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Prienai vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 68-95
20-24 15-22 19-27 14-22
Position#12
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game95.3
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#11
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game84.6
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Gargzdai
11 Apr 2023
PRI90
GAR77
06 Nov 2022
PRI68
GAR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
no box
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
49avg 63
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
66-89
66
89
-23
49avg 63
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
89-97
89
97
-8
78avg 63
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
92-99 OT
92
99
-7
no box
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
77-107
77
107
-30
no box
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
no box
A23/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
70-95
70
95
-25
no box
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
67avg 63
H30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
89-110
89
110
-21
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
15-14
22-12
16-22
16-24
18-20
22-22
10-25
21-25
14-17
7-22
24-25
25-25
22-25
22-21
20-26
22-19
16-21
20-18
22-22
19-26
10-28
27-30
21-23
23-27
21-24
26-17
20-22
13-33
19-20
23-19
15-23
15-30
21-25
20-18
21-23
17-19
24-28
22-29
26-34
178.9Avg total
81.0Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.095.3177.3-13.30%
Season at home (5)75.091.0166.0-16.00%
Season away (2)99.5106.0205.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)81.097.9178.9-16.90%
Last 5 (5)84.6104.6189.2-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)77.489.1166.6-11.711%
vs Similar ◀ (3)96.3104.7201.0-8.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 71
A27/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
69avg 71
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 71
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 71
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 71
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
67avg 71
H29/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
19-25
21-25
34-27
25-19
9-24
15-23
22-25
18-14
16-23
19-19
23-22
13-14
19-23
19-23
17-13
18-20
14-26
22-21
20-19
16-20
18-27
17-18
18-29
23-28
19-18
18-12
11-15
159.0Avg total
74.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.484.6159.0-10.10%
Season at home (4)71.578.8150.2-7.20%
Season away (3)78.392.3170.7-14.00%
Last 10 (7)74.484.6159.0-10.10%
Last 5 (5)71.680.8152.4-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.582.5154.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
PrienaiGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H29/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H01/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
29-54
29
54
-25
H19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A26/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
83.4Avg total
36.5Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.544.981.4-8.310%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.644.278.8-9.66%-
Last 30 away (14)38.845.684.4-6.914%-
Last 10 (10)36.546.983.4-10.40%-
Last 5 (5)36.452.088.4-15.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)35.744.079.7-8.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.753.096.7-9.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A27/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/10
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H29/10
LKL
78.0Avg total
35.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
Last 30 at home (4)35.540.876.2-5.20%-
Last 30 away (3)34.346.080.3-11.70%-
Last 10 (7)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.677.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.742.777.3-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)37.045.082.0-8.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.7
51.9%
54.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.9
29.5%
35.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
74.2%14.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.1 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.6
48.0%
54.9%37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.9
35.7%
35.0%23.6
🏀 Free throws20.112.9
63.8%
74.2%12.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLLLLLLLLL
Gargzdai
LLLLLLL
#12
League position
#11
-18.1
Net rating
-14.3
102.4
Offensive rating
100.6
120.6
Defensive rating
114.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
21.8%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.5%
3-point %
35.7%
52.3%
Assist %
78.4%
0%
Form (last 10/7)
0%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 100.6Defence120.6 · 114.8Shooting48.6% · 50.0%3-point %29.5% · 35.7%Ball care16.0% · 21.8%Off. rebounds24.5% · 35.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/7)0% · 0%
■ Prienai   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Prienai wins
0
Gargzdai wins
No previous meetings.
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/22ANeptunas89-110
30/10/22HLietkabelis77-96
26/10/22ABC Wolves70-95
23/10/22APieno Zvaigzdes110-115 OT
19/10/22HJuventus77-107
17/10/22HNeptunas92-99 OT
10/10/22ASiauliai89-97
01/10/22HRytas66-89
29/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas66-91
24/09/22HJonava74-80 OT
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/22HNevezis71-73
24/10/22ANeptunas69-94
16/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-86
09/10/22HBC Wolves68-73
07/10/22HSiauliai76-78
02/10/22HLietkabelis71-91
27/09/22APieno Zvaigzdes92-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.075.099.5
Allowed / game95.391.0106.0
Point differential-13.3-16.0-6.5
Avg total177.3166.0205.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %43%40%50%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 7 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.471.578.3
Allowed / game84.678.892.3
Point differential-10.1-7.2-14.0
Avg total159.0150.2170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%89.769.7+20.0
2 Jonava76186%82.374.6+7.7
3 Lietkabelis86275%83.576.4+7.1
4 BC Wolves85362%80.678.8+1.9
5 Rytas74357%84.679.9+4.7
6 Siauliai74357%81.683.4-1.9
7 Juventus84450%83.687.8-4.1
8 Neptunas83538%84.586.6-2.1
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes83538%85.289.4-4.1
10 Nevezis83538%77.482.2-4.9
11 Gargzdai7070%74.484.6-10.1
12 Prienai7070%82.095.3-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai2015191468
Gargzdai2422272295
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