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Nacional vs Goes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 99-79
21-15 21-23 24-22 33-19
Position#2
Record9-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#10
Record3-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game91.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Polideportivo Gran Parque Central
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nacional v Goes
26 Oct 2026
NACI110
GOES124
07 Jan 2026
NACI99
GOES79
12 Jan 2024
NACI111
GOES61
09 Dec 2022
NACI100
GOES75
17 Dec 2021
NACI81
GOES84
17 Apr 2021
NACI66
GOES78
15 Oct 2019
NACI76
GOES69
11 Oct 2018
NACI98
GOES84
01 Dec 2017
NACI83
GOES80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Goes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
W
110-93
110
93
+17
101avg 82
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
104-70
104
70
+34
104avg 82
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
78avg 82
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 82
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
88-72
88
72
+16
74avg 82
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
109-90
109
90
+19
109avg 82
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 82
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Flamengo
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
66avg 82
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 82
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#3
L
94-98
94
98
-4
84avg 82
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
27-24
26-24
23-22
25-21
27-23
26-13
26-13
22-21
15-12
30-17
22-29
10-24
21-21
20-23
24-14
17-18
34-16
14-19
23-19
28-21
34-29
22-20
25-20
16-21
16-19
22-17
15-25
14-16
16-13
23-11
22-23
17-18
20-21
15-19
23-13
24-28
23-25
14-20
33-25
168.8Avg total
88.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.883.5174.3+7.469%
Season at home (6)84.274.7158.8+9.583%
Season away (7)96.691.0187.6+5.657%
Last 10 (10)88.880.0168.8+8.870%
Last 5 (5)84.480.8165.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.584.5150.0-19.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.679.5170.1+11.175%
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoes
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
73avg 73
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
68avg 73
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
78-62
78
62
+16
76avg 73
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
85-94
85
94
-9
74avg 73
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 73
H12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 73
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
65avg 73
H19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
63-106
63
106
-43
48avg 73
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
94avg 73
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
86-100
86
100
-14
72avg 73
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
27-29
17-35
22-17
28-15
24-14
17-28
11-27
17-13
15-15
24-22
22-12
25-23
25-28
21-21
14-22
19-20
16-26
21-18
32-17
18-15
21-14
29-15
15-29
28-23
14-28
17-17
17-25
18-25
16-26
20-23
9-32
23-26
22-22
30-22
18-23
30-34
13-20
22-17
21-29
173.6Avg total
83.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.991.8174.7-8.823%
Season at home (6)82.787.8170.5-5.233%
Season away (7)83.195.1178.3-12.014%
Last 10 (10)83.190.5173.6-7.430%
Last 5 (5)82.896.4179.2-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.986.6163.5-9.616%
vs Similar (7)66.970.4137.3-3.629%
vs Weaker (4)72.562.0134.5+10.575%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -5.2-5.2
NacionalGoes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H20/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Flamengo
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A21/12
Liga Uruguaya
85.4Avg total
44.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.687.1+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.038.783.7+6.372%-
Last 30 away (12)46.346.092.3+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.485.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.283.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.041.572.5-10.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.641.688.2+5.068%-
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H19/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
85.6Avg total
41.9Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)40.942.783.6-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.642.682.2-3.025%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.984.8-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.785.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.687.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.344.683.9-5.322%-
vs Similar (6)41.738.780.3+3.050%-
vs Weaker (3)48.739.788.3+9.067%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.5
52.8%
53.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.515.8
70.2%
70.9%15.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.716.3
49.8%
53.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.5
35.0%
33.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.511.0
71.0%
70.9%11.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
LWWLWWLWWW
Goes
LLLLWWLWLL
#2
League position
#10
+10.7
Net rating
-11.2
110.7
Offensive rating
101.6
100.0
Defensive rating
112.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.2%
3-point %
35.0%
53.7%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 101.6Defence100.0 · 112.8Shooting52.2% · 51.1%3-point %34.2% · 35.0%Ball care17.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.4% · 26.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Nacional   ■ Goes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nacional wins
5
Goes wins
DateGameScore
24/10/25Goes v Nacional86-102
13/01/24Nacional v Goes111-61
13/11/23Goes v Nacional92-98
16/02/23Goes v Nacional95-79
09/12/22Nacional v Goes100-75
22/03/22Goes v Nacional87-80
18/12/21Nacional v Goes81-84
17/04/21Nacional v Goes66-78
13/12/19Goes v Nacional86-85
15/10/19Nacional v Goes76-69
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AAguada94-98
16/12/25HObras Sanitarias75-71
14/12/25HFlamengo75-63
09/12/25APenarol69-82
04/12/25ACordon109-90
20/11/25HUnion Atletica88-72
14/11/25AMalvin75-82
10/11/25HHebraica y Macabi89-79
07/11/25HUrunday104-70
03/11/25ABigua110-93
Goeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HUrunday86-100
12/12/25ABigua106-110 OT
05/12/25AHebraica y Macabi63-106
19/11/25HAguada76-93
15/11/25AWelcome83-73
12/11/25HPenarol88-81
08/11/25ACordon85-94
04/11/25HUnion Atletica78-62
31/10/25AMalvin80-84
24/10/25HNacional86-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL69%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game90.884.296.6
Allowed / game83.574.791.0
Point differential+7.4+9.5+5.6
Avg total174.3158.8187.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Goes
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game82.982.783.1
Allowed / game91.887.895.1
Point differential-8.8-5.2-12.0
Avg total174.7170.5178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1412286%86.671.6+15.0
2 Hebraica y Macabi1410471%82.877.9+4.9
3 Nacional139469%90.883.5+7.4
4 Aguada128467%96.290.2+6.0
5 Malvin149564%81.681.6-0.1
6 Defensor127558%88.285.2+3.1
7 Bigua137654%87.288.7-1.5
8 Urunday147750%92.486.1+6.3
9 Union Atletica145936%81.984.4-2.5
10 Goes1331023%82.991.8-8.8
11 Cordon1421214%83.094.9-11.9
12 Welcome131128%81.599.4-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2121243399
Goes1523221979
← all games of the day
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