%
vs Similar (16)73.170.4143.6+2.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)78.364.5142.8+13.880%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -10.4-10.41st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +4.0+4.0
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -10.4-10.41st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +4.0+4.0
Fresno StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#179
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H05/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A08/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A12/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H15/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A29/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H01/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A08/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
30.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.938.369.3-7.417%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.237.468.5-6.215%-
Last 30 away (17)30.839.169.8-8.318%-
Last 10 (10)30.440.871.2-10.410%-
Last 5 (5)33.845.078.8-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.738.968.6-9.212%-
vs Similar (6)35.836.071.8-0.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A08/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H12/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A28/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H01/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A04/01
NCAA
64.0Avg total
31.8Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.731.065.7+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.231.167.3+5.165%-
Last 30 away (10)31.630.762.3+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)31.832.264.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.466.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.030.565.5+4.575%-
vs Similar (16)33.732.866.5+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.128.364.4+7.880%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
8
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Nevada v Fresno State74-66
07/01/24Fresno State v Nevada57-72
25/02/23Fresno State v Nevada56-60
11/02/23Nevada v Fresno State77-66
05/02/22Fresno State v Nevada73-56
22/01/22Nevada v Fresno State77-73
17/01/21Nevada v Fresno State79-65
16/01/21Nevada v Fresno State73-57
23/02/20Nevada v Fresno State78-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AColorado State64-91
05/01/25AUtah State83-89
01/01/25HNew Mexico89-103
29/12/24AUNLV77-87
21/12/24HCalifornia Baptist69-86
15/12/24HSan Diego Toreros73-65
12/12/24ABrigham Young67-95
08/12/24ASanta Clara66-81
05/12/24HSan Diego State62-84
28/11/24HCalifornia Baptist81-86 OT
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ANew Mexico81-82 OT
01/01/25HUtah State64-69
28/12/24AWyoming63-66
21/12/24HColorado State64-66
15/12/24HTexas Southern105-73
12/12/24HSouth Dakota St.77-63
08/12/24ALoyola Marymount64-68
03/12/24HWashington State57-68
24/11/24HOklahoma State90-78
23/11/24HVCU Rams64-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLWLL43%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %25%43%11%
Points / game73.676.071.8
Allowed / game82.880.684.6
Point differential-9.2-4.6-12.8
Avg total156.4156.6156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %53%67%0%
Points / game75.176.669.3
Allowed / game67.566.372.0
Point differential+7.7+10.2-2.7
Avg total142.6142.9141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1615194%83.467.4+15.9
2 New Mexico1714382%84.073.2+10.8
3 Boise State1612475%77.665.9+11.8
4 San Diego State1410471%72.161.9+10.1
5 Grand Canyon1611569%78.869.7+9.1
6 Colorado State1610662%74.768.2+6.4
7 Wyoming169756%70.769.6+1.1
8 UNLV169756%71.971.1+0.8
9 Nevada158753%75.167.5+7.7
10 San Jose State1881044%75.873.1+2.7
11 Fresno State1641225%73.682.8-9.2
12 Air Force1631319%63.269.8-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Fresno State3133266
Nevada30341377
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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