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Gargzdai vs Taurage Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:10
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record3-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game86.5
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Gargzdai v Taurage
17 Apr 2027
GAR v TAU
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
GAR v TAU
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
GAR81
TAU78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Taurage win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 83
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 83
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 83
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 83
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 83
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 83
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 83
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
174.7Avg total
89.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.387.3175.6+1.060%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (6)91.089.7180.7+1.350%
Last 10 (10)89.085.7174.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%
vs Similar (10)90.888.3179.1+2.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.084.7173.7+4.367%
This opponent (Taurage) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TaurageLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaurage
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 72
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 72
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 72
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 72
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 72
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
83avg 72
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A07/11
LKL
Nevezis
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
A11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
19-29
20-24
14-27
23-25
19-18
14-30
20-23
24-21
17-12
16-24
14-22
19-22
24-18
18-15
19-21
15-17
26-24
9-23
28-17
22-27
17-22
29-15
23-17
21-28
18-15
13-23
25-25
22-11
21-23
23-20
14-28
20-23
17-22
22-28
20-17
21-22
21-23
15-19
16-17
164.6Avg total
78.7Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.486.5166.9-6.130%
Season at home (5)80.285.6165.8-5.440%
Season away (5)80.687.4168.0-6.820%
Last 10 (10)78.785.9164.6-7.220%
Last 5 (5)80.085.0165.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.085.3164.3-6.320%
vs Similar (4)82.287.5169.8-5.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
GargzdaiTaurage
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
LKL
88.5Avg total
44.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)44.145.990.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.288.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.144.683.7-5.518%-
vs Similar (10)41.345.486.7-4.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.644.386.9-1.844%-
This opponent (Taurage) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TaurageLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H11/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/10
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/11
LKL
Nevezis
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H14/11
LKL
83.9Avg total
41.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)41.141.282.3-0.136%-
Last 30 at home (6)44.040.584.5+3.567%-
Last 30 away (8)38.941.880.6-2.912%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.483.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.283.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.641.583.1+0.130%-
vs Similar (4)39.840.580.2-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tauragetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Taurage: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.3
47.7%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
70.8%18.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWLWWLWWWW
Taurage
LLLLWLWLLL
#3
League position
#9
+3.6
Net rating
-4.4
99.4
Offensive rating
92.1
95.8
Defensive rating
96.6
54.5%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.6%
3-point %
33.2%
60.8%
Assist %
62.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 92.1Defence95.8 · 96.6Shooting54.5% · 48.5%3-point %34.6% · 33.2%Ball care13.1% · 15.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Taurage
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gargzdai wins
0
Taurage wins
DateGameScore
27/10/26Gargzdai v Taurage81-78
11/10/26Taurage v Gargzdai82-102
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASiauliai82-97
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
Tauragelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLietkabelis73-81
11/11/26ANevezis79-90
07/11/26ANeptunas80-82
03/11/26AJurbarkas77-91
31/10/26ASiauliai91-81
27/10/26AGargzdai78-81
24/10/26HNevezis80-76
21/10/26HRytas71-79
18/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-96
11/10/26HGargzdai82-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game88.384.291.0
Allowed / game87.383.889.7
Point differential+1.0+0.5+1.3
Avg total175.6168.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Taurage
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game80.480.280.6
Allowed / game86.585.687.4
Point differential-6.1-5.4-6.8
Avg total166.9165.8168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas10100100%92.676.7+15.9
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas105550%84.984.9+0.0
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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