Gargzdai vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2022

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 81-99

20-23 12-25 31-27 18-24

Position#11

Record1-7

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game82.5

Gargzdai

Rytas 🏆

Position#2

Record5-3

FormLLWWW

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game80.5

LKL

Domestic2022-23

Meetings · Gargzdai v Rytas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rytas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gargzdai

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGargzdai

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#10

92-97

-5

89avg 75

A27/09

LKL

Lietkabelis

71-91

-20

69avg 75

H02/10

LKL

Siauliai

76-78

-2

71avg 75

H07/10

LKL

BC Wolves

68-73

-5

62avg 75

H09/10

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

74-86

-12

70avg 75

A16/10

LKL

Neptunas

69-94

-25

no box

A24/10

LKL

Nevezis

71-73

-2

67avg 75

H29/10

LKL

Prienai

#12

95-68

+27

100avg 75

A06/11

LKL

18-20

19-25

21-25

34-27

25-19

9-24

15-23

22-25

18-14

16-23

19-19

23-22

13-14

19-23

17-13

18-20

14-26

22-21

20-19

16-20

18-27

17-18

18-29

23-28

19-18

18-12

11-15

24-20

22-15

27-19

22-14

159.5Avg total

77.0Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	77.0	82.5	159.5	-5.5	12%
Season at home (4)	71.5	78.8	150.2	-7.2	0%
Season away (4)	82.5	86.2	168.8	-3.8	25%
Last 10 (8)	77.0	82.5	159.5	-5.5	12%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	78.8	154.2	-3.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	71.5	82.5	154.0	-11.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	93.5	82.5	176.0	+11.0	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rytas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRytas

Date

Competition

Neptunas

93-67

+26

86avg 81

H29/09

LKL

Prienai

#12

89-66

+23

84avg 81

A01/10

LKL

Tenerife

74-89

-15

no box

A05/10

Champions League

Nevezis

88-92

-4

78avg 81

H10/10

LKL

Jonava

71-78

-7

63avg 81

H15/10

LKL

Bnei Herzliya

#37

85-90

-5

79avg 81

A18/10

Champions League

Lietkabelis

70-79

-9

53avg 81

A22/10

LKL

BC Wolves

91-89

86avg 81

A29/10

LKL

Peristeri

#24

89-64

+25

92avg 81

H01/11

Champions League

Zalgiris Kaunas

89-85

77avg 81

H06/11

LKL

18-17

22-10

26-13

27-27

25-21

17-14

22-7

25-24

18-27

23-22

13-18

20-22

25-21

20-20

19-33

24-18

10-14

26-16

12-17

23-31

31-14

13-26

17-25

24-25

20-17

13-20

15-18

22-24

26-18

27-15

17-24

21-32

25-15

27-11

22-25

15-13

23-27

20-21

26-16

163.8Avg total

83.9Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	85.1	80.5	165.6	+4.6	62%
Season at home (4)	85.2	80.5	165.8	+4.8	50%
Season away (4)	85.0	80.5	165.5	+4.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	79.9	163.8	+4.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	81.4	166.2	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	81.5	87.0	168.5	-5.5	50%
vs Similar (1)	91.0	89.0	180.0	+2.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	84.2	75.3	159.6	+8.9	70%

This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GargzdaiRytas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	18.2	43.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	27.0	47.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	18.0	44.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	17.0	22.6	39.6	-5.6	25%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	15.8	22.0	37.8	-6.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (4)	18.2	23.2	41.5	-5.0	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.0	22.6	39.6	-5.6	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.8	23.5	39.3	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	27.0	15.0	42.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.0	18.5	39.6	+2.5	59%	-

GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#10

37-45

-8

A27/09

LKL

Lietkabelis

34-43

-9

H02/10

LKL

Siauliai

34-37

-3

H07/10

LKL

BC Wolves

32-37

-5

H09/10

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

32-46

-14

A16/10

LKL

Neptunas

34-47

-13

A24/10

LKL

Nevezis

42-46

-4

H29/10

LKL

Prienai

#12

46-35

+11

A06/11

LKL

78.4Avg total

36.4Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	36.4	42.0	78.4	-5.6	12%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	35.5	40.8	76.2	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 away (4)	37.2	43.2	80.5	-6.0	25%	-
Last 10 (8)	36.4	42.0	78.4	-5.6	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	42.2	79.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.7	42.7	77.3	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.5	40.0	81.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

40-27

+13

H29/09

LKL

Prienai

#12

42-35

A01/10

LKL

Tenerife

41-49

-8

A05/10

Champions League

Nevezis

45-41

H10/10

LKL

Jonava

36-30

H15/10

LKL

Bnei Herzliya

#37

44-40

A18/10

Champions League

Lietkabelis

33-37

-4

A22/10

LKL

BC Wolves

53-33

+20

A29/10

LKL

Peristeri

#24

52-26

+26

H01/11

Champions League

Zalgiris Kaunas

43-48

-5

H06/11

LKL

79.5Avg total

42.9Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	38.2	80.1	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	35.2	77.0	+6.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	41.1	83.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	36.6	79.5	+6.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	36.8	81.8	+8.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	48.5	90.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	53.0	33.0	86.0	+20.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	41.5	37.6	79.1	+3.9	63%	-

