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Ginasio vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-75
17-19 20-18 20-19 27-19
Position#8
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game69.4
Ginasio 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game74.8
PortugalProligaRound 6· Pavilhão Galamba Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ginasio v Maia
29 Mar 2026
GINA81
MAIA109
08 Nov 2025
GINA84
MAIA75
01 Mar 2025
GINA66
MAIA85
14 Dec 2024
GINA101
MAIA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ginasio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 67
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 67
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 67
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 67
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 67
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 67
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
41avg 67
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
65-50
65
50
+15
15avg 67
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 67
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
63avg 67
H01/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
21-20
16-20
19-24
19-27
27-16
15-21
22-15
23-22
19-14
17-24
19-20
17-21
18-10
18-28
21-29
30-30
25-21
17-28
20-16
27-11
27-15
8-17
23-24
17-27
25-16
18-18
21-13
17-12
17-10
10-12
21-16
19-19
21-24
17-22
18-22
20-17
14-14
23-22
19-16
155.9Avg total
78.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.469.4145.8+7.080%
Season at home (3)75.362.0137.3+13.3100%
Season away (2)78.080.5158.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)78.777.2155.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)76.469.4145.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.593.2175.7-10.631%
vs Similar (10)82.681.9164.5+0.740%
vs Weaker (6)74.768.8143.5+5.883%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
71avg 65
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
64-60
64
60
+4
53avg 65
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 65
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 65
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
61avg 65
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
64avg 65
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
48avg 65
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 65
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 65
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
60avg 65
A31/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
23-16
10-19
20-20
19-18
9-13
19-21
17-8
25-16
14-28
21-17
18-12
21-17
10-18
28-18
29-21
22-21
13-17
18-17
23-17
18-21
21-22
26-25
16-19
15-22
11-29
23-17
20-23
22-15
23-13
21-16
22-16
23-16
15-20
22-17
19-14
14-20
17-15
15-17
19-17
150.6Avg total
77.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.474.8151.2+1.640%
Season at home (2)78.575.5154.0+3.050%
Season away (3)75.074.3149.3+0.733%
Last 10 (10)77.273.4150.6+3.870%
Last 5 (5)76.474.8151.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.381.3154.7-8.044%
vs Similar (15)77.780.5158.2-2.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)77.866.5144.3+11.3100%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
GinasioMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/11
Proliga
79.0Avg total
42.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.584.5-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.239.482.6+3.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.646.186.7-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.579.0+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.073.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.649.292.8-5.515%-
vs Similar (10)43.439.582.9+3.960%-
vs Weaker (6)36.832.269.0+4.750%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/04
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A31/10
Proliga
72.6Avg total
35.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.275.3-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.637.073.6-0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)35.541.276.7-5.725%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.372.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.674.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.642.477.0-7.922%-
vs Similar (15)36.539.776.2-3.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.033.370.3+3.767%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.6
59.4%
50.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.2
28.1%
30.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.413.2
68.0%
67.4%13.2
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.3
48.3%
50.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.2
28.5%
30.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.117.8
73.9%
67.4%17.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ginasio
WLWWWLLLWL
Maia
LWWLLWWWWW
#8
League position
#4
+0.0
Net rating
+5.7
104.4
Offensive rating
99.7
104.4
Defensive rating
94.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
45.8%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.7%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.1%
3-point %
28.5%
57.1%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 99.7Defence104.4 · 94.0Shooting52.6% · 45.8%3-point %28.1% · 28.5%Ball care19.3% · 19.7%Off. rebounds26.9% · 31.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Ginasio   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ginasio wins
3
Maia wins
DateGameScore
25/04/25Maia v Ginasio88-74
01/03/25Ginasio v Maia66-85
14/12/24Ginasio v Maia101-66
19/10/24Maia v Ginasio86-79
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HSampaense76-69
25/10/25ACD Povoa75-87
19/10/25HSangalhos65-50
11/10/25ALusitania81-74
04/10/25HAcademica85-67
04/05/25HLusitania92-95
25/04/25AMaia74-88
18/04/25ABenfica Lisboa B78-80
05/04/25HSampaense83-79
29/03/25ABarreirense78-83
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25ALusitania65-69
25/10/25ASampaense79-67
18/10/25HAcademica88-60
11/10/25HCD Povoa69-91
04/10/25AIlliabum81-87
04/05/25ABarreirense76-72
25/04/25HGinasio88-74
19/04/25ASanto Andre78-73
16/04/25HSanto Andre64-60
05/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B84-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game76.475.378.0
Allowed / game69.462.080.5
Point differential+7.0+13.3-2.5
Avg total145.8137.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game76.478.575.0
Allowed / game74.875.574.3
Point differential+1.6+3.0+0.7
Avg total151.2154.0149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa660100%92.362.3+30.0
2 Portimonense65183%84.375.5+8.8
3 Illiabum54180%80.268.4+11.8
4 CAB Madeira54180%85.674.0+11.6
5 Ginasio54180%76.469.4+7.0
6 Galomar64267%84.580.5+4.0
7 Benfica Lisboa B53260%76.068.2+7.8
8 Imortal B53260%79.680.0-0.4
9 Maia52340%76.474.8+1.6
10 Lusitania52340%69.272.6-3.4
11 Sampaense52340%74.882.4-7.6
12 Ginasio Olhanense51420%77.883.4-5.6
13 Santo Andre51420%77.885.2-7.4
14 Sangalhos51420%62.476.0-13.6
15 CB Queluz5050%65.286.6-21.4
16 Academica6060%53.880.3-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ginasio1720202784
Maia1918191975
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