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Fukushima vs Niigata Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 88-83
22-21 22-18 26-19 18-25
Position#10
Record13-21
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#14
Record5-29
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game83.0
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukushima v Niigata
31 Jan 2024
FUKU88
NIIG83
05 Nov 2023
FUKU85
NIIG67
04 Nov 2023
FUKU94
NIIG81
14 Dec 2014
FUKU59
NIIG54
13 Dec 2014
FUKU70
NIIG74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
54-75
54
75
-21
45avg 74
A23/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
82avg 74
A24/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 74
A30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 74
A31/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
95-86
95
86
+9
94avg 74
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
68avg 74
H07/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
74avg 74
H20/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
81-78
81
78
+3
79avg 74
H21/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
89-105
89
105
-16
85avg 74
A27/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
no box
A28/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
16-17
12-16
12-23
19-22
22-17
13-27
29-15
20-21
18-28
22-25
27-27
22-30
13-21
18-16
21-22
25-25
18-18
22-18
30-25
19-25
13-33
28-27
24-19
28-15
11-20
20-10
18-27
27-22
23-13
12-31
19-12
19-23
23-20
18-35
29-27
20-25
21-17
30-26
20-23
172.8Avg total
83.2Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.884.9165.7-4.138%
Season at home (17)79.781.2160.9-1.547%
Season away (17)81.988.6170.5-6.729%
Last 10 (10)83.289.6172.8-6.450%
Last 5 (5)87.892.8180.6-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.089.9170.9-8.933%
vs Similar (16)78.982.5161.4-3.631%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)89.574.0163.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
71avg 62
A23/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 62
A24/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
61avg 62
H30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 62
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
72-64
72
64
+8
72avg 62
A06/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
60-52
60
52
+8
52avg 62
A07/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 62
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
79avg 62
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 62
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
92-104 OT
92
104
-12
no box
H28/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
16-29
22-23
21-18
21-18
20-15
16-22
24-31
22-26
23-16
10-15
20-16
13-19
20-16
19-22
28-28
18-13
21-23
14-16
19-12
18-10
15-14
10-11
17-17
20-30
16-23
23-14
21-22
20-26
22-19
25-14
25-22
20-23
16-16
16-18
20-27
20-22
25-16
24-20
18-29
158.6Avg total
78.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)72.183.0155.2-10.915%
Season at home (17)74.183.0157.1-8.918%
Season away (17)70.283.1153.2-12.912%
Last 10 (10)78.180.5158.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)79.282.0161.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)73.283.5156.7-10.317%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
FukushimaNiigata
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A23/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A31/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H07/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H21/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A28/01
B2.League
82.2Avg total
39.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.681.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.480.9+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.982.7-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.182.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.643.083.6-2.433%-
vs Similar (16)40.739.980.6+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)48.532.581.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A23/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H31/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A07/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H20/01
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/01
B2.League
77.5Avg total
38.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.942.779.6-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.442.981.3-4.527%-
Last 30 away (15)35.442.577.9-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.177.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.942.779.6-5.823%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.1
52.4%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.7
31.0%
33.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.613.2
71.0%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.7
52.0%
52.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.1
33.1%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
71.0%11.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
WLWWLWLLWL
Niigata
LLWLWWLWLL
#10
League position
#14
-10.6
Net rating
-1.7
103.7
Offensive rating
104.1
114.2
Defensive rating
105.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.0%
3-point %
33.1%
63.9%
Assist %
51.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 104.1Defence114.2 · 105.7Shooting50.2% · 51.0%3-point %31.0% · 33.1%Ball care17.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.1% · 26.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Fukushima   ■ Niigata
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fukushima wins
3
Niigata wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Fukushima v Niigata85-67
04/11/23Fukushima v Niigata94-81
14/12/14Fukushima v Niigata59-54
13/12/14Fukushima v Niigata70-74
26/10/14Niigata v Fukushima82-75
25/10/14Niigata v Fukushima89-77
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AShiga108-105 OT
27/01/24AShiga89-105
21/01/24HIwate81-78
20/01/24HIwate77-72
07/01/24HAltiri Chiba84-104
06/01/24HAltiri Chiba95-86
31/12/23AKumamoto74-89
30/12/23AKumamoto87-101
24/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas83-81
23/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas54-75
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings92-104 OT
27/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings72-84
21/01/24HShiga92-81
20/01/24HShiga80-89
07/01/24AIwate60-52
06/01/24AIwate72-64
31/12/23HAomori80-85
30/12/23HAomori75-73
24/12/23AYamagata Wyverns81-86
23/12/23AYamagata Wyverns77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW38%
HomeLWLWW47%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %38%47%29%
Points / game80.879.781.9
Allowed / game84.981.288.6
Point differential-4.1-1.5-6.7
Avg total165.7160.9170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)43% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL15%
HomeLLWLL18%
AwayLLLWW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %15%18%12%
Points / game72.174.170.2
Allowed / game83.083.083.1
Point differential-10.9-8.9-12.9
Avg total155.2157.1153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3431391%88.075.2+12.8
2 Shiga3425974%88.379.9+8.4
3 Kumamoto34241071%85.281.1+4.1
4 Fukuoka34221265%78.074.8+3.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas34211362%83.274.1+9.1
6 Aomori34181653%85.086.9-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns34181653%82.685.3-2.7
8 Kobe34151944%78.478.8-0.4
9 Shizuoka34151944%80.080.4-0.4
10 Nara34142041%73.077.6-4.6
11 Fukushima34132138%80.884.9-4.1
12 Ehime Orange Vikings3492526%79.586.7-7.2
13 Iwate3482624%69.575.1-5.6
14 Niigata3452915%72.183.0-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima2222261888
Niigata2118192583
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