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Rytas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 102-105
25-31 23-20 32-27 22-27
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.0
LithuaniaLKL· Active Vilnius Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Rytas v Gargzdai
28 Apr 2027
RYT v GAR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
RYT102
GAR105
29 Mar 2026
RYT98
GAR77
24 Sep 2025
RYT99
GAR73
16 Dec 2023
RYT110
GAR79
06 May 2023
RYT91
GAR65
11 Feb 2023
RYT102
GAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
102-80
102
80
+22
110avg 88
H25/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
102-72
102
72
+30
96avg 88
H27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
98-91
98
91
+7
98avg 88
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
71-96
71
96
-25
69avg 88
A03/05
LKL
Tenerife
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 88
H07/05
Champions League
AEK Athens
#1
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
87avg 88
A09/05
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
117-88
117
88
+29
120avg 88
A13/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
98-103
98
103
-5
95avg 88
A16/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 88
A21/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
95-101
95
101
-6
85avg 88
H23/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
23-13
23-18
31-31
22-22
19-18
32-14
29-18
24-24
22-21
20-22
32-24
19-24
14-24
22-26
16-22
18-17
22-17
22-19
25-16
15-25
10-17
20-21
35-17
32-22
27-13
28-33
30-20
25-22
30-25
19-25
24-31
27-29
22-26
16-16
19-21
32-30
24-20
27-30
12-21
182.4Avg total
94.6Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.687.8182.4+6.860%
Last 5 (5)97.294.0191.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.791.3170.0-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)92.985.5178.4+7.475%
vs Weaker (19)93.386.4179.7+6.868%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 78
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
97avg 78
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 78
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 78
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 78
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
61avg 78
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 78
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 78
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 78
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
81avg 78
H26/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
22-25
25-30
25-19
31-24
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
22-19
18-24
10-19
24-22
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
18-24
16-20
24-27
29-7
176.4Avg total
87.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.785.0169.7-0.367%
Season at home (3)84.785.0169.7-0.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.389.1176.4-1.860%
Last 5 (5)80.287.8168.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.987.4166.3-8.540%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.984.7171.6+2.267%
vs Weaker (6)89.390.3179.7-1.050%
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
RytasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H25/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A03/05
LKL
Tenerife
#12
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H07/05
Champions League
AEK Athens
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A09/05
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A13/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A16/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A21/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H23/05
LKL
87.9Avg total
45.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.788.9+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.139.885.9+6.379%-
Last 30 away (16)44.347.291.5-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)45.242.787.9+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.845.894.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.754.089.7-18.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.541.085.5+3.575%-
vs Weaker (19)46.943.390.2+3.663%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/09
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H26/09
LKL
86.8Avg total
41.2Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.683.5-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.543.581.0-5.913%-
Last 30 away (15)40.345.786.0-5.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.686.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.646.684.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.943.982.8-4.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.645.483.0-7.922%-
vs Weaker (6)40.845.286.0-4.333%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.223.0
61.8%
55.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.5
34.3%
35.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.117.1
71.0%
70.8%17.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.7
54.4%
55.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.818.5
77.7%
70.8%18.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
LLLWWWLWWW
Gargzdai
WWLLLWWWLW
#2
League position
#3
+7.5
Net rating
-1.8
105.0
Offensive rating
98.4
97.4
Defensive rating
100.2
57.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.3%
3-point %
35.0%
71.3%
Assist %
62.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 98.4Defence97.4 · 100.2Shooting57.2% · 53.8%3-point %34.3% · 35.0%Ball care14.2% · 15.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Rytas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rytas wins
2
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
16/05/26Gargzdai v Rytas103-98
29/03/26Rytas v Gargzdai98-77
10/01/26Gargzdai v Rytas82-78
24/09/25Rytas v Gargzdai99-73
16/12/23Rytas v Gargzdai110-79
01/10/23Gargzdai v Rytas82-98
06/05/23Rytas v Gargzdai91-65
11/02/23Rytas v Gargzdai102-72
19/11/22Gargzdai v Rytas81-99
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/26HJuventus95-101
21/05/26AJuventus84-92
16/05/26AGargzdai98-103
13/05/26ANevezis117-88
09/05/26AAEK Athens92-86 OT
07/05/26HTenerife87-69
03/05/26ALietkabelis71-96
29/04/26ANeptunas98-91
27/04/26HSiauliai102-72
25/04/26HJuventus102-80
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HNeptunas87-78
20/09/26HSiauliai90-79
17/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas77-98
23/05/26HNeptunas74-84
21/05/26ANeptunas73-100
16/05/26HRytas103-98
10/05/26ANeptunas97-91
06/05/26ALietkabelis78-69
02/05/26HJonava104-109 OT
26/04/26ANevezis90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game84.784.7-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential-0.3-0.3-
Avg total169.7169.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%97.376.0+21.3
2 Gargzdai32167%84.785.0-0.3
3 Lietkabelis32167%82.082.3-0.3
4 Jonava21150%87.580.0+7.5
5 Taurage21150%87.087.5-0.5
6 Juventus31233%86.786.7+0.0
7 Neptunas31233%82.088.0-6.0
8 Siauliai31233%82.389.3-7.0
9 Nevezis2020%71.089.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas25233222102
Gargzdai31202727105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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