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Gargzdai vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 82-98
23-23 17-26 22-25 20-24
Position#12
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game105.5
Gargzdai
Lithuania
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game87.5
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale (Gargzdai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Gargzdai v Rytas
06 Mar 2027
GAR v RYT
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
GAR v RYT
upcoming
16 May 2026
GAR103
RYT98
10 Jan 2026
GAR82
RYT78
01 Oct 2023
GAR82
RYT98
19 Nov 2022
GAR81
RYT99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
74avg 68
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
60avg 68
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 68
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 68
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 68
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
58avg 68
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-107
55
107
-52
42avg 68
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-104
68
104
-36
56avg 68
A23/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
12-22
28-21
17-22
14-14
26-29
18-9
19-24
15-14
16-10
19-18
15-25
15-19
13-9
20-17
8-15
20-27
20-18
22-23
16-21
19-20
28-22
18-18
21-31
9-25
17-26
18-13
21-22
19-23
15-21
21-20
10-27
16-34
7-21
14-25
18-27
18-20
14-24
19-29
17-31
155.3Avg total
69.2Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)61.5105.5167.0-44.00%
Season at home (1)55.0107.0162.0-52.00%
Season away (1)68.0104.0172.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)69.286.1155.3-16.910%
Last 5 (5)67.895.8163.6-28.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.687.4161.0-13.812%
vs Similar (5)80.677.4158.0+3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
73avg 85
H20/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 85
A23/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 85
H25/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
93-108
93
108
-15
93avg 85
A01/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
94-71
94
71
+23
86avg 85
H03/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 85
A06/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
69-68
69
68
+1
66avg 85
H08/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
81avg 85
A10/06
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
99avg 85
H18/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
97-85
97
85
+12
97avg 85
A24/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
17-19
21-17
16-22
21-25
22-16
18-10
21-16
16-22
26-16
29-22
19-25
21-26
25-20
25-34
22-28
24-19
24-22
27-15
19-15
22-27
20-20
16-27
22-21
14-23
18-17
13-10
24-18
24-23
21-23
24-24
18-27
26-19
34-26
26-18
20-27
21-17
27-23
23-28
26-17
172.0Avg total
88.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)101.587.5189.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)106.090.0196.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)97.085.0182.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.084.0172.0+4.070%
Last 5 (5)87.887.0174.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.289.3173.6-5.133%
vs Similar (2)99.096.5195.5+2.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.783.3180.0+13.495%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -8.3-8.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -8.3-8.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
GargzdaiRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-55
23
55
-32
H17/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/09
LKL
75.6Avg total
33.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.180.0-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.441.475.9-7.029%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.683.6-5.519%-
Last 10 (10)33.342.375.6-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.447.279.6-14.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.443.680.0-7.220%-
vs Similar (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A01/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H08/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/06
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H18/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A24/09
LKL
87.0Avg total
45.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.942.588.4+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.143.389.4+2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)45.741.587.2+4.264%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.987.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.689.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.743.386.0-0.733%-
vs Similar (2)44.053.597.5-9.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.740.988.6+6.874%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.117.6
48.8%
55.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.1
31.0%
34.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.712.1
68.4%
73.2%12.1
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.9
58.1%
55.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
34.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws26.520.5
77.4%
73.2%20.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLLLLLLWL
Rytas
WWLWLWLWWW
#12
League position
#2
-24.3
Net rating
+5.3
93.7
Offensive rating
119.0
118.1
Defensive rating
113.7
47.9%
Effective FG%
55.4%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
23.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.43
31.0%
3-point %
34.4%
65.2%
Assist %
62.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 119.0Defence118.1 · 113.7Shooting47.9% · 55.4%3-point %31.0% · 34.4%Ball care23.1% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.1% · 33.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
3
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23Rytas v Gargzdai91-65
11/02/23Rytas v Gargzdai102-72
19/11/22Gargzdai v Rytas81-99
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23ABC Wolves68-104
17/09/23HZalgiris Kaunas55-107
06/05/23ARytas65-91
02/05/23HLietkabelis65-86
29/04/23ANeptunas86-91
26/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-89
24/04/23HSiauliai56-60
18/04/23AJonava65-67
16/04/23HJuventus77-76
11/04/23APrienai77-90
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/23ANevezis97-85
18/09/23HPieno Zvaigzdes106-90
10/06/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-97
08/06/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-68
06/06/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-95
03/06/23HZalgiris Kaunas94-71
01/06/23AZalgiris Kaunas93-108
25/05/23HJonava90-85
23/05/23AJonava82-67
20/05/23HJonava82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game61.555.068.0
Allowed / game105.5107.0104.0
Point differential-44.0-52.0-36.0
Avg total167.0162.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.5106.097.0
Allowed / game87.590.085.0
Point differential+14.0+16.0+12.0
Avg total189.0196.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.064.0+24.0
2 BC Wolves330100%85.369.3+16.0
3 Rytas220100%101.587.5+14.0
4 Jonava220100%88.078.0+10.0
5 Lietkabelis32167%92.087.3+4.7
6 Siauliai21150%78.075.0+3.0
7 Neptunas21150%86.585.5+1.0
8 Juventus21150%75.076.5-1.5
9 Mazeikiai3030%75.782.3-6.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3030%83.393.0-9.7
11 Nevezis3030%80.397.0-16.7
12 Gargzdai2020%61.5105.5-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2317222082
Rytas2326252498
← all games of the day
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