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Penarol vs Goes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 95-76
26-15 28-15 17-19 24-27
Position#1
Record15-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game71.9
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Goes
Uruguay
Position#10
Record5-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game91.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Goes
30 Jan 2026
PENA95
GOES76
24 Jan 2024
PENA90
GOES65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Goes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
W
86-69
86
69
+17
84avg 81
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
83avg 81
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 81
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 81
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
89-67
89
67
+22
91avg 81
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 81
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
77-58
77
58
+19
83avg 81
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
79-69
79
69
+10
71avg 81
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
107-74
107
74
+33
114avg 81
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 81
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
14-25
27-17
19-12
22-27
21-20
20-18
22-7
15-21
28-14
22-10
20-13
21-16
19-16
17-22
25-15
24-19
25-11
27-19
13-18
20-25
27-16
21-25
20-14
19-16
20-10
19-11
19-21
17-18
23-12
19-19
20-20
27-15
25-18
24-24
31-17
20-25
21-21
19-20
20-25
156.5Avg total
85.8Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.471.9158.4+14.583%
Season at home (9)91.174.8165.9+16.3100%
Season away (9)81.869.1150.9+12.767%
Last 10 (10)85.870.7156.5+15.190%
Last 5 (5)86.274.4160.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
vs Similar (2)80.079.0159.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.175.1160.3+10.078%
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoes
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 73
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
65avg 73
H19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
63-106
63
106
-43
48avg 73
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
94avg 73
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
86-100
86
100
-14
72avg 73
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
69avg 73
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
99-92
99
92
+7
91avg 73
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
60avg 73
A21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
67avg 73
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
21-14
29-15
15-29
28-23
14-28
17-17
17-25
18-25
16-26
20-23
9-32
23-26
22-22
30-22
18-23
30-34
13-20
22-17
21-29
15-21
23-21
22-24
19-33
23-24
27-27
24-15
25-26
21-23
20-20
16-19
26-24
20-29
18-17
15-19
23-31
25-15
17-32
16-18
18-7
175.4Avg total
82.7Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.891.0173.8-8.228%
Season at home (9)83.886.3170.1-2.644%
Season away (9)81.995.7177.6-13.811%
Last 10 (10)82.792.7175.4-10.030%
Last 5 (5)82.689.0171.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.088.2167.2-9.221%
vs Similar (6)68.069.0137.0-1.033%
vs Weaker (5)73.264.0137.2+9.280%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -6.8-6.8
PenarolGoes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
79.4Avg total
43.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.381.8+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.538.681.1+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)44.837.882.7+7.069%-
Last 10 (10)43.436.079.4+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.279.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.040.083.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (2)35.038.073.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)44.138.282.4+5.967%-
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
87.4Avg total
41.2Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.542.585.0+0.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.344.285.5-2.915%-
Last 30 away (14)43.640.984.4+2.743%-
Last 10 (10)41.246.287.4-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.887.6-4.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.644.685.2-3.917%-
vs Similar (5)45.635.881.4+9.860%-
vs Weaker (4)47.041.588.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.7
53.1%
53.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.313.4
62.9%
70.9%13.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.217.6
46.1%
53.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.4
35.3%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.2%
70.9%11.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
LWWWWWWWWW
Goes
WLLWLLLLLW
#1
League position
#10
+19.0
Net rating
-13.3
104.8
Offensive rating
96.7
85.8
Defensive rating
110.0
53.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.5%
3-point %
35.3%
69.0%
Assist %
55.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 96.7Defence85.8 · 110.0Shooting53.7% · 48.9%3-point %36.5% · 35.3%Ball care17.6% · 15.5%Off. rebounds37.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Penarol   ■ Goes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
2
Goes wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Goes v Penarol88-81
16/02/24Goes v Penarol77-62
25/01/24Penarol v Goes90-65
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/26AAguada80-91
20/01/26HWelcome107-74
14/01/26HHebraica y Macabi79-69
10/01/26ACordon77-58
18/12/25HUnion Atletica88-80
16/12/25AMalvin89-67
09/12/25HNacional82-69
04/12/25HUrunday85-58
21/11/25HDefensor85-72
18/11/25ABigua86-69
Goeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/26HCordon76-72
21/01/26AUnion Atletica76-96
15/01/26HMalvin83-86
12/01/26HDefensor99-92
07/01/26ANacional79-99
20/12/25HUrunday86-100
12/12/25ABigua106-110 OT
05/12/25AHebraica y Macabi63-106
19/11/25HAguada76-93
15/11/25AWelcome83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game86.491.181.8
Allowed / game71.974.869.1
Point differential+14.5+16.3+12.7
Avg total158.4165.9150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%89%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Goes
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW28%
HomeLLWLW44%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%44%11%
Points / game82.883.881.9
Allowed / game91.086.395.7
Point differential-8.2-2.6-13.8
Avg total173.8170.1177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1815383%86.471.9+14.5
2 Nacional1712571%93.683.8+9.8
3 Aguada1712571%94.888.2+6.5
4 Malvin1812667%83.282.0+1.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi1811761%83.081.0+2.0
6 Bigua1910953%87.889.5-1.6
7 Union Atletica189950%83.782.7+1.0
8 Defensor189950%86.185.8+0.3
9 Urunday1881044%90.486.4+3.9
10 Goes1851328%82.891.0-8.2
11 Cordon1931616%81.592.3-10.8
12 Welcome1821611%81.598.5-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2628172495
Goes1515192776
← all games of the day
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