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Goes vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 75-60
12-15 21-13 20-13 22-19
Position#10
Record5-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game91.2
Goes 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#12
Record3-16
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game97.2
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Goes
Other2025-26
Meetings · Goes v Welcome
03 Feb 2026
GOES75
WELC60
11 Jan 2019
GOES100
WELC90
27 Jan 2018
GOES84
WELC90
06 Feb 2017
GOES75
WELC60
22 Dec 2016
GOES85
WELC58
21 Dec 2015
GOES84
WELC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Goes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoes
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
65avg 72
H19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
63-106
63
106
-43
48avg 72
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
94avg 72
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
86-100
86
100
-14
72avg 72
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
69avg 72
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
99-92
99
92
+7
91avg 72
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
60avg 72
A21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
67avg 72
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
59avg 72
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
14-28
17-17
17-25
18-25
16-26
20-23
9-32
23-26
22-22
30-22
18-23
30-34
13-20
22-17
21-29
15-21
23-21
22-24
19-33
23-24
27-27
24-15
25-26
21-23
20-20
16-19
26-24
20-29
18-17
15-19
23-31
25-15
17-32
16-18
18-7
15-26
15-28
19-17
27-24
176.9Avg total
82.0Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.591.2173.7-8.726%
Season at home (9)83.886.3170.1-2.644%
Season away (10)81.395.6176.9-14.310%
Last 10 (10)82.094.9176.9-12.920%
Last 5 (5)82.088.2170.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.288.2166.4-10.021%
vs Similar (6)68.069.0137.0-1.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)73.264.0137.2+9.280%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 73
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
63-102
63
102
-39
36avg 73
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
82-103
82
103
-21
75avg 73
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
99-89
99
89
+10
89avg 73
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
62avg 73
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
91-120
91
120
-29
88avg 73
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
62avg 73
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
95-77
95
77
+18
91avg 73
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
87avg 73
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
27-25
31-27
11-24
13-28
14-31
22-25
14-18
23-28
27-28
11-22
21-25
20-18
26-26
24-23
29-22
23-29
13-26
17-23
22-13
14-28
29-34
28-25
20-33
20-20
20-38
20-16
13-12
15-27
18-25
24-24
17-31
15-14
25-21
26-17
29-25
16-26
24-15
24-17
22-16
177.1Avg total
82.4Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.797.2178.9-15.516%
Season at home (10)82.991.2174.1-8.330%
Season away (9)80.4103.9184.3-23.40%
Last 10 (10)82.494.7177.1-12.330%
Last 5 (5)83.892.8176.6-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)82.696.8179.4-14.227%
vs Similar (4)82.882.8165.5+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Goes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
GoesWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
89.0Avg total
40.3Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.243.385.4-1.126%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.344.285.5-2.915%-
Last 30 away (14)43.042.485.4+0.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.348.789.0-8.40%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.288.4-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.245.785.9-5.611%-
vs Similar (5)45.635.881.4+9.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)47.041.588.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
90.8Avg total
39.9Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.449.891.3-8.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.446.486.8-5.929%-
Last 30 away (16)42.352.995.2-10.619%-
Last 10 (10)39.950.990.8-11.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.249.688.8-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)41.050.691.6-9.619%-
vs Similar (4)44.244.889.0-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Goes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.718.6
44.6%
53.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
33.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.912.8
71.5%
70.9%12.8
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.3
54.8%
53.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.3
32.3%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.811.7
69.6%
70.9%11.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Goes
LWLLWLLLLL
Welcome
WWLLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#12
-14.2
Net rating
-13.4
96.3
Offensive rating
95.1
110.6
Defensive rating
108.6
48.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.1%
3-point %
32.3%
57.2%
Assist %
65.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 95.1Defence110.6 · 108.6Shooting48.0% · 52.1%3-point %35.1% · 32.3%Ball care15.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.8% · 23.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Goes   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Goes wins
3
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Welcome v Goes73-83
11/01/19Goes v Welcome100-90
03/11/18Welcome v Goes67-93
23/10/18Welcome v Goes77-73
23/03/18Welcome v Goes87-91
27/01/18Goes v Welcome84-90
25/10/17Welcome v Goes99-78
06/02/17Goes v Welcome75-60
17/01/17Welcome v Goes74-88
22/12/16Goes v Welcome85-58
Goeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26APenarol76-95
26/01/26HCordon76-72
21/01/26AUnion Atletica76-96
15/01/26HMalvin83-86
12/01/26HDefensor99-92
07/01/26ANacional79-99
20/12/25HUrunday86-100
12/12/25ABigua106-110 OT
05/12/25AHebraica y Macabi63-106
19/11/25HAguada76-93
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HAguada86-74
26/01/26HHebraica y Macabi95-77
20/01/26APenarol74-107
17/01/26HCordon73-86
13/01/26ANacional91-120
09/01/26AUnion Atletica75-91
19/12/25HMalvin99-89
11/12/25ADefensor82-103
09/12/25HUrunday63-102
05/12/25HBigua86-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Goes
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL26%
HomeLLWLW44%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%44%10%
Points / game82.583.881.3
Allowed / game91.286.395.6
Point differential-8.7-2.6-14.3
Avg total173.7170.1176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW16%
HomeLWLWW30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %16%30%0%
Points / game81.782.980.4
Allowed / game97.291.2103.9
Point differential-15.5-8.3-23.4
Avg total178.9174.1184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1916384%86.972.2+14.7
2 Malvin1913668%83.481.1+2.3
3 Nacional1812667%92.984.8+8.1
4 Aguada1812667%93.688.1+5.5
5 Hebraica y Macabi1912763%84.081.0+3.0
6 Bigua1910953%87.889.5-1.6
7 Union Atletica189950%83.782.7+1.0
8 Defensor189950%86.185.8+0.3
9 Urunday1981142%89.086.4+2.6
10 Goes1951426%82.591.2-8.7
11 Cordon1931616%81.592.3-10.8
12 Welcome1931616%81.797.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Goes1221202275
Welcome1513131960
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