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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 86-74
20-18 26-14 21-22 19-20
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game65.8
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record0-4
FormLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai
05 May 2027
ZAL v GAR
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
ZAL v GAR
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ZAL85
GAR77
07 Dec 2025
ZAL108
GAR71
26 Mar 2023
ZAL96
GAR70
16 Oct 2022
ZAL86
GAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
98avg 75
H25/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A28/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
85-70
85
70
+15
92avg 75
H30/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
A03/06
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
79avg 75
A26/09
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
92avg 75
A29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
96-60
96
60
+36
95avg 75
H02/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 75
A06/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
74-66
74
66
+8
68avg 75
A09/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
73avg 75
A14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
29-21
14-19
21-17
26-17
17-18
17-27
20-18
24-15
27-20
14-18
20-17
23-26
21-14
23-15
22-21
20-18
25-16
19-19
15-18
24-16
20-18
22-22
25-10
28-14
27-14
21-16
20-16
27-30
21-16
17-25
18-13
21-17
19-11
19-18
15-20
21-18
14-26
23-23
22-23
160.2Avg total
85.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.065.8150.8+19.2100%
Season at home (1)96.060.0156.0+36.0100%
Season away (3)81.367.7149.0+13.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.974.3160.2+11.680%
Last 5 (5)84.873.2158.0+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.288.8171.0-6.620%
vs Similar (7)69.180.1149.3-11.014%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.073.1158.1+11.983%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 73
A27/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
69avg 73
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 73
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 73
H09/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
19-25
21-25
34-27
25-19
9-24
15-23
22-25
18-14
16-23
19-19
23-22
13-14
19-23
19-23
17-13
161.5Avg total
76.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.884.8161.5-8.00%
Season at home (3)71.780.7152.3-9.00%
Season away (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
Last 10 (4)76.884.8161.5-8.00%
Last 5 (4)76.884.8161.5-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.780.7152.3-9.00%
vs Similar (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -8.0-8.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
Zalgiris KaunasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H25/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A28/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/06
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/09
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H02/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A06/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A09/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/10
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
46.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.878.4+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.534.979.4+9.675%-
Last 30 away (18)37.939.877.7-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)46.236.382.5+9.990%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.080.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.841.078.8-3.240%-
vs Similar (7)34.343.677.9-9.314%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.734.778.4+9.083%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A27/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/10
LKL
74.8Avg total
34.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)34.240.574.8-6.20%-
Last 30 at home (3)33.339.072.3-5.70%-
Last 30 away (1)37.045.082.0-8.00%-
Last 10 (4)34.240.574.8-6.20%-
Last 5 (4)34.240.574.8-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.339.072.3-5.70%-
vs Similar (1)37.045.082.0-8.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.5
56.0%
54.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.5
38.6%
35.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.413.6
82.9%
74.2%13.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.8
46.0%
54.9%37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.5
38.2%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.2
65.4%
74.2%13.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWWWWWWW
Gargzdai
LLLL
#1
League position
#11
+13.1
Net rating
-10.3
119.8
Offensive rating
104.5
106.7
Defensive rating
114.8
56.8%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
21.3%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
38.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.6%
3-point %
38.2%
66.3%
Assist %
78.9%
80%
Form (last 10/4)
0%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 104.5Defence106.7 · 114.8Shooting56.8% · 50.0%3-point %38.6% · 38.2%Ball care17.4% · 21.3%Off. rebounds36.5% · 38.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/4)80% · 0%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Gargzdai wins
No previous meetings.
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/22AOlympiacos80-90
09/10/22ALietkabelis74-66
06/10/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv83-84
02/10/22HSiauliai96-60
29/09/22APrienai91-66
26/09/22ANeptunas79-71
03/06/22ASiauliai89-76
30/05/22HSiauliai85-70
28/05/22ASiauliai90-85 OT
25/05/22HSiauliai92-75
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/22HBC Wolves68-73
07/10/22HSiauliai76-78
02/10/22HLietkabelis71-91
27/09/22APieno Zvaigzdes92-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.096.081.3
Allowed / game65.860.067.7
Point differential+19.2+36.0+13.7
Avg total150.8156.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.871.792.0
Allowed / game84.880.797.0
Point differential-8.0-9.0-5.0
Avg total161.5152.3189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%85.065.8+19.2
2 Jonava550100%80.272.2+8.0
3 BC Wolves43175%77.873.0+4.8
4 Rytas53260%86.278.2+8.0
5 Lietkabelis53260%83.078.2+4.8
6 Nevezis42250%79.281.0-1.8
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes42250%88.290.2-2.0
8 Siauliai42250%80.087.2-7.2
9 Juventus52340%84.486.2-1.8
10 Gargzdai4040%76.884.8-8.0
11 Neptunas4040%76.589.8-13.2
12 Prienai4040%73.889.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2026211986
Gargzdai1814222074
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