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Galatasaray vs Legia Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 85-76
Projected total 160.9
Scheduled
Position#35
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game84.0
Vs
76%
24%
■ GAL 76%■ LEG 24%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record2-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeChampions League· Basketbol Gelisim Merkezi
European cup2026
Meetings · Galatasaray v Legia
18 Nov 2026
GAL v LEG
upcoming
11 Oct 2022
GAL86
LEG71
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Galatasaray will host Legia on 18 November 2026 in the Basketball Champions League, and the Pythia model names Galatasaray the clear favourite with a 76% chance of victory, reflecting their higher win percentage and stronger points per game. Galatasaray's season record is 1-2 with 77.0 points scored and 84.0 points allowed per game, while Legia sits 2-1, averaging 78.7 points scored and 83.0 points allowed. At home Galatasaray is undefeated, 1-0, scoring 83.0 and allowing 77.0, and in their last five games they are 4-1; their recent results include a 90-81 win over Esenler Erokspor at home, a 72-79 loss to Legia away, and a 87-74 win over Denizli Basket away. Legia's road record is 1-1, with 78.5 points scored and 88.5 points allowed, and they are 3-2 in their last five; their recent outings show a 60-67 loss to Gdynia away, a 79-72 win over Galatasaray at home, and a 77-92 loss to Dziki Warszawa at home. In the three meetings between the clubs, Galatasaray has won twice, Legia once, and the last encounter ended 79-72 in favour of Legia. Pythia projects a score of 85-76 for Galatasaray, a total of 160.9 points, and a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Galatasaray win
76.3%fair 1.31
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Legia win
23.7%fair 4.22
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GalatasarayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#10
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
62avg 77
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
76-96
76
96
-20
72avg 77
A06/10
Champions League
Bursaspor
#16
L
88-93
88
93
-5
78avg 77
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
L
80-83
80
83
-3
73avg 77
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
82avg 77
H20/10
Champions League
Bordo Bandirma
#12
W
102-68
102
68
+34
105avg 77
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Denizli Basket
#15
W
87-74
87
74
+13
79avg 77
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#16
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Korfez Basket
#13
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
21-17
14-15
17-15
24-24
18-26
19-21
15-25
20-20
21-25
19-21
28-27
22-19
17-25
21-20
20-19
21-16
21-17
20-23
21-21
21-19
17-15
30-11
34-23
17-17
24-12
23-21
23-24
21-14
11-20
26-19
14-26
24-13
16-26
19-20
31-22
14-20
23-24
23-26
21-12
164.1Avg total
83.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.084.0161.0-7.033%
Season at home (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)74.087.5161.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)83.081.1164.1+1.940%
Last 5 (5)86.476.8163.2+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.384.3164.6-4.043%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.984.6159.5-9.825%
vs Weaker (15)87.582.2169.7+5.360%
This opponent (Legia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LegiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLegia
Date
Competition
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
79-76
79
76
+3
77avg 77
A02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Strasbourg
#11
L
62-100
62
100
-38
52avg 77
A06/10
Champions League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
82avg 77
A09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
58avg 77
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Cibona
#36
W
95-77
95
77
+18
89avg 77
A20/10
Champions League
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
84-74
84
74
+10
70avg 77
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#3
L
77-92
77
92
-15
60avg 77
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Galatasaray
#35
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H04/11
Champions League
Gdynia
#4
L
60-67
60
67
-7
no box
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-12
17-22
21-23
15-21
18-26
17-28
12-25
19-31
18-32
17-23
33-18
19-14
27-23
11-12
16-23
26-22
21-20
19-12
29-23
22-26
21-17
23-11
18-20
21-17
18-25
18-24
20-26
14-21
20-11
19-26
26-14
24-17
15-14
9-29
12-7
23-23
21-23
10-19
24-20
159.3Avg total
77.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.783.0161.7-4.367%
Season at home (1)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)78.588.5167.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)77.481.9159.3-4.550%
Last 5 (5)75.678.0153.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.889.6162.4-16.80%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.675.6160.2+9.0100%
vs Weaker (17)88.278.9167.1+9.376%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1201%1252%1304%1356%1408%14511%15012%15512%16011%1659%1707%1755%1803%1852%1901%1951%2000%205
1%1254%1358%14512%15511%1657%1753%1851%1950%205
Pythia expects about 161 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 155-159 (12%).
Over/Under 161
Over 161
49.2%
Under 161
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
37.7%
Under 166
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171
Over 171
27.3%
Under 171
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Galatasaray total 80
Over 80
67.5%
Under 80
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray total 84
Over 84
52.7%
Under 84
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray total 88
Over 88
37.5%
Under 88
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legia total 78
Over 78
42.5%
Under 78
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legia total 82
Over 82
28.3%
Under 82
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legia total 86
Over 86
17.2%
Under 86
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-241%-211%-182%-153%-124%-96%-67%-35%+09%+310%+69%+99%+128%+157%+185%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+360%+39
0%-241%-183%-126%-65%+010%+69%+127%+184%+242%+301%+36
Margin from Galatasaray's side (positive = Galatasaray win). Pythia's expected margin is +8.4; Galatasaray win by 1+ in 69% of simulations.
Spread Galatasaray -3
GAL -3
69.7%
LEG +3
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
GAL
No market prices yet.
LEG
No market prices yet.
Spread Galatasaray 0
GAL 0
76.3%
LEG 0
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
GAL
No market prices yet.
LEG
No market prices yet.
Spread Galatasaray +3
GAL +3
82.6%
LEG -3
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
GAL
No market prices yet.
