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Gargzdai vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 82-78
15-16 21-15 23-25 23-22
Position#5
Record5-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game90.4
Gargzdai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Rytas
Lithuania
Position#2
Record9-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game81.0
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Rytas
06 Mar 2027
GAR v RYT
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
GAR v RYT
upcoming
16 May 2026
GAR103
RYT98
10 Jan 2026
GAR82
RYT78
01 Oct 2023
GAR82
RYT98
19 Nov 2022
GAR81
RYT99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 76
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
57avg 76
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 76
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 76
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 76
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
56avg 76
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 76
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
84avg 76
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
78-104
78
104
-26
71avg 76
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 76
A03/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
24-20
14-25
23-23
19-24
11-23
17-27
26-16
24-11
12-24
26-23
24-21
18-25
26-18
18-23
32-17
22-22
15-28
18-25
27-22
22-29
18-27
18-26
13-26
26-23
20-11
30-20
14-20
24-24
18-26
19-37
26-17
19-27
23-32
14-20
22-25
17-19
24-18
22-20
19-18
172.6Avg total
82.3Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.190.4173.6-7.336%
Season at home (7)86.485.9172.3+0.643%
Season away (7)79.995.0174.9-15.129%
Last 10 (10)82.390.3172.6-8.040%
Last 5 (5)81.693.0174.6-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.597.1174.6-19.50%
vs Similar (11)86.383.9170.2+2.455%
vs Weaker (6)87.384.3171.7+3.050%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#29
W
116-90
116
90
+26
118avg 87
H05/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
104-72
104
72
+32
104avg 87
H09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
105-100
105
100
+5
104avg 87
A15/11
LKL
Legia
#33
W
79-77
79
77
+2
66avg 87
A18/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
105-71
105
71
+34
105avg 87
A22/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
104-74
104
74
+30
101avg 87
H06/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
63avg 87
H13/12
LKL
Promitheas
#31
L
95-111
95
111
-16
93avg 87
A17/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#7
W
97-82
97
82
+15
94avg 87
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
71avg 87
H27/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
28-22
33-21
24-24
28-21
36-25
20-16
20-10
19-22
27-20
31-27
28-31
22-25
20-17
17-16
20-19
29-14
26-19
29-19
21-19
27-23
20-15
30-16
27-20
17-20
17-18
20-23
19-23
32-18
22-34
22-35
19-24
32-25
27-17
19-24
19-16
20-23
18-27
19-22
24-18
181.0Avg total
95.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.981.0172.9+10.969%
Season at home (7)93.180.7173.9+12.471%
Season away (6)90.581.3171.8+9.267%
Last 10 (10)95.985.1181.0+10.870%
Last 5 (5)90.088.2178.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.483.0164.4-1.629%
vs Similar (1)97.093.0190.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.882.2174.0+9.673%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
GargzdaiRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/01
LKL
85.3Avg total
40.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.844.886.6-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.240.184.2+4.169%-
Last 30 away (17)40.048.488.4-8.424%-
Last 10 (10)40.145.285.3-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.289.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.148.187.2-9.015%-
vs Similar (11)43.843.186.9+0.764%-
vs Weaker (6)44.040.784.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#29
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H05/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A15/11
LKL
Legia
#33
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A22/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H06/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/12
LKL
Promitheas
#31
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A17/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#7
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H27/12
LKL
92.6Avg total
49.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.640.687.2+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.541.189.6+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.740.184.9+4.660%-
Last 10 (10)49.842.892.6+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.090.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.337.376.6+2.057%-
vs Similar (1)54.044.098.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.641.590.1+7.168%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.3
51.2%
55.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.2
33.3%
35.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.916.9
70.7%
74.3%16.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 94.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
55.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
35.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.019.0
79.2%
74.3%19.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WLLWLLWWLL
Rytas
LWLLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#2
-11.6
Net rating
+14.2
107.7
Offensive rating
124.5
119.3
Defensive rating
110.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
41.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.3%
3-point %
35.6%
63.9%
Assist %
55.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 124.5Defence119.3 · 110.3Shooting50.8% · 56.3%3-point %33.3% · 35.6%Ball care15.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.7% · 41.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
6
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
24/09/25Rytas v Gargzdai99-73
16/12/23Rytas v Gargzdai110-79
01/10/23Gargzdai v Rytas82-98
06/05/23Rytas v Gargzdai91-65
11/02/23Rytas v Gargzdai102-72
19/11/22Gargzdai v Rytas81-99
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AJonava82-75
27/12/25AJuventus78-104
13/12/25HNeptunas87-104
10/12/25HNevezis90-74
07/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas71-108
04/12/25AJonava82-97
22/11/25ASiauliai94-83
16/11/25HNevezis86-79
12/11/25AJuventus73-90
08/11/25HLietkabelis80-89
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas81-90
23/12/25ASiauliai97-82
17/12/25APromitheas95-111
13/12/25HLietkabelis73-84
06/12/25HNevezis104-74
22/11/25AJonava105-71
18/11/25ALegia79-77
15/11/25ASiauliai105-100
09/11/25HJonava104-72
05/11/25HHeidelberg116-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game83.186.479.9
Allowed / game90.485.995.0
Point differential-7.3+0.6-15.1
Avg total173.6172.3174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game91.993.190.5
Allowed / game81.080.781.3
Point differential+10.9+12.4+9.2
Avg total172.9173.9171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1312192%91.674.8+16.8
2 Rytas139469%91.981.0+10.9
3 Neptunas138562%95.792.8+2.8
4 Lietkabelis148657%85.682.1+3.5
5 Siauliai137654%88.491.0-2.6
6 Juventus135838%84.486.0-1.6
7 Gargzdai145936%83.190.4-7.3
8 Nevezis1441029%82.489.7-7.4
9 Jonava1321115%83.898.1-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1521232382
Rytas1615252278
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