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Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 111-124
28-27 25-32 25-35 33-30
Position#20
Record21-18
FormLWLWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game113.4
vs
Position#12
Record19-21
FormWLLWW
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game118.5
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Atlanta Hawks
22 Mar 2027
GSW v ATL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
GSW111
ATL124
20 Nov 2024
GSW120
ATL97
24 Jan 2024
GSW134
ATL112
02 Jan 2023
GSW143
ATL141
08 Nov 2021
GSW127
ATL113
26 Mar 2021
GSW108
ATL124
25 Mar 2020
GSW v ATL
upcoming
13 Nov 2018
GSW110
ATL103
23 Mar 2018
GSW106
ATL94
28 Nov 2016
GSW105
ATL100
01 Mar 2016
GSW109
ATL105
18 Mar 2015
GSW114
ATL95
07 Mar 2014
GSW111
ATL97
14 Nov 2012
GSW92
ATL88
25 Feb 2011
GSW79
ATL95
21 Feb 2010
GSW108
ATL104
16 Jan 2009
GSW119
ATL114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
W
120-97
120
97
+23
120avg 106
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
126-116
126
116
+10
121avg 106
H25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
127-141 OT
127
141
-14
114avg 106
A28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
120-107
120
107
+13
118avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
132-125
132
125
+7
135avg 106
A31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
94-131
94
131
-37
79avg 106
H03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
123-114
123
114
+9
122avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
102-103
102
103
-1
88avg 106
A06/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
120-113
120
113
+7
116avg 106
H08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
137-103
137
103
+34
139avg 106
H10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
32-27
31-26
31-14
40-28
31-30
29-31
26-27
29-33
35-32
36-31
22-26
28-30
31-27
30-28
31-22
30-30
39-34
29-36
34-25
23-34
22-30
21-31
28-36
25-29
33-36
42-31
23-18
19-31
32-24
13-21
38-27
31-31
33-22
34-29
22-31
34-29
29-30
34-25
40-19
235.1Avg total
120.1Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)115.5113.4228.9+2.254%
Season at home (18)118.3111.3229.6+7.172%
Season away (21)113.1115.1228.3-2.038%
Last 10 (10)120.1115.0235.1+5.170%
Last 5 (5)115.2112.8228.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)109.8120.9230.6-11.138%
vs Similar ◀ (14)112.4112.3224.7+0.136%
vs Weaker (8)124.6105.5230.1+19.1100%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
123-126
123
126
-3
118avg 111
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
111-126
111
126
-15
106avg 111
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
125-128
125
128
-3
120avg 111
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
129-140
129
140
-11
119avg 111
A30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
126-102
126
102
+24
122avg 111
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
111-99
111
99
+12
108avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
117-134
117
134
-17
109avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
100-118
100
118
-18
93avg 111
A06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
117-100
117
100
+17
111avg 111
H08/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-87
110
87
+23
104avg 111
A10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-30
32-25
37-37
18-34
32-32
19-31
33-27
27-36
27-33
28-35
34-30
36-30
38-35
36-35
29-43
26-27
33-26
37-23
28-24
28-29
33-30
27-17
34-23
17-29
29-35
41-42
36-30
11-27
26-31
23-30
24-25
27-32
37-26
28-27
24-13
28-34
30-28
28-22
16-25
36-12
232.9Avg total
116.9Scored
116.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)118.2118.5236.8-0.348%
Season at home (18)117.4119.8237.3-2.439%
Season away (22)118.9117.5236.4+1.455%
Last 10 (10)116.9116.0232.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)111.0107.6218.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)114.2123.6237.9-9.412%
vs Similar ◀ (14)117.8118.4236.1-0.657%
vs Weaker (8)126.8118.2245.0+8.562%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -3.6-3.6
Golden State WarriorsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#13
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H25/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A28/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H04/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A06/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H10/01
NBA
119.9Avg total
60.2Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.755.8111.5-0.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.456.6115.1+1.871%-
Last 30 away (16)53.255.1108.3-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)60.259.7119.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)56.259.2115.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)50.858.5109.2-7.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.355.1110.4+0.157%-
