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Georgia State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-81
38-36 44-45
Position#332
Record8-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#98
Record13-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Georgia State v Arkansas State
24 Jan 2026
GEOR82
ARKA81
30 Dec 2023
GEOR91
ARKA90
06 Mar 2021
GEOR71
ARKA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A19/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
110-72
110
72
+38
H28/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H09/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
40-42
41-44
26-46
31-28
39-35
56-38
54-34
35-33
45-51
25-34
64-37
25-23
25-29
38-38
43-35
38-39
39-18
30-32
39-30
146.7Avg total
77.0Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.573.3143.8-2.840%
Season at home (8)75.166.1141.2+9.062%
Season away (12)67.578.1145.6-10.625%
Last 10 (10)77.069.7146.7+7.370%
Last 5 (5)73.263.0136.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)68.976.4145.3-7.535%
vs Similar (9)74.671.7146.2+2.944%
vs Weaker (3)89.068.0157.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#268
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A13/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A18/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Arkansas Tech
#580
W
107-63
107
63
+44
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H10/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
41-44
41-32
48-38
39-32
54-54
51-25
56-38
34-39
40-39
45-32
41-42
43-37
40-45
36-32
45-49
35-44
39-55
39-35
46-33
164.2Avg total
85.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.179.2162.3+3.965%
Season at home (8)85.971.2157.1+14.688%
Season away (12)81.284.5165.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)85.478.8164.2+6.660%
Last 5 (5)83.082.8165.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.085.0159.0-11.033%
vs Similar (12)77.278.2155.3-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.874.8158.5+9.075%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
Georgia StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#228
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A19/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Columbia College (SC)
#554
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H28/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H09/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H23/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
35.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.670.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.130.869.9+8.375%-
Last 30 away (18)33.837.270.9-3.439%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.069.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.233.264.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.636.869.5-4.235%-
vs Similar (9)37.831.068.8+6.878%-
vs Weaker (3)44.036.080.0+8.067%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#268
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A18/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Arkansas Tech
#580
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A23/01
NCAA
73.9Avg total
39.8Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.734.973.6+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.631.271.8+9.485%-
Last 30 away (17)37.337.674.9-0.459%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.173.9+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.075.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.342.779.0-6.333%-
vs Similar (12)36.834.271.0+2.775%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.834.873.6+3.967%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Georgia State wins
3
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HSouthern Miss69-62
17/01/26ALouisiana Monroe77-57
10/01/26HMarshall81-73
09/01/26HAppalachian State50-52
03/01/26ACoastal Carolina89-71
31/12/25AMarshall80-84
28/12/25HColumbia College (SC)110-72
20/12/25AAppalachian State70-63
19/12/25AGeorgia Southern67-90
13/12/25HJacksonville State77-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26AGeorgia Southern85-68
17/01/26ATroy74-99
16/01/26ASouth Alabama87-91 OT
10/01/26HTexas State83-82
08/01/26HTroy86-74
03/01/26HJames Madison74-78
31/12/25HArkansas Tech107-63
20/12/25ASouthern Miss93-86
18/12/25ATexas State89-70
13/12/25ARice76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW40%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %40%62%25%
Points / game70.575.167.5
Allowed / game73.366.178.1
Point differential-2.8+9.0-10.6
Avg total143.8141.2145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %65%88%50%
Points / game83.185.981.2
Allowed / game79.271.284.5
Point differential+3.9+14.6-3.2
Avg total162.3157.1165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %10%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2014670%86.776.2+10.5
2 Marshall2013765%81.274.8+6.5
3 Arkansas State2013765%83.179.2+3.9
4 Georgia Southern2113862%82.780.2+2.5
5 South Alabama2012860%74.269.3+4.8
6 Appalachian State2213959%72.265.5+6.6
7 Coastal Carolina2213959%73.972.2+1.7
8 Texas State22111150%73.171.5+1.5
9 Southern Miss22111150%74.073.7+0.3
10 James Madison21101148%75.076.4-1.5
11 Georgia State2081240%70.573.3-2.8
12 Old Dominion2161529%74.177.6-3.4
13 Louisiana Lafayette2151624%60.169.2-9.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2131814%70.882.8-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State384482
Arkansas State364581
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