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Goes vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 88-81
19-20 16-26 21-18 32-17
Position#10
Record1-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game90.0
Goes 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game71.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Goes
Other2025-26
Meetings · Goes v Penarol
11 Nov 2025
GOES88
PENA81
15 Feb 2024
GOES77
PENA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Goes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoes
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
L
85-91
85
91
-6
no box
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H04/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
91-102
91
102
-11
84avg 73
A10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
69avg 73
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
74-97
74
97
-23
63avg 73
A18/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
73avg 73
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
68avg 73
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
78-62
78
62
+16
76avg 73
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
85-94
85
94
-9
74avg 73
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
16-15
22-24
21-25
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
24-25
23-27
20-21
24-29
18-16
22-26
20-24
22-23
19-25
17-19
16-31
22-22
20-21
27-29
17-35
22-17
28-15
24-14
17-28
11-27
17-13
15-15
24-22
22-12
25-23
25-28
21-21
14-22
142.2Avg total
66.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.390.0172.3-7.714%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (4)82.594.2176.8-11.80%
Last 10 (10)66.176.1142.2-10.010%
Last 5 (5)80.687.8168.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.084.5159.5-9.518%
vs Similar (9)69.374.0143.3-4.722%
vs Weaker (4)71.859.8131.5+12.075%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
75avg 81
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
87avg 81
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 81
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
87-62
87
62
+25
82avg 81
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 81
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
90-59
90
59
+31
95avg 81
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
102-83
102
83
+19
101avg 81
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
38avg 81
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
102-80
102
80
+22
108avg 81
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
103-89
103
89
+14
100avg 81
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
20-14
14-31
26-32
22-20
21-23
17-14
15-18
17-27
23-17
21-19
17-21
17-13
26-17
20-15
24-17
22-25
21-20
26-22
20-12
22-20
26-16
18-15
24-8
30-9
24-24
29-24
19-26
26-21
18-27
–
–
37-23
19-18
28-15
18-24
20-21
29-24
25-26
29-18
163.9Avg total
86.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.171.4159.6+16.786%
Season at home (3)98.083.7181.7+14.3100%
Season away (4)80.862.2143.0+18.575%
Last 10 (10)86.477.5163.9+8.960%
Last 5 (5)88.271.8160.0+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.589.5168.0-11.00%
vs Similar (4)77.076.2153.2+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.875.6163.4+12.183%
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
GoesPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A10/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A18/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
85.5Avg total
43.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)41.043.384.3-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.840.980.7-1.225%-
Last 30 away (15)42.045.287.2-3.233%-
Last 10 (8)43.242.285.5+1.025%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.483.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.744.884.5-5.125%-
vs Similar (8)41.240.581.8+0.838%-
vs Weaker (3)47.342.790.0+4.733%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A14/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
85.3Avg total
45.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.682.8+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.180.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)46.938.185.0+8.980%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.785.3+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)50.240.690.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.545.086.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.138.384.4+7.875%-
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.3
54.0%
53.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.8
32.7%
33.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.812.3
69.1%
70.9%12.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.4
58.3%
53.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
33.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.3
72.4%
70.9%16.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Goes
LWLLLLLLLL
Penarol
WWLWWWWLLL
#10
League position
#1
-9.2
Net rating
+11.6
105.6
Offensive rating
114.2
114.9
Defensive rating
102.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
56.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.7%
3-point %
35.3%
56.4%
Assist %
71.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 114.2Defence114.9 · 102.6Shooting51.6% · 56.0%3-point %32.7% · 35.3%Ball care16.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds26.1% · 29.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Goes   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Goes wins
1
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
16/02/24Goes v Penarol77-62
25/01/24Penarol v Goes90-65
Goeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ACordon85-94
04/11/25HUnion Atletica78-62
31/10/25AMalvin80-84
24/10/25HNacional86-102
18/10/25AUrunday74-97
14/10/25HBigua82-89
10/10/25ADefensor91-102
06/04/24AMalvin0-20
04/04/24HTrouville0-20
02/04/24ABigua85-91
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HAguada103-89
03/11/25AWelcome102-80
29/10/25AHebraica y Macabi44-48
23/10/25HCordon102-83
20/10/25AUnion Atletica90-59
17/10/25HMalvin89-79
14/10/25ANacional87-62
25/04/25HDefensor78-84
21/04/25ADefensor93-96 OT
17/04/25HDefensor76-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Goes
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game82.382.082.5
Allowed / game90.084.394.2
Point differential-7.7-2.3-11.8
Avg total172.3166.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game88.198.080.8
Allowed / game71.483.762.2
Point differential+16.7+14.3+18.5
Avg total159.6181.7143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional87188%93.282.6+10.6
2 Penarol76186%88.171.4+16.7
3 Malvin86275%85.483.8+1.6
4 Aguada85362%97.691.8+5.9
5 Hebraica y Macabi85362%79.677.4+2.2
6 Defensor85362%87.086.0+1.0
7 Bigua84450%87.087.8-0.8
8 Urunday83538%88.889.1-0.4
9 Union Atletica83538%81.181.9-0.8
10 Cordon82625%85.492.6-7.2
11 Goes71614%82.390.0-7.7
12 Welcome8080%82.0102.1-20.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Goes1916213288
Penarol2026181781
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