PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
George Mason hosts N. Carolina Central on 18 November 2026 in an NCAA contest, and the Pythia model names George Mason the clear favourite with a 96% chance of victory, driven by their undefeated 3-0 record, 75.3 points scored per game versus 57.7 allowed, and a league position of 70, while N. Carolina Central sits 0-3, 62.7 points per game against 74.3 allowed and a league position of 352. George Mason has won all three of its games, all at home, posting 75.3 points per game and 57.7 allowed, and has won four of its last five games; recent wins include 76-68 over UMKC, 68-51 over Coppin State and 82-54 over UMBC Retrievers. N. Carolina Central has lost all three of its games on the road, with 62.7 points scored and 74.3 allowed, and has won only one of its last five games, losing 51-65 to VMI, 75-80 to Longwood and 62-78 to Georgia. The teams have met once before, with George Mason winning 75-58 on 4 November 2024. Pythia projects a 82-61 score, 143.1 total points, a 96% probability that George Mason covers the home line, and a 1% chance of overtime. The last meeting saw George Mason defeat N. Carolina Central 75-58.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 71.8 | 58.8 | 130.5 | +13.0 | 75% |
| Season at home (4) | 71.8 | 58.8 | 130.5 | +13.0 | 75% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 69.6 | 64.6 | 134.2 | +5.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.8 | 59.6 | 128.4 | +9.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 86.0 | 57.0 | 143.0 | +29.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar (17) | 68.5 | 69.2 | 137.8 | -0.7 | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 74.9 | 66.1 | 141.0 | +8.8 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 63.5 | 74.2 | 137.8 | -10.8 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (4) | 63.5 | 74.2 | 137.8 | -10.8 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 67.4 | 70.9 | 138.3 | -3.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 63.4 | 73.4 | 136.8 | -10.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 65.2 | 78.0 | 143.2 | -12.8 | 7% |
| vs Similar (7) | 73.6 | 75.0 | 148.6 | -1.4 | 71% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 76.7 | 66.6 | 143.2 | +10.1 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 34.4 | 34.4 | 68.9 | -0.0 | 48% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 36.0 | 32.4 | 68.4 | +3.6 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (11) | 31.8 | 37.7 | 69.5 | -5.9 | 18% | - |
| Last 10 (9) | 36.2 | 32.1 | 68.3 | +4.1 | 67% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.6 | 28.2 | 66.8 | +10.4 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 43.0 | 34.0 | 77.0 | +9.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 32.5 | 34.8 | 67.2 | -2.3 | 35% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 36.6 | 34.0 | 70.6 | +2.6 | 64% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.2 | 34.4 | 65.6 | -3.2 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 35.8 | 30.6 | 66.5 | +5.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 27.6 | 37.3 | 64.9 | -9.7 | 6% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 27.6 | 33.5 | 61.1 | -5.9 | 10% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 26.8 | 34.8 | 61.6 | -8.0 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 28.3 | 37.4 | 65.7 | -9.1 | 7% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 33.9 | 31.1 | 65.0 | +2.7 | 57% | - |
| vs Weaker (9) | 33.6 | 32.2 | 65.8 | +1.3 | 44% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/11/24 | George Mason v N. Carolina Central | 75-58 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Bradley | 61-62 |
| 12/11/26 | H | UMKC | 76-68 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Coppin State | 68-51 |
| 02/11/26 | H | UMBC Retrievers | 82-54 |
| 12/03/26 | H | St. Bonaventure | 57-63 |
| 07/03/26 | H | St. Louis Billikens | 86-57 |
| 04/03/26 | A | VCU Rams | 65-70 |
| 28/02/26 | H | St. Bonaventure | 71-58 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Saint Josephs Hawks | 63-81 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Dayton | 67-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Liberty | 66-74 |
| 11/11/26 | A | VMI | 51-65 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Longwood | 75-80 OT |
| 03/11/26 | A | Georgia | 62-78 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Howard | 63-70 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Delaware State | 59-53 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Md.-East. Shore | 83-76 OT |
| 05/03/26 | H | South Carolina St | 64-80 |
| 03/03/26 | A | Md.-East. Shore | 77-73 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Delaware State | 74-60 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWL | 75% |
| Home | WWWL | 75% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 | - |
| Win % | 75% | 75% | - |
| Points / game | 71.8 | 71.8 | - |
| Allowed / game | 58.8 | 58.8 | - |
| Point differential | +13.0 | +13.0 | - |
| Avg total | 130.5 | 130.5 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLL | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | - | 4 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 63.5 | - | 63.5 |
| Allowed / game | 74.2 | - | 74.2 |
| Point differential | -10.8 | - | -10.8 |
| Avg total | 137.8 | - | 137.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 25% | - | 25% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Louis Billikens | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 71.3 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  George Washington | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 51.8 | +28.2 |
| 3 |  Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.2 | 59.2 | +22.0 |
| 4 |  Davidson | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 75.3 | 60.7 | +14.7 |
| 5 |  Saint Josephs Hawks | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 77.3 | 70.0 | +7.3 |
| 6 |  Duquesne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 66.7 | +6.0 |
| 7 |  Richmond Spiders | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 64.0 | +25.0 |
| 8 | George Mason | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 71.8 | 58.8 | +13.0 |
| 9 |  Fordham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.5 | 72.0 | +4.5 |
| 10 |  St. Bonaventure | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.3 | 64.0 | +18.3 |
| 11 |  VCU Rams | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 70.0 | +15.7 |
| 12 |  Loyola Chicago | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.0 | 70.7 | +11.3 |
| 13 |  Dayton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 79.3 | +5.3 |
| 14 |  La Salle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 84.7 | -17.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morgan State | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 85.2 | 65.5 | +19.8 |
| 2 |  South Carolina St | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.2 | 72.8 | +5.5 |
| 3 |  Howard | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.0 | 73.8 | +0.2 |
| 4 |  Norfolk State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.8 | 72.8 | -3.0 |
| 5 |  Delaware State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.7 | 67.0 | +7.7 |
| 6 |  Coppin State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 62.2 | 66.2 | -4.0 |
| 7 |  Md.-East. Shore | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 58.6 | 70.0 | -11.4 |
| 8 | N. Carolina Central | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 63.5 | 74.2 | -10.8 |
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