This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.5	25%	-
Last 30 away (4)	21.8	20.8	42.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.3	19.3	37.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	16.9	35.3	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	19.5	36.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	24.0	41.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	19.6	17.5	37.1	+2.1	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	62%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	23.5	22.2	45.8	+1.2	75%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	28.0	20.5	48.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	18.7	41.4	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	23.2	45.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	32.0	53.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.7	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	40.6	40.5	81.1	+0.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	36.0	38.0	74.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (4)	45.2	43.0	88.2	+2.2	75%	-
Last 10 (8)	40.6	40.5	81.1	+0.1	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.6	74.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.8	39.8	76.7	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	52.0	42.5	94.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	38.0	79.9	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.0	37.5	80.5	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	38.6	79.3	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	43.3	84.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	44.6	84.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	38.0	56.0	94.0	-18.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	42.1	37.3	79.5	+4.8	63%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 76.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	19.6	49.5%	54.9%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.6	8.2	36.5%	35.0%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	19.0	12.0	63.2%	74.2%	12.0

They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 82.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	20.8	51.5%	54.9%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.1	33.1%	35.0%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	23.2	17.0	73.3%	74.2%	17.0

They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	20.9	54.6%	54.9%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	8.9	33.5%	35.0%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.6	77.9%	74.2%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	19.1	54.1%	54.9%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	8.0	34.6%	35.0%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	22.9	17.1	74.7%	74.2%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	20.0	53.6%	54.9%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.9	34.9%	35.0%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.5	75.3%	74.2%	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	20.9	54.6%	54.9%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	8.9	33.5%	35.0%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.6	77.9%	74.2%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.5	53.2%	54.9%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.0	31.2%	35.0%	21.1
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.3	73.6%	74.2%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Gargzdai

WLLLLLLL

Rytas

WWWLLLLLWW

#11

League position

-8.2

Net rating

+4.9

103.5

Offensive rating

112.3

111.7

Defensive rating

107.4

51.4%

Effective FG%

50.8%

52.8%

Opp. effective FG%

53.3%

20.9%

Turnover %

18.1%

35.6%

Off. rebound %

39.1%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.36

36.5%

3-point %

33.1%

78.5%

Assist %

55.7%

12%

Form (last 8/10)

50%

Profile

■ Gargzdai ■ Rytas

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gargzdai wins

Rytas wins

No previous meetings.

Gargzdailast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/22	A	Prienai	95-68
29/10/22	H	Nevezis	71-73
24/10/22	A	Neptunas	69-94
16/10/22	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	74-86
09/10/22	H	BC Wolves	68-73
07/10/22	H	Siauliai	76-78
02/10/22	H	Lietkabelis	71-91
27/09/22	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	92-97

Rytaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/22	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	89-85
01/11/22	H	Peristeri	89-64
29/10/22	A	BC Wolves	91-89
22/10/22	A	Lietkabelis	70-79
18/10/22	A	Bnei Herzliya	85-90
15/10/22	H	Jonava	71-78
10/10/22	H	Nevezis	88-92
05/10/22	A	Tenerife	74-89
01/10/22	A	Prienai	89-66
29/09/22	H	Neptunas	93-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai

LKL 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 7 Losses (last 8)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	12%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	12%	0%	25%
Points / game	77.0	71.5	82.5
Allowed / game	82.5	78.8	86.2
Point differential	-5.5	-7.2	-3.8
Avg total	159.5	150.2	168.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Rytas

LKL 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	62%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	50%	75%
Points / game	85.1	85.2	85.0
Allowed / game	80.5	80.5	80.5
Point differential	+4.6	+4.8	+4.5
Avg total	165.6	165.8	165.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	25%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	8	7	1	88%	89.1	72.1	+17.0
2	Jonava	8	7	1	88%	83.1	75.9	+7.2
3	Lietkabelis	8	6	2	75%	83.5	76.4	+7.1
4	Rytas	8	5	3	62%	85.1	80.5	+4.6
5	BC Wolves	8	5	3	62%	80.6	78.8	+1.9
6	Siauliai	8	4	4	50%	82.0	84.1	-2.1
7	Juventus	8	4	4	50%	83.6	87.8	-4.1
8	Neptunas	8	3	5	38%	84.5	86.6	-2.1
9	Pieno Zvaigzdes	8	3	5	38%	85.2	89.4	-4.1
10	Nevezis	8	3	5	38%	77.4	82.2	-4.9
11	Gargzdai	8	1	7	12%	77.0	82.5	-5.5
12	Prienai	8	0	8	0%	80.2	95.2	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gargzdai	20	12	31	18	81
Rytas	23	25	27	24	99

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Gargzdai vs Rytas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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