vs Weaker (8)61.254.2115.5+7.088%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A30/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A03/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A06/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H08/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBA
121.3Avg total
62.0Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.360.8121.1-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.960.5119.5-1.638%-
Last 30 away (17)61.361.0122.3+0.341%-
Last 10 (10)62.059.3121.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)60.457.6118.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)57.064.1121.1-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)58.559.2117.7-0.729%-
vs Weaker (8)66.660.2126.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 120.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.227.2
58.9%
54.8%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.515.4
35.4%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws23.519.5
83.0%
78.1%19.5
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.127.8
54.4%
54.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.615.9
38.2%
35.8%47.7
🏀 Free throws18.713.6
72.7%
78.1%13.6
They take 92.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WWLWLWWLWW
Atlanta Hawks
WWLLWWLLLL
#20
League position
#12
+5.0
Net rating
+0.9
118.3
Offensive rating
110.7
113.3
Defensive rating
109.8
56.1%
Effective FG%
55.7%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.7%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
18.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.4%
3-point %
38.2%
71.4%
Assist %
73.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 110.7Defence113.3 · 109.8Shooting56.1% · 55.7%3-point %35.4% · 38.2%Ball care13.0% · 12.7%Off. rebounds26.9% · 18.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HSacramento Kings137-103
08/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks120-113
06/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers102-103
04/01/26HUtah Jazz123-114
03/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder94-131
31/12/25ACharlotte Hornets132-125
30/12/25ABrooklyn Nets120-107
28/12/25AToronto Raptors127-141 OT
25/12/25HDallas Mavericks126-116
23/12/25HOrlando Magic120-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ADenver Nuggets110-87
08/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans117-100
06/01/26AToronto Raptors100-118
04/01/26AToronto Raptors117-134
03/01/26ANew York Knicks111-99
31/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves126-102
30/12/25AOklahoma City Thunder129-140
28/12/25HNew York Knicks125-128
27/12/25HMiami Heat111-126
24/12/25HChicago Bulls123-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeWLWWW72%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %54%72%38%
Points / game115.5118.3113.1
Allowed / game113.4111.3115.1
Point differential+2.2+7.1-2.0
Avg total228.9229.6228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (3)33% (9)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW48%
HomeLLLWW39%
AwayLWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401822
Win %48%39%55%
Points / game118.2117.4118.9
Allowed / game118.5119.8117.5
Point differential-0.3-2.4+1.4
Avg total236.8237.3236.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%22%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)33% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3832684%121.3108.8+12.5
2 Detroit Pistons38281074%117.8111.2+6.6
3 San Antonio Spurs37251268%117.9112.5+5.4
4 Denver Nuggets39261367%122.7117.5+5.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers35231266%115.8115.8+0.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves40261465%119.9114.8+5.1
7 Boston Celtics38241463%117.2110.4+6.7
8 Phoenix Suns38241463%115.3111.1+4.3
9 Houston Rockets35221363%118.5110.7+7.7
10 New York Knicks37231462%119.2115.2+4.0
11 Toronto Raptors39241562%114.5112.2+2.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers37211657%117.2115.5+1.6
13 Orlando Magic38211755%116.1114.7+1.4
14 Cleveland Cavaliers40221855%120.0117.6+2.4
15 Golden State Warriors39211854%115.5113.4+2.2
16 Miami Heat38201853%119.7117.7+1.9
17 Atlanta Hawks40192148%118.2118.5-0.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers40192148%116.3118.8-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls38182047%117.3120.8-3.5
20 Memphis Grizzlies39172244%114.9116.2-1.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks39172244%112.9115.1-2.2
22 Los Angeles Clippers38152339%111.9113.6-1.7
23 Charlotte Hornets39142536%116.3116.6-0.3
24 Dallas Mavericks39142536%113.0117.1-4.2
25 Utah Jazz38132534%119.0127.3-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets36112531%108.8113.9-5.0
27 Washington Wizards38102826%112.8124.0-11.2
28 New Orleans Pelicans4193222%114.9122.4-7.5
29 Sacramento Kings3883021%109.8122.1-12.3
30 Indiana Pacers3983121%111.2119.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors28252533111
Atlanta Hawks27323530124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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