LEG
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
GalatasarayLegia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karsiyaka
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cibona
#36
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A06/10
Champions League
Bursaspor
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H20/10
Champions League
Bordo Bandirma
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Denizli Basket
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#16
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A04/11
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Korfez Basket
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.3Avg total
38.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.281.1-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.241.883.9+0.454%-
Last 30 away (17)38.140.878.9-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.777.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.073.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.341.982.1-1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.940.576.4-4.638%-
vs Weaker (15)41.741.383.1+0.453%-
This opponent (Legia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Strasbourg
#11
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/10
Champions League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Cibona
#36
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/10
Champions League
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Galatasaray
#35
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H04/11
Champions League
Gdynia
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
81.7Avg total
40.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.283.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.139.183.2+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)41.641.583.2+0.154%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.481.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.878.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.445.884.2-7.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.936.880.6+7.188%-
vs Weaker (17)43.940.184.1+3.865%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.7
54.3%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
35.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.018.2
72.8%
72.1%18.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Legiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Legia: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws25.017.6
70.4%
72.1%17.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Galatasaray
LWLWWWLLLL
Legia
LLWLWWWLLW
#35
League position
#16
+3.8
Net rating
-3.4
99.9
Offensive rating
92.6
96.1
Defensive rating
96.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.6%
3-point %
29.3%
60.0%
Assist %
57.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 92.6Defence96.1 · 96.0Shooting52.7% · 48.8%3-point %33.6% · 29.3%Ball care12.9% · 14.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Galatasaray   ■ Legia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Galatasaray wins
1
Legia wins
DateGameScore
04/11/26Legia v Galatasaray79-72
20/12/22Legia v Galatasaray76-90
11/10/22Galatasaray v Legia86-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKorfez Basket81-82
08/11/26HEsenler Erokspor90-81
04/11/26ALegia72-79
31/10/26ADenizli Basket87-74
25/10/26HBordo Bandirma102-68
20/10/26HStrasbourg83-77
18/10/26ABesiktas80-83
12/10/26HBursaspor88-93
06/10/26ACibona76-96
02/10/26AKarsiyaka71-78 OT
Legialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSzczecin78-85
08/11/26AGdynia60-67
04/11/26HGalatasaray79-72
31/10/26HDziki Warszawa77-92
25/10/26HOstrow Wielkopolski84-74
20/10/26ACibona95-77
16/10/26HAnwil Wloclawek73-72
09/10/26AZielona Gora87-104
06/10/26AStrasbourg62-100
02/10/26ACzarni Slupsk79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Galatasaray
Champions League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.083.074.0
Allowed / game84.077.087.5
Point differential-7.0+6.0-13.5
Avg total161.0160.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Legia
Champions League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.779.078.5
Allowed / game83.072.088.5
Point differential-4.3+7.0-10.0
Avg total161.7151.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja330100%94.374.3+20.0
2 Joventut Badalona330100%81.071.0+10.0
3 Peristeri440100%89.884.2+5.5
4 Murcia43175%85.267.8+17.5
5 Spartak Subotica43175%81.072.0+9.0
6 Alba Berlin43175%94.587.0+7.5
7 Bilbao43175%93.085.8+7.2
8 Rytas43175%86.582.2+4.2
9 Dziki Warszawa43175%103.299.2+4.0
10 Breogan32167%113.792.3+21.3
11 Strasbourg32167%90.771.7+19.0
12 Antwerp Giants32167%90.382.0+8.3
13 CSM Oradea32167%94.787.3+7.3
14 Bonn32167%84.379.7+4.7
15 Salon Vilpas64267%86.784.0+2.7
16 Legia32167%78.783.0-4.3
17 AEK Athens32167%81.087.3-6.3
18 Promitheas32167%86.392.7-6.3
19 Juventus32167%80.091.7-11.7
20 Vechta85362%87.086.8+0.2
21 Cholet42250%80.272.2+8.0
22 Korfez Basket21150%92.086.5+5.5
23 VEF Riga21150%100.095.0+5.0
24 Sabah Baku42250%83.583.5+0.0
25 Benfica21150%87.588.0-0.5
26 Trabzonspor42250%86.588.5-2.0
27 Igokea42250%81.083.8-2.8
28 Bakken Bears21150%80.584.0-3.5
29 Hapoel Holon42250%84.588.5-4.0
30 Batumi21150%81.589.0-7.5
31 Manchester Basketball21150%79.089.0-10.0
32 Reggiana31233%83.780.0+3.7
33 Szombathely31233%81.381.0+0.3
34 FC Porto31233%74.777.7-3.0
35 Galatasaray31233%77.084.0-7.0
36 Cibona31233%81.088.7-7.7
37 Varese41325%82.883.0-0.2
38 Nanterre41325%84.586.8-2.2
39 Fribourg Olympic1010%85.086.0-1.0
40 Wurzburg1010%73.074.0-1.0
41 Denizli Basket1010%98.0101.0-3.0
42 Levice1010%87.090.0-3.0
43 AEK Larnaca1010%87.095.0-8.0
44 Geneva Lions1010%78.087.0-9.0
45 Vienna Basket1010%82.092.0-10.0
46 Zwolle1010%78.089.0-11.0
47 Bnei Herzliya3030%79.391.0-11.7
48 Kolossos Rhodes1010%79.091.0-12.0
49 Pardubice3030%74.386.3-12.0
50 Slavia Prague ERA NBK4040%81.293.2-12.0
51 Absheron Lions1010%88.0105.0-17.0
52 Opava1010%99.0116.0-17.0
53 Bamberg4040%70.293.0-22.8
54 Rilski Sportist1010%80.0126.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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