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Fresno State vs UC Santa Barbara Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 65-69
31-29 34-40
Position#304
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#189
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game80.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fresno State v UC Santa Barbara
22 Dec 2026
FRES v UC S
upcoming
27 Nov 2023
FRES65
UC S69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Santa Barbara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#251
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
46-40
30-34
26-26
42-50
38-44
51-38
57-31
29-36
36-31
33-24
44-42
22-31
47-48
43-26
44-42
28-32
41-37
23-51
41-44
150.4Avg total
76.1Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.676.8152.4-1.260%
Season at home (3)76.076.3152.3-0.367%
Season away (2)75.077.5152.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)76.174.3150.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)75.676.8152.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.271.2136.3-6.031%
vs Similar (16)67.365.8133.1+1.650%
vs Weaker (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A03/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H05/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H10/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H11/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A17/03
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H10/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A14/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
96-72
96
72
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Westmont Warriors
#391
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
53-49
46-26
35-35
26-32
38-22
39-42
53-45
33-31
39-31
36-35
20-39
40-40
36-42
44-44
32-45
52-42
44-30
46-31
45-48
153.9Avg total
79.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.880.5165.2+4.250%
Season at home (3)87.777.7165.3+10.067%
Season away (1)76.089.0165.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)79.374.6153.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)79.079.2158.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)72.971.2144.1+1.863%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)72.360.8133.1+11.590%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +0.9+0.9
Fresno StateUC Santa Barbara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#251
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#432
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H23/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
32.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.832.863.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.729.961.5+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)30.035.765.7-5.713%-
Last 10 (10)32.935.168.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.832.862.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.535.567.1-4.038%-
vs Similar (16)30.131.161.2-0.931%-
vs Weaker (1)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A03/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H05/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H10/03
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H12/03
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A17/03
NCAA
Portland State
#184
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A14/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H20/11
NCAA
Westmont Warriors
#391
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/11
NCAA
75.8Avg total
39.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.968.2+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.133.670.8+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)33.232.065.2+1.243%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.075.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.482.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)35.534.369.7+1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)33.930.464.3+3.560%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
1
UC Santa Barbara wins
DateGameScore
11/11/22UC Santa Barbara v Fresno State61-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HJames Madison64-95
22/11/23ANew Mexico State81-76 OT
16/11/23HMorgan State87-68
12/11/23AKent State69-79
07/11/23HFresno Pacific77-66
08/03/23AColorado State65-67
05/03/23HChicago State108-69
01/03/23ANew Mexico80-94
25/02/23HNevada56-60
22/02/23AAir Force74-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HWestmont Warriors91-79
20/11/23HLe Moyne96-72
14/11/23AUTEP76-89
10/11/23HPortland State76-82
17/03/23ABaylor56-74
12/03/23HCS Fullerton72-62
11/03/23HUC Riverside92-87
10/03/23HCal Poly64-54
05/03/23HHawaii81-61
03/03/23AUC Davis89-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game75.676.075.0
Allowed / game76.876.377.5
Point differential-1.2-0.3-2.5
Avg total152.4152.3152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game84.887.776.0
Allowed / game80.577.789.0
Point differential+4.2+10.0-13.0
Avg total165.2165.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada440100%89.065.2+23.8
2 Colorado State660100%84.766.2+18.5
3 Utah State65183%81.262.5+18.7
4 New Mexico65183%84.069.7+14.3
5 San Diego State65183%81.870.8+11.0
6 Grand Canyon54180%81.468.0+13.4
7 Air Force86275%66.261.2+5.0
8 San Jose State64267%75.062.3+12.7
9 Wyoming64267%76.869.7+7.2
10 Fresno State53260%75.676.8-1.2
11 Boise State63350%69.368.5+0.8
12 UNLV52340%72.874.6-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii440100%78.864.2+14.5
2 UC Irvine76186%81.765.1+16.6
3 UC San Diego64267%81.769.0+12.7
4 CS Northridge64267%80.270.0+10.2
5 UC Santa Barbara42250%84.880.5+4.2
6 UC Davis42250%68.869.5-0.8
7 Long Beach State84450%76.177.9-1.8
8 CSU Bakersfield63350%64.569.0-4.5
9 UC Riverside73443%71.072.0-1.0
10 Cal Poly62433%66.373.2-6.8
11 CS Fullerton62433%65.873.8-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State313465
UC Santa Barbara294069
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