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Neptunas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 94-69
20-16 27-18 18-17 29-18
Position#7
Record1-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game90.2
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game85.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Gargzdai
02 May 2027
NEP v GAR
upcoming
31 Jan 2027
NEP v GAR
upcoming
21 May 2026
NEP100
GAR73
10 May 2026
NEP91
GAR97
11 Oct 2025
NEP102
GAR74
14 Jan 2024
NEP100
GAR81
16 Nov 2023
NEP84
GAR78
29 Apr 2023
NEP91
GAR86
24 Oct 2022
NEP94
GAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
66avg 75
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 75
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
87-78
87
78
+9
89avg 75
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
53avg 75
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 75
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
60avg 75
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 75
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
23-19
11-10
21-20
11-20
22-31
19-23
19-13
21-17
20-14
12-15
34-32
14-23
13-16
17-33
16-17
18-20
16-25
19-19
18-15
17-18
10-22
13-26
27-27
15-16
18-19
26-17
19-26
20-33
13-23
27-21
17-18
19-22
21-16
18-20
22-22
25-18
26-27
16-18
18-18
163.2Avg total
77.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.090.2171.2-9.220%
Season at home (2)81.085.5166.5-4.50%
Season away (3)81.093.3174.3-12.333%
Last 10 (10)77.885.4163.2-7.640%
Last 5 (5)83.890.6174.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.582.8155.3-10.427%
vs Similar (11)76.580.9157.5-4.436%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.078.0163.0+7.062%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 72
A27/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
69avg 72
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
71avg 72
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 72
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 72
A16/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
19-25
21-25
34-27
25-19
9-24
15-23
22-25
18-14
16-23
19-19
23-22
13-14
19-23
19-23
17-13
18-20
14-26
22-21
20-19
161.2Avg total
76.2Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.285.0161.2-8.80%
Season at home (3)71.780.7152.3-9.00%
Season away (2)83.091.5174.5-8.50%
Last 10 (5)76.285.0161.2-8.80%
Last 5 (5)76.285.0161.2-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.282.0154.2-9.80%
vs Similar (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -8.8-8.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -8.8-8.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
NeptunasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A29/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
77.5Avg total
35.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.678.8-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.479.0+2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.740.978.6-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)35.741.877.5-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.879.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.240.977.1-4.718%-
vs Similar (11)39.540.880.3-1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.236.079.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A27/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H02/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/10
LKL
75.4Avg total
33.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)33.841.675.4-7.80%-
Last 30 at home (3)33.339.072.3-5.70%-
Last 30 away (2)34.545.580.0-11.00%-
Last 10 (5)33.841.675.4-7.80%-
Last 5 (5)33.841.675.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.040.873.8-7.80%-
vs Similar (1)37.045.082.0-8.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.9
54.1%
54.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.2
35.0%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.315.0
64.4%
74.2%15.0
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.017.8
45.6%
54.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.6
38.1%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.214.0
69.3%
74.2%14.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLLLLLWLW
Gargzdai
LLLLL
#7
League position
#11
-10.9
Net rating
-12.3
105.1
Offensive rating
105.8
115.9
Defensive rating
118.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
22.2%
Turnover %
21.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
39.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.0%
3-point %
38.1%
69.0%
Assist %
78.8%
40%
Form (last 10/5)
0%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 105.8Defence115.9 · 118.2Shooting53.5% · 49.8%3-point %35.0% · 38.1%Ball care22.2% · 21.1%Off. rebounds32.8% · 39.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/5)40% · 0%
■ Neptunas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Gargzdai wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/22HBC Wolves85-81
17/10/22APrienai99-92 OT
08/10/22AJuventus77-95
03/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-92 OT
29/09/22ARytas67-93
26/09/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-79
11/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas60-89
09/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas87-78
07/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas71-87
04/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas70-68
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas74-86
09/10/22HBC Wolves68-73
07/10/22HSiauliai76-78
02/10/22HLietkabelis71-91
27/09/22APieno Zvaigzdes92-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game81.081.081.0
Allowed / game90.285.593.3
Point differential-9.2-4.5-12.3
Avg total171.2166.5174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %40%50%33%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.271.783.0
Allowed / game85.080.791.5
Point differential-8.8-9.0-8.5
Avg total161.2152.3174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas660100%86.568.7+17.8
2 Jonava65183%80.574.2+6.3
3 BC Wolves65183%79.373.2+6.2
4 Lietkabelis64267%82.376.8+5.5
5 Rytas63350%83.578.3+5.2
6 Juventus63350%84.385.5-1.2
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes63350%89.591.2-1.7
8 Siauliai63350%81.786.5-4.8
9 Nevezis62433%78.884.8-6.0
10 Neptunas51420%81.090.2-9.2
11 Gargzdai5050%76.285.0-8.8
12 Prienai6060%82.895.2-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2027182994
Gargzdai1618171